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Stephen Kruiser


May 13, 2014 - 6:28 pm

The headline:

The 2014 Election Is the Least Important in Years

Now, I know that I have publicly stated several times since November of 2012 that I will never disagree with Nate Silver again, but I’m not talking about the statistics here, but his spin. This is his reporting on what the Gallup poll that’s the basis for this actually said:

A Gallup poll released Monday found that just 35 percent of registered voters are more excited than usual about voting in November’s midterm elections. That’s well down from 2010 and somewhat down from most other midterm years when Gallup has asked this question. Midterm elections normally generate less voter enthusiasm than presidential years, so this isn’t all that high a bar to clear.

Less voter enthusiasm doesn’t mean that the stakes are diminished as well. If American voter apathy is the main determining factor about the importance of the issues in any election, turn out the lights and shut this thing down now.

As one of the people who keeps plowing ahead no matter how wearisome the previous elections have been, I would say that people like me are even more invested in this year’s outcome because we would like to strengthen our position for the 2016 presidential contest as much as possible.

The poll finds that the Democrats are facing an even bigger enthusiasm gap, which isn’t surprising given the real versus the media-spun Obama track record. It’s difficult to tell people who are now without, or paying significantly more for, health insurance thanks to Obamacare that this is all an obstructionist Republican illusion.

It may lack the shininess of a presidential election, but there is plenty of reason to vote for anyone who wants to stem the progressive leftward creep in the American political conversation.

Stephen Kruiser is a professional comedian and writer who has also been a conservative political activist for over two decades. A co-founder of the first Los Angeles Tea Party, Kruiser often speaks to grassroots groups around America and has had the great honor of traveling around the world entertaining U.S. troops.

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I'm not sure what excited is supposed to mean.
But I do know what actual turn out looks like.
Just look at the March FL District 13 House special election: Jolly (R) vs. Sink (D).

The race was leaning Democrat +9 in the last polls, and the media was all atwitter that a Democrat could take over icon Bill Young's seat. The DNCC poured millions into this race.

So what really happened? Republican Jolly won by 2%, with a Libertarian candidate taking just under 5%.
The older folks in the beach condos and in the suburban areas turned out in droves to vote for Republican Jolly. The inner city minorities turned out in, well, they really didn't turn out for Democrat Sink.

By hanging the millstone of Obamacare around Sink, Jolly was able to frame the race as a vote against Obamacare and fire up his base. Sink was left with just begging the same old minority/union retiree/liberal coalition to just please show up.

If the Democrats try to use the tired "evil republicans", "war on women", "Koch,Koch,Koch!" strategy, their coalition will be bored and just stay home. The Repubs should just chant "Obamacare" from now until November.
42 weeks ago
42 weeks ago Link To Comment
I'm counting the days until my county's Primary. I can't wait.
42 weeks ago
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