Polls: Obama Down, Perry Up
The first is from Gallup. President Obama has hit yet another all-time low in support while hitting yet another all-time high in disapproval.
Barack Obama’s approval rating has plummeted to 38 per cent – an all time low for the beleaguered President.
Despite NATO successes in Libya, the latest Gallup poll results show the President continuing to loose ground among voters.
The news came after it emerged whites and women are a re-election problem for Obama, along with his traditional base of younger voters and liberals.
I love the framing in that paragraph — as if “success” in Libya could ever help Obama attract or retain voters. Throw in the dubious nature of the “success” in Libya and no one should expect Obama to get anything more than a dead cat bounce of out that. The real story is the economy, that it stinks, and that Obama is making it worse.
It’s that story that’s helping propel Texas Gov. Rick Perry to the top of the GOP pack. Where Obama is a demonstrable failure on the economy, Perry can point to tangible successes in his record as governor. Perry is also taking the fight to Obama in ways that put him up against the president in what’s looking more like a two-man race. All of that is working to Perry’s benefit.
The survey, released Monday, indicates that 27 percent of Republicans nationwide support Perry for their party’s nomination, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who’s making his second bid for the White House, at 14 percent. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin follows at ten percent, with Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at nine percent, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who’s making his third bid for the presidency, at six percent. Every one else listed on the questionnaire registered in the low single digits.
The survey follows a Gallup poll out last week which also placed Perry at the top of the GOP field. Other polling released in the past week also confirms the findings of the CNN and Gallup surveys.
“Perry’s support is higher among Republican men, at 32 percent, than Republican women, at 23 percent, but he has more support among either group than any other candidate,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
According to the survey, Perry supporters tend to be older and have higher incomes, but the longtime Texas governor also tops the list, albeit by smaller margins, among lower-income Republicans and those under 50 years old.
“Perry’s biggest support comes from Republicans who say they are supporters of the tea party movement – he wins 37 percent of their vote – but he also edges Romney by a couple of points among Republicans who don’t call themselves tea party supporters,” adds Holland.
How bad are things for Obama right now? About 27 percent of Democrats want another candidate on the ballot next year. We’ve been treated to lots of talk on the weakness of the GOP field over the past few months, but what of the weakness of the Democrats’ one-man field? Having one in four in your own part pining for a replacement, when you’re the unchallenged incumbent, speaks to turnout when it comes time to vote next year.
Romney should immediately announce a primary challenge to Obama.
He’s the former Governor of (I’d argue) the most liberal state in the country, has a solid economic record (I guess), is more than happy to enact government mandated healthcare, and can’t wait (until a few days ago, but he’ll flop back again) to bend over for the AGW phallus–what more could the libs ask for?
OK, he’s not black . . . but one can’t have everything.
Obama shoud get a big bounce after saving thousands of lives by taking command of FEMA on Saturday.(He has the photo to prove it!)
As you alluded, how is installing probable hard-line Islamist, Sharia law based, pro-AQAM government in Libya (with all its oil wealth) a long-term foreign policy plus for U.S. interests? Maybe the American electorate isn’t as dumb as our current Communist-in-Chief and his SecDef (and her girlfriend) think.
I’m all in favor of 27% of Democrats not showing up to vote November, 2012. I don’t think even ACORN (or whatever it calls itself now) can raise enough illegals and dead people to make up for the loss.
Jim Geraghty’s Morning Jolt this morning included an interesting question.
Is there anyone that didn’t vote for Obama in 2008 that will vote for him in 2012, with people who have just become old enough to vote in the interim excluded?
My guess is, the answer is no.
Although the Democrat base is fragmented, dejected, & disillusioned, I don’t expect a primary for Obama since their own race card will be turned on themselves; the remaining blacks will sit out the 2012 election. However, with Obama in the race, many more Democrats may well sit out the 2012 election since their Utopia isn’t here.
Governor Perry is doing very well thus far; he should attack President Obama on every front. It’s striking how Romney & Bachmann have shrunk since Perry entered the race.
It’s striking how Romney & Bachmann have shrunk since Perry entered the race.
Romney may be the designated candidate of the potbellied country club Republicans, and of the disingenuous media pundits too. He’s acting, as Bob Dole uselessly did, like it’s His Turn For The Nomination. But he has shot himself in the foot by his aloofitude, his way-too-collegial harmony with the radical Obama and his socialist health plan, and his complete lack of fire in proposing changes in the national direction. He should have been hammering on a solid list of action items by now – there are hundreds available which the public would support.
If he doesn’t quit his Ivy League somnolence and get moving pretty soon, Perry will own (and deserve) the nomination.
The reason the Texas economy has been a success in the last 10 years is the fact that gas prices have gone up by 300% in the last 10 years. The economic success of Texas under Rick Perry is not a vindication of conservative values or conservative economic theories, it is a simple demonstration of the blessings of high oil prices on four states in particular–Alaska, Texas, North Dakota, and Louisiana. Also, the jobs added to the economy in Texas under Rick Perry aren’t middle-class jobs. They are low-end service sector jobs.
Sorry, the Democratic talking points memo about the jobs being low end jobs is demonstrably false. Just Google “Texas Jobs Numbers.” Political Math Blog has a nice write up using Federal data.
Forbes explains this, too.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/susanadams/2011/08/19/mixed-texas-jobs-numbers-spur-debate/
“The Journal also refutes critics who argue that Texas has created a lot of low-wage work, citing a BLS calculation that shows the Texas median hourly wage at $15.14, 93% of the national average.”
“The Texas Workforce Commission, a state agency that handles unemployment benefits, and recruiting and job placement for employers and employees, released an analysis of the new jobs data today that showed a decrease of 9,400 government jobs in July, and the addition of 38,700 jobs in the private sector, which makes Texas’s jobs engine look like it’s functioning…”
The rest is a shill for socialism, so this isn’t exactly a pro-GOP author.
“Of course, that’s if you favor the low-tax, low-regulation policies backed by Gov. Rick Perry. As I mentioned in my last post, and as many commenters underlined, that’s a subject for debate.”
That’s like the drones at Brady Campaign who say that gun control is still a subject for debate, simply because they choose to ignore the facts and insist they’re still relevant.
They’re still jobs, which is better than sitting on your fanny collecting unemployment. I speak from experience, having been in both situations.
Oh, and if you’re going to use a website in your comment form, make sure that it’s a real website… and try spelling “student” correctly.
What if Sarah’s Sept 3 announcement is to endorse Perry?
Aren’t they friends? Why would she run against somebody with whom she is virtually ideologically identical?
She may announce that they are discussing a role for her as Secretary of Energy.
Anybody running against Obama in 2012 is going to have the advantage! This time, even a Conservative might win.