About an hour ago, Ed Piotrowski called Tropical Storm Karen “nearly a naked swirl.” Around the same time, Rob Perillo tweeted, “Karen’s low-level circulation exposed! (sounds like a New York Post headline).” After I retweeted them, @RINOPundit asked me, “Is this the weather form of twerking? If so, #DOOM.” I couldn’t resist responding with the headline you see above.
— Ed Piotrowski (@EdPiotrowski) October 4, 2013
But seriously — Karen continues to look disorganized as she moves slowly toward a late-Saturday/early-Sunday date with the Gulf coast. But there are increasing indications in the computer models — most notably a sudden shift by the Euro model toward the GFS-favored easterly track that was once considered an “outlier” — that the storm may remain over water longer, stay further east, and target the Florida panhandle instead of Louisiana — all of which means the “sleeper potential” of strengthening before landfall could become a reality. It will be interesting to see whether the National Hurricane Center adjusts the official forecast at 5pm EDT.
[UPDATE: Welcome, InstaPundit readers! Karen is now basically dead. Here's my final Friday-night update.]