November 2, 2012 - 2:37 pm
Out on a limb, Michael Barone says he is. And he is, but not too far. He puts IN, NC, VA, OH, IA, NH, FL, and CO in the Romney column arguing that the election’s fundamentals — Obama’s unpopular policies, his economic failure and the lack of enthusiasm to keep him in the job — will doom him. Barone adds WI and PA to the Romney column too, while NV, MI and a few of the other swing states stick with Obama.
If the Clown can muck up as bad as he has for four years and still command even 47-48% of the vote, then there’s something seriously wrong with the USA that says “Death, not just decline, is at our doorstep”.
I shudder in the realization that it is even close considering Fast and Furious, Benghazi, the Keystone Pipeline, unemployment, foreclosures, bank failures, business closures, Obamacare… (Egads! the lists is endless)
I agree. Romney takes 40 states, give or take. It won’t be close.
Michael Barone keeps in his head the demographic and geographic breakdown by city block of every election since the selection of the first Holy Roman Emperor.
If he says Romney wins, then Romney wins.
Yeah, until he misses one.
But boy howdy do I hope he called it accurately.
UNIVAC called it right when no other pollster thought Dwight D Eisenhower had a chance.
Here’s hoping Barone is as good as UNIVAC was.
I agree that Michael Barone is the most encyclopedic analyst of American politics alive. He ain’t no Dick Morris.
His Encyclopedia of American Politics is a masterwork.
If Barone is saying it, I believe it and I’m doing naked back flips here.
– family of massive rich liberal Democrat donors and usually knows more than most observers about the inside of that party. Obomo’s pollsters have already informed him that the purchase in Hawaii was the wisest move he has made in four years.
If I hadn’t seen Obama 2016 and hadn’t developed respect for George Obama Obingo Oblammo over there in Kenya I’d make some wise ass remark about doubling the size of ‘the Hut’.
I actually respect George and wouldn’t wish Obama on anyone, including his step brother.
And when Obama moves to Hawaii I’m sure that he’ll jump right into an independence movement, taking us down from 57 States to 49.
It’s MATH people.
And he’d be KING, which is what he wanted all along.
Wonder what the Obama campaign makes of this? That’s not a trend you can buck over a weekend. Say g’bye to your pornstache, Axelrod! =^[.]^=
My question, over and above all predictions about specific elections, is: What percent of voters vote based on objective factors such as a politician’s record, and what percent votes based on personality, rhetoric, identity politics, or promotion by irrelevant celebrities?
If everyone were to vote based on objective factors, Obama would be lucky to get a single electoral college vote. But that didn’t happen in 2008, and I doubt it will happen come Tuesday. So our hopes are founded on the premise that the majority of Americans who vote in this election will do so from the facts, rather than from some other basis.