By the Numbers

Jay Cost – maybe the smartest poll guy around – writes:

I cleaned out all the old polls (i.e. those released before 10.27) and, lo and behold, it would seem that Bush now has a lead in PA! His lead in OH has strengthened, and his lead in FL, IA, WI remain strong. I still maintain that (A) PA is the true toss-up in this race; (B) Minnesota will be the dark horse Bush victory.

Read the whole thing to find out why Kerry faces an uphill battle today.