PJ Media doesn’t get frequently into the polling game, but slightly more than two years ago we commissioned polls in the Massachusetts senatorial race and were the first to show a growing gap in favor of Republican candidate Scott Brown.
Now, given the so far indeterminate nature of the Republican presidential contest, we decided to poll again. This time, mindful of the interest of some in a brokered convention, we extended the number of potential candidates beyond those presently competing, pitting all of them against President Obama. (For this polling we added Mitch Daniels, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Sarah Palin, and Condoleezza Rice. Others may be added subsequently.)
This poll, like the Massachusetts poll, was conducted for us by CrossTarget using Interactive Voice Technology (IVR), the same method used by Rasmussen and now widely adopted. The poll was of 800 registered voters and was held on February 21 and 22, largely before the most recent debate. The margin of error is +/-3.46%.
What follows here are topline results. The detailed cross tabs from the poll are quite interesting and we will publish and analyze them starting tomorrow.
What’s interesting on quick evaluation is that no Republican seems to have made his or her way to a substantial lead. Rick Santorum and Condoleezza Rice are the only candidates, potential or otherwise, narrowly defeating Obama at this moment.
But the news is not good for the President either. Besides the fact that several candidates (Romney, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush) trail him only within the margin of error, as you will see in the cross tabs tomorrow, Obama scores abysmally among independent voters.
And now the poll:
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