Today’s Gallup poll finds Mitt Romney and Barack Obama tied at the magical number of 47.
These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?” Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results.
Let’s piece a couple of things together. This rolling poll queries registered voters, not likely voters. Such polls tend to favor the Democrats. Republicans are far more motivated to vote this year than Democrats. That’s true in swing states and non-swing states and has been for months.
As the incumbent, Obama should have a built-in lead — especially in a time of crisis as we see in the Islamic world. Our embassies are under siege in a dozen countries, and such times historically favor the sitting president. Americans rally around the flag, but Obama made his own flag and has failed to lead or show that he has any idea what’s happening. His disapproval rating has climbed back above his approval rating, with the most intensity among those who most strongly disapprove of him. Obama’s handling of the current crisis — ignoring it, then trotting out his team to lie about it, and attacking free speech rather than admit the jihad against America is real and ongoing — cannot help him.
The close polls reflect a couple of things, mostly that Mitt Romney has yet to make the sale. He has not done that yet mostly because he has not yet appeared on the same stage as the president and offered himself as a plausible replacement. Romney’s first chance to do that is on Oct 3.
Update: So what about the Individual swing state polls? Well, if they’re anything like the Quinnipiac/CBS poll showing Obama leading inVirginia, the swing state polls aren’t worth much.
The important factor is how much voter fraud the marxists will be able to gin up this year, particularly in Ohio.
Romney needs a margin of 5%+ to win. The busses will be like an endless freight train pouring across the Ohio border.
an equal and even greater worry about counting the votes, for which Obama has hired a foreign company
The one thing these polls amply demonstrate is that no one listens to the mainstream media any more. With the beating Romney has been taking, he should be much, much further behind.
Please Folks, don’t stop pushing. Talk, spread information, fight fight fight.
OMG ! Obama Must Go !
repeat itself in the counting of the votes by a foreign company the administration has hired for the task
I live in Virginia, and I would crawl across ten miles of desert cactus to get to the polls and vote for Mitt. They always say “this is the most important election of our lifetimes”. This time, I believe it.
Thank you. It will be the swing state voters like you who save this Republic.
I’m also a Virginia voter. Romney/Ryan/Allen all the way.
I’m a Florida voter. The voters I know would crawl over broken glass to vote for Romney.
I’m an Ohio voter, and I’m voting for Romney. Can’t say what the rest of Ohio will do, but I sure don’t see many Obama signs or bumper stickers this time around.
I happen to live in a state where West Nile Virus is more popular than Barack Obama.
Obama didn’t win one 1 county in 77 last time, and lost about 2-1 in the popular vote. Obama is so popular here, our governor and her staff stiffed Obama on his one trip to Oklahoma during his term, and he was left talking to nothing but freeloaders and lying about a pipeline to supine press.
I expect even worse for Obama this time around. And I’m still frothing at the mouth to vote Romney.
Problem is, in the bubble I’m located, I don’t really have a feel for those purple states. Can people still be stupid enough to question such obvious gross incompetence of the last four years?
When this nation has 43% of respondents choosing “Obama has done a good job on the economy,” I’m beginning to feel we may have already crossed the threshold of no turning back as a nation.
It has been called the Bradley effect and also the Wilder effect. In both of those elections the results were no where near what the polling suggested because many people will not tell a pollster that they prefer the white guy to the black guy even though they intend to vote for the white guy.
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
Looked at the poll numbers and what did I see
Is Obama goin’ home?
A landslide shapin’ up for Mitt Romney
Sendin’ Barack Obama home
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
You may not believe it, but I’m tellin’ you true
Sendin’ Barack Obama home
Gonna elect Romney and Paul Ryan too
And send Barack Obama home
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
Swing states will carry it
And send Barack Obama home
– economic figures. Whether in the booth or at the kitchen table with an absentee ballot, the regular voter is going to mutter, “No way I’m gonna reward the past four years of failure.” S/he would probably want to see the coach of their favorite team fired after a couple of losing seasons. They won’t be patient for four more.
I wouldn’t worry too much about some of these polls showing Obama up 5-7 pts…they over sample Democrats by about that much! So in reality, like the Gallop and Rasmussen polls show, the race is most probably tied all around at 47-47%. And then there are some polls that show upwards of around 23% that are persuadable to change their mind. So really, this race is anybody’s guess. However, I just can’t believe that a majority of the people are going to give Obama the benefit of the doubt again. Especially after the events of the last 2 weeks in the Muslim world, I have to believe most clear-minded people will vote to fire Obama.
Just want to add my anecdata: Romney/Ryan signs In yards and many on main through ways. Jewish voters in FL not enthused with Obama, Cuban vote trends republican. In Palm Beach Allen West is representative, he and Rubio out stumping for Romney. Ryan will be here tomorrow and Gov. Nikki Haley on Monday. The Romney campaign is alive and well here. My impression, and this is my fourth election here, and I’ve called it right each time is FL light red.