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Democrats Are in Big Trouble If This Trend Continues

AP Photo/Alex Sanz

I am a resident of New York State myself, and it seems like every week another freedom is taken away. If you live in New York or another blue state, you know what it’s like. It’s awful. For those of you who live in red states, I envy you. For anyone who was in a position to move from a blue state to the freedom of a red state, I envy you even more.

And there are quite a lot of you. For years, we’ve been observing a population shift as blue-state residents vote with their feet to escape the oppressive grip of Democratic governance. 

In his debate with California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Ron DeSantis noted how California residents are fleeing to freer, greener pastures like Florida — including Newsom’s own in-laws. "So I was talking to a fella who had made the move from California to Florida. And he was telling me that Florida is much better governed, safer, has a better budget, lower taxes, all this stuff, and he's really happy with the quality of life,” DeSantis recounted. "And then he paused and said, ‘You know, by the way, I'm Gavin Newsom's father-in-law.' So we do count Gavin's in-laws as some of the people that have fled California and come to the state of Florida." But I digress. 

According to a recent analysis from the left-wing Brennan Center, if current trends in political migration continue, a major shift in political power is expected after the next census in 2030.

"While southern and mountain states have continued to grow at a steady clip since the Covid-19 pandemic, the rest of the country, including one-time boom states like California, has seen mostly flat growth or even population losses,” the Brennan Center reports. "If these trends continue for the balance of the decade, California would lose 4 of its 52 congressional districts in reapportionment — only the second time the Golden State has ever lost representation. New York, meanwhile, would lose three seats, Illinois two, and Pennsylvania one, leaving all three states with congressional delegations half the size they were in 1940."

Where is all the population from these states going? The conservative southern states.

By contrast, the South has emerged as this decade’s growth engine, adding almost 3.9 million people and accounting for nearly all U.S. population gains since 2020.

Four booming southern states stand out in particular: Texas, Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. These rapidly growing states by themselves account for more than 90 percent of American population gains since the 2020 census, with Texas and Florida alone accounting for 70 percent of growth.

Texas is projected to gain four additional seats in the upcoming reapportionment, making it a contender for the country’s largest state in the coming decades, while Florida is expected to gain three seats. Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee are also anticipated to each gain a new congressional seat. Additionally, three mountain states — Arizona, Idaho, and Utah — are also projected to gain a seat.

Related: As Bidenomics Screws the Private Sector, Biden Gives Federal Workers Big Raise

These shifts indicate that the conservative South is gaining power at the expense of leftist-controlled states. Will blue states realize they’ve become too radical and start changing their ways?

Yeah right.

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