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The PJ Tatler

by
Stephen Kruiser

Bio

April 23, 2013 - 10:28 pm

Let’s, um, hope.

Earlier this month, President Obama visited San Francisco and was joined by Democratic House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi for a fundraising event. In the course of the evening, Obama told the donors that he expected that after the 2014 election, Pelosi would resume her place as speaker, which she relinquished after the 2010 election.

It’s easy to see why the president would want that to be so. If the Democrats were to win the 218 House seats needed for the majority and put Pelosi back in the speaker’s chair, it would allow Obama to spend his final two years in office doing more than marking time as a lame duck.

But even if Obama were to inject himself massively into the campaigns of congressional Democrats, it’s unlikely he could guarantee a Democratic victory.

A gain of congressional seats by a president’s party in his sixth year in office may not be quite as elusive as the Higgs boson or Fermat’s Last Theorem, but it’s nearly the equivalent in the political world. Only once in the last 80 years has a president’s party managed to gain seats in his second midterm election. That feat was pulled off in 1998 by Bill Clinton, when Democrats gained eight seats on the GOP. In general, however, losses by presidents in midterm elections are as predictable as anything in politics.

This is all very true. However, recent history was also against a first term senator (or any senator, actually) with no real accomplishments in government or the private sector running away with an election and becoming president. It was also nigh on impossible for a president who was in office while the economy was getting swallowed by quicksand to get reelected.

What may factor into the unlikelihood of the Democrats regaining a majority in the House more than history will be the reality of this president’s singular achievement. Great pains were taken to have as little of Obamacare implemented before the 2012 election because even those most ardently supportive of it know that its promise and reality are unlikely to bear any resemblance to one another. Premiums will go up, people won’t be able to keep their doctors and the sobering difference between access to health insurance and availability of health care will become apparent. The victory parties from election night hadn’t even been cleaned up yet when Obamacare related layoffs began.

This is all, of course, rather obvious but the MSM has to begin the excuse-making now to protect their deity.

Stephen Kruiser is a professional comedian and writer who has also been a conservative political activist for over two decades. A co-founder of the first Los Angeles Tea Party, Kruiser often speaks to grassroots groups around America and has had the great honor of traveling around the world entertaining U.S. troops.

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All Comments   (6)
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The current electoral demographics make it extremely difficult for the Democrats to win back the House. The Democrats win Senate seats and electoral votes by piling up huge majorities in a relatively small number of Congressional districts. They don't have enough votes in the rest of country to win majority of House seats everything else equal.

Since Republicans voters are generally too stupid to support a flawed candidate while Democrats flock to vote for losers like Elizebeth Warren it is possible that the Democrats could pull off if the wrong candidates are selected, i.e., Mark Sanford. We are going to lose that seat because we are stupid twice over. First enough people vote for him to win the primary and then Republicans will stay home or vote for his opponent because of his troubles. Republicans need to learn to vote for the guy who is there not the one they wish was there.

Immigration reform will not be a factor in US electoral demographics until after the 2020 census and redistricting.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
Obama getting re-elected was the convergence of: 1) fear of blacks rioting and 2) queasiness about a banker who was Mormon. His magic disapated after the inagural parade.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
I know how to guarantee a win for the Democrats in 2014 - let's postpone the implementation of Obamacare until after the elections. No big problem with all the unforeseen and unexpected and suddenly-appearing Republican-caused interferences. We do want to get it 'right', so another few months or a year of fine-tuning will benefit us all.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
By that time it won't matter. They will have their amnesty and gun bans which will give the Democrats a lock on power for some time. Of course they could still lose it after they turn the US into Venezuela or worse under Hillary post 2016. Rebuilding from the Democrat's ashes will be a real mess given how ignorant the populace is now thanks to decades of Democrat control of the school system.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
Heartening news! The Koch brothers are thinking of buying The Tribune Co., owners of the LA Times among other left-leaning rags.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
The MSM will be running "Obamacare is Great! The evil Republicans are keeping it from working!" pretty much 24/7 by Thanksgiving. Most people will believe it.
50 weeks ago
50 weeks ago Link To Comment
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