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What The Hell Is Going On?

September 2nd, 2013 - 8:36 am

So far as we know, most everyone in the government was expecting the bombing would start on Saturday afternoon, Washington, D.C., time.  Government officials, above all those with expertise in military operations, were told to cancel their Labor Day vacations and show up for overtime work.  No golf for them!  Then President Obama–in the face of most all the advice from his “national security team” (I even heard a national radio network broadcaster call it “the war cabinet”)–changed his mind.  Suddenly.  Unexpectedly.  Surprisingly.

How?  Why?

The story about the sudden change of mind has been carefully fed to the scribblers.  It’s been written and rewritten many times.  But it doesn’t make sense, unless you believe in sudden epiphanies, or bolts from the blue, or ongoing revelation, and there’s no evidence that the president believes such things.

So I ask again:  How?  Why?  We don’t have an answer, which suggests to me that we’re missing some key element in the story.

Presidential decisions are sometimes driven by real events in the real world, and sometimes by private conversations among a very small group of intimates.  During the Carter years, for example, it was said that you never knew what he was going to do until the last conversation prior to handing down his verdict.  If you were an intimate, you wanted to be the last person on his dance card before the band started to play.  Other presidents have had different methods, but personal interplay is always important.

Note that this sort of “process” greatly favors people with offices in the White House.  They only have to walk down the hall, whereas the cabinet secretaries have to drive across town, or even across the river.  That takes time.  Access=influence, so the guys and gals down the hall, including the gal who shares the living quarters, have more of it than those across town or on the other side of the Potomac.

Ergo, it may well be that somebody got to the president late Friday and said something that got him to reverse course.  Those who believe that Valerie Jarrett is the eminence grise of the Obama years will wonder if she prevailed over the War Cabinet, as when she–once?  several times?  accounts vary…–lobbied against the Kill bin Laden operation.  Those who think Chief of Staff Denis McDonough is the key actor will point to the long walk he took with his boss on Saturday morning as the key event.  Those who think Michelle does foreign policy (and those who don’t think first ladies are key players on ALL policy matters should report for reeducation) will look there for the answer.

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Top Rated Comments   
Maybe Mr. Ledeen is right and secret cabals have hatched a plan which has the President hesitant. You never can tell what those conspirators out-there-somewhere might be doing.

But Ockham's Razor says to look for the simplest explanation. So here goes:

1) Obama really has no foreign policy experts on his staff. Jarrett, Rice, McDonough are his advisors. None of them are much when it comes to Foreign Policy. Their past mistakes, pivots, spins, even outright falsifications, reveal them to be basically inept at it.

2) Obama really dislikes foreign policy. What he really sinks his teeth into is his domestic agenda to recreate the U.S. in the guise of a banana republic. Most everyone poor and reliant on government programs, except of course for the governmental elite.

3) Faced with serious evidence of chemical weapons used by someone (who is still in doubt), he at first thought he'd have to DO something. But that might impact his ability to strong arm the MSM and those dove-liberals who oppose all military action. He is a canny political demagogue, and he knows he needs these groups if he wants to make any progress on his domestic agenda.

4) So he hit upon the idea, AFTER the British parliamentary no vote, of letting the Congress make the decision. This is his out. Whatever they decide, he is not to blame. The MSM and dove-liberals will continue to kiss his feet.

I imagine Obama thinking and perhaps saying to his closest associates: "Who cares what happens in Syria? As long as it doesn't imapct the midterm elections!"
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Simplest explanation is that Obama is insane and coming apart at the seams.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Don't drive yourself over the edge looking for rationality when there probably is none, Michael. Like Benghazi, the actions and explanations just don't make any sense and there is no larger meaning. Just confusion, indecision, and the consequences of poor decisions made earlier.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (90)
All Comments   (90)
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Well, it's an interesting idea, and one I would certainly credit for a good call but for the track record of incompetence and lying blather this administration has achieved thus far, with an incredible 3.5 years yet to run. If the Obama administration is one of God's little jokes, we've had enough.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
So is Obama a political bungler who just got his ass handed to him by Vladimir Putin? Or is he a political genius who just cut a deal that will disarm Syria without anyone firing a shot?
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
I don't think there is anyone in the Obama administration capable of that much foresight.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
http://nyyrc.com/blog/2013/09/something-happened-on-the-way-to-damascus/

As NATO, Russia, and China lined up against Obama, other parties began to speak out as more details about the rebels made their way into the mainstream press. Both sides in this war have committed their share of atrocities, but only the rebels have systematically attacked and massacred the Orthodox Christians. The Bible belt in American has never supported this President, and his relentless assault on religious liberty though Obamacare has enraged parishioners. Catholic organizations have also protested loudly, but it was not until the assumed invasion of Syria to the benefit of anti-Christian al Qaeda elements that the Pope spoke out. Calling for an end to the “spiral of sorrow and death,” he prayed with thousands for peace in Syria and an end to the conflict. But the implication was clear: Obama’s war would make things incalculably worse. Next door in Egypt last month, the Islamist Nazis re-enacted Kristallnacht. (Thankfully, the Egyptian military appears to have that situation under control following a stern crackdown on the Brothers and “Islamist terrorism.”)

First the WASPs and Evangelicals, then the Orthodox, and now the Vatican. So it was that Obama lost Christianity en total. For the first time in history, it can perhaps be written that the American government was at war with Christianity. A stain not to be forgotten. The future will hold whether or not the Democrat Party will die on the hill of Christian persecution and genocide.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
Way back in history, before WWI, weren't there secret agreements between governments that turned out to be quite toxic? Where is wikileaks when you need it? As Mr. Ledeen says, what the hell is going on?
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
Just as sometimes a cigar is just a cigar, sometimes bunging is just bungling.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
So, Obama flirts with stating WWIII in order to cut a deal with Putin???

ok, this whole thing is just gettin' weird, as in "Lord of the Flies" levels of weirdness.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
Saudi intel ops makes sense: they are loaded with US dollars at a time the US is about to begin to export oil. They don't want to be left alone there with the Iranians, Syrians and Russians so close to their borders. Makes sense to me.

But as far as Obooboo goes: sometimes a cigar is just a cigar. Sometimes an incompetent is just an incompetent. Let us pray and hope that he does not blow up the whole world.

A message from an American living abroad: folks, please vote a little better next time.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
I didn't vote for him either time.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
Neither did I, but we're stuck with a bunch of uneducated voters who don't know history and think civics is a little Japanese car. They are NOT holding up their end of the equation in American government, on which the entire edifice depends.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
I found this link someone posted and this what is said below make sense . The use of the Dollar and keeping Saudi loyal to its use is KEY to this Whole Mess !

Its becoming clear that Obama has been using the Muslim Brotherhood in a Leverage position to keep Saudi from just walking all over the USA and EU interests by siding with other nations and possibly rejecting the dollar as the Trade currency for OPEC energy resources and trying to keep the dollar relevant in this Mess but Egypt overthrowing the Brotherhood has now moved the goal posts to Syria to try and establish a front for the Brotherhood .
Syrian War is a Saudi Intelligence Operation

http://www.omegashock.com/2013/09/05/syrian-war-is-a-saudi-intelligence-operation/

Has Saudi Arabia been behind the Middle Eastern War on Terror to Use the West and primarily the USA to Take over the Middle East ????
Just moments ago, I saw Secretary of State John Kerry admit that the Syrian War is a Saudi operation. And, I watched him squirm in his chair as he said it, because he KNOWS that this is what he’s admitting. I could hardly believe what I was seeing. Even more, he was tacitly admitting Saudi involvement in other interventions.
For those of us who have more than half a brain, and at least SOME knowledge of the Middle East… We’ve noticed the fingerprints of Saudi intelligence all over what’s going on in Syria. In fact, I was planning to write about the involvement of the Saudi General Intelligence Services (or, Al Mukhabarat Al A’amah) today, when John Kerry went and poured gasoline on my fire. (And, I must say, John, that you really, REALLY looked uncomfortable making that admission.)
So, America will go to war at the behest of their Saudi paymasters. This makes me sick, and it should make you sick, too. This will launch us straight into World War III, and it will be the Saudis that pulled the trigger.
For those of you who keep preaching ‘Zionist Conspiracy’, you are complete and utter fools. Furthermore, you have dragged others down with you, and THAT is inexcusable.
Secretary of State John Kerry said at a House Foreign Affairs committee hearing that Arab counties have offered to pay for the entirety of unseating President Bashar al-Assad if the United States took the lead militarily. - http://wapo.st/1ajCnKA
The Syrian War What You're Not Being Told , in this Video you will hear General Wesley Clark make some outlandish Claims !!!!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dkamZg68jpk#t=272

Ben Swann Reality Check: What The Media Isn't Telling You About Syria
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GCBhyzRELLw#t=74



46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
low IQ president. can't think two things at one time except to pu t Israel in harm's way whenever possible. he's just plain stupid. aren't we proud.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
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