Wunderkinder analyzes the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll. There are some interesting numbers beyond the “who will you vote for” stuff.
Again, if these polls reflect the truth, we have a left-wing Jonestown shaping up. Some of these kooks will be room temperature on November 5th.
Look for the DNC to begin pulling money away from Kerry and putting it into contested Senate races if things don’t turn around dramatically in the next 10 to 14 days. The left-wing 527′s, to encourage Kool-Aid consumption on the day after, will go full bore Michael Moore to try to show the nation how horrible their lives will be.
“Respected abroad, safer at home.” God, how those words must sting the Kerry campaign as they become an epitaph instead of a slogan.
Gah. Now we see why Kerry abandoned the economy as a capmaign issue. Since Kerry has decided to run as a contrarian to each and every Bush policy, he really has no issues left to run on *except* Iraq since the country is doing so well.
Oh, that and oil prices. I put it at 3-1 that Kerry tries to make gas/oil prices a big issue in the debate.
Maybe Kerry can argue that we need France and Germany to fight a war for oil. Perfect synergy of his positions!
Thus begins the Great Unraveling. If Kerry does not generate a significant shift in polling results — up 4 to 6% — by this time next week, then it’s all over.
I realize alot of people believe that the “undecideds” trend away from the incumbent. However, it should also be noted that undecideds also tend to vote for the perceived winner.
Why? Because Americans like to win. It’s in our blood.
Again, if Kerry does not make a substantial shift in the polls by next Tuesday, it will be all over.
I wonder if anyone appreciates the irony that the final dagger in the back of the Kerry campaign may have been delivered by….
FRANCE! With an assist from Germany…
By both rejecting troops even before formally asked by Kerry and calling for a “peace conference” featuring Zarqawi et al, it is clear that Karl Rove has taken over the French foreign ministry and peopled it with stealth Republican operatives. There can be no explanation for such a humiliating destruction of Kerry’s biggest campaign plank by the French…
To use a metaphor that Euros will appreciate, the anti-Bush forces in Europe have just kicked a spectacular own-goal.
I also note that the latest GOP attack ad goes after Kerry “and congressional liberals.” Methinks Rove & Co. are starting to think about coattails.
I think you are right. This is why Kerry has a very narrow window–a week or so–to turn this race around. If he continues to trail on his own issues as these polls show, the Democrats will turn their attention towards salvaging what they can in the House and Senate races. Kerry may be throwing roundhouses Thursday night because this will be his last chance (unless the BusHitler invades Poland or some other left-wing fantasy occurs).
I noticed the “liberal” line too.
I was wondering when/if they’d ever use it.
I expect they’ll just keep ratcheting the liberal volume up bit by bit and watch Kerry freak out trying to unstick himself from that tar baby.
I did a little back of the envelope math (I couldn’t find the actual numbers).
It looks like the poll was roughly 39% Democrat, 37% Republican and 24% Independent.
It’s amazing how f’ing dumb Kerry is some time. If he says he’s going to get some help from somebody wouldn’t he have some clue about whether they were going to provide it or not. Or whether tehy even could provide it. Ah well – adios loserito!
I hope Kerry mentions high gas prices in the debate.
And I hope W is smart enough to ask him why the democratic party is so committed to keeping the US dependent on Mid East oil. i.e. fighting tooth and nail to prevent expanded oil drilling here and to prevent development of nuclear energy plants.
France and Germany have pre-empted using unity with our traditional allies as a Kerry campaign theme. And correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t we fight two world wars against Germany? I think they fought on our side against England in the revolutionary war, but since then have we been on the same side of anything?
“I also note that the latest GOP attack ad goes after Kerry “and congressional liberals.” Methinks Rove & Co. are starting to think about coattails.”
Crank and jag** — Actually, this is because of the campaign finance laws. I think this is how it goes: If the ad attacks only Kerry, then it has to be Bush campaign $; if the ad attacks Kerry + congressional liberals, then the GOP can use its own general funds, and the restrictions for campaign funds do not apply.
**Crank and jag would be a good name for a video game.
Hmmm, looks like John “Agent Orange” Kerry has a new trick up his sleeve.
Bush Landslide Gaining Speed
update: More interesting analysis here and here. Even Teresa can’t spin this as good news. original post: CNN/Gallup shows Bush opening an 8 point lead among likely voters. Even more interesting, it is showing him with a 13 point lead…
Hate to break it to ya’ Erp, but while France helped us out in our big freedom fight, the Germans went and sold their services to England. Thirty thousand German mercenaries, the Hessians, fought against us.
The fact is that neither France nor Germany want Kerry to win… they have framed their fight against Bush, but it’s really an anti-Americanism which a Kerry win would complicate. They may be weasels, but they’re smart weasels.
There was no nation-state of Germany at the time of our Revolution. King George III, called by his Jacobite opponents “German George”, hired troops from his relative, the Landgrave of Hesse, at least in part as a way of transferring funds out of the English Treasury. Large numbers of these Hessians wound up as U.S. citizens.
You’re quite right. Hessians did fight for England. Where was my thinking cap?
JMJ, not even out of touch18 hours, posting from The Watermrk in San Atonio, and frogistan wants what???????
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