Get PJ Media on your Apple

Rubin Reports

What to Expect When Obama Visits Israel

March 12th, 2013 - 8:38 am

Jodi Rudoren, the New York Times Israel correspondent, wrote about President Barack Obama’s March 20-22 visit to Israel and the Palestinian Authority:

For more than two years, many Israeli and Palestinian leaders have placed blame for their stalemated peace process not only on one another but on a lack of engagement by the Obama Administration. But now that President Obama and his new secretary of state have signaled plans to visit, both sides still remain skeptical that much will change.

While I’m grateful that she concluded with what I’ve been saying now for about thirteen years — no progress is going to be made and every knowledgeable person on both sides knows it — I am baffled by the beginning. I have never heard any Israeli or Palestinian leader or intellectual or just plain individual say such a thing. It is nonsense, given the fact that Obama’s strenuous efforts during his first two years in office got nowhere.

The history of what actually happened between 2009 and 2011 has been forgotten, just as the Palestinian torpedoing of peace between 1993 and 2000 has been forgotten. Obama tried, the Arab states wouldn’t help, the Palestinians threw pie in his face (as I wrote at the time), and Israel offered full cooperation. Since then, the Palestinian Authority is strutting with its newly received — from the UN General Assembly — state. Contrary to the 1993 Oslo agreement, this was achieved without any compromise, concessions, or agreement with Israel.  So on top of everything else, the PA feels no motivation to negotiate anymore, not that it did much since 2000. But should we all try? Sure, just don’t do any more damage, and in your own interest don’t waste too much time and money.

All of this should be merely academic, since we are told that Obama’s visit will focus on Syria and Iran. So what does Israel want to tell Obama, and what is he likely to offer or do?

Syria: Presumably, Israel’s leadership will express a consensus view that its main concern is not who governs Syria but how they behave.

There’s no sympathy for the Bashar al-Assad dictatorship, which has long sponsored terrorism against Israel. In addition, it is widely recognized that the regime’s fall is a defeat for Iran, which would be losing its principal ally. The situation has also opened gaps between Iran and Turkey, which has been very friendly toward Iran (a point that the Obama administration has ignored). And if Israel ever did attack Iranian nuclear installations, an anti-Iran Sunni-ruled Syrian regime is less likely to do anything in response.

In addition to all that, a successful revolution would weaken Hizballah in Lebanon, which at the moment is the biggest threat on Israel’s borders (Hamas is more likely to attack, but less capable of doing serious damage), and can well mean that the Lebanese terrorist group will be too busy and insecure to renew the kind of attacks seen in 2006 and earlier years.

Yet what will replace the current government of Syria? Israel will stress that it worries about a Muslim Brotherhood regime that will try to step up the conflict with Israel, including backing its own terrorist clients in Lebanon and Hamas. Another point — which the Obama administration doesn’t seem to comprehend (though some of its officials worry about this) — is that such a regime would be permissive toward Salafist groups wanting to attack Israel across the border, along with a high degree of anarchy in that part of southern Syria having the same effect.

Israel will also warn that lots of weapons, including some very advanced ones, are pouring into Syria and will not be secured after the civil war ends. They will end up in the hands of terrorists to whom they are either sold or given. The terrorist could even be directly armed by the American-Turkish-Qatari-Saudi strategy. They might point to Libya as an example of this process. Perhaps some future U.S. ambassador to Syria and other operatives will be murdered trying to get some of those weapons back.

Comments are closed.

Top Rated Comments   
"One prince of the present time, whom it is not well to name, never
preaches anything else but peace and good faith, and to both he is
most hostile, and either, if he had kept it, would have deprived him of
reputation and kingdom many a time." - The Prince
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (14)
All Comments   (14)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
The definition of insanity is doing the same things over and expecting different results.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What to expect from the Obama visit to Israel? The answer lies in six points pertinent to current USA policy. First, with regard to the Middle East, the President himself calls all the shots. Second, as in the 2009 Cairo speech, President Obama explicitly tells us that he wants to reach out to "the Muslim World." Third, since entering office, the President's actions point to a "big picture" wherein the USA increasingly withdraws from the Middle East. Fourth, this White House plays its cards with eyes obsessively focused on USA domestic politics. Fifth, in appointing Kerry, Hagel and Brennan, the President carefully chose not Anthony Eden but rather men who --come what may-- will certainly go along with any decision to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions, as in a possible deal accepting Iran as a "threshold" nuclear power. Sixth, 10 years of public opinion polling tell us that Americans regard the Islamic Republic as USA enemy "Number One" and are exceptionally supportive of Israel. So, what does this all amount to? Despite the fact that a few Jews continue building some homes, schools, hospitals, synagogues, businesses and farms east of the 1949 armistice demarcation line --at this precise juncture-- President Obama urgently needs Israel to desist from striking Iran and to validate for the American people his "Neville Chamberlain" plans to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions. This logic explains why he now remarkably pays Israel the signal honor of a presidential visit. For President Obama, the key point is -- who in the USA could "credibly" trash his long-standing plan to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions, if the Israel government itself effectively "koshers" this appeasement policy in the eyes of the American people? And for sure, fully consistent with this interpretation is the trip's focus on USA-Israel cooperation on anti-missile missiles. But wait there is more! President Obama reasonably expects that the Israel trip will dramatically boost his popularity among Israelis. And, he has probably already calculated that, perhaps after the 2014 mid-term elections, he might be able to use this enhanced popularity as an added way to eventually pressure the Israel government into an unsafe agreement for a Palestinian State.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
We CANNOT come to a conclusion of Barack Kardashian's, or politician's collectively for that matter, 'intentions'. ONLY fathom what he/ pols say, do.

The last 48 hours Uhbama met with a dictatir, anti-Semite ahem, 'leader' from SE Asia.

That same 'leader' whose country possesses signs at every border entry point whereas 'Kosher food is not permitted' and those with Israeli passports are NOT allowed to enter said country.

The 'newspapers' from said-country praised this 'leader's' decision to not have an Estate Duty/ Tax whereas the 'leader is quoted as calling said outcome a, '..Gracious and Priceless Gift'. Wow, 'Thanks' for letting me keep my money.

These same 1970's U.S.S.R. Pravda-like 'newspapers' ooze anti-Semitism and frighteningly fictional 'news stories' daily of the goings-on between the strained relationship of Israel- Gaza Strip citizenry.

Heck, even Al-Jazeera would blush most times if attempting to print such bovine nonsense.

Recall Obama's first overseas interview was NOT with our Israeli ally and/ or pro-Israeli news stations.

The infinite-like fictional praises, accomplishments Uhbama heaped on Islam/ M E in his Cairo speech.

His snubbing a vis-a-vis with Netanyahu when he was in the U.S. this past Fall.

Obama choosing Brennan, Kerry and Hagel. The aforementioned are either clueless - hostile towards Israel.

Obama providing F-16's, Abrams tanks to Egypt's Morsi/ MB. As well as SoS Kerry providing evermore U.S. dollars (we don't have) to Egypt recently!

There STILL being a PLO office in D.C., even when the majority of House members sent a letter with 2-party support (Steny Hoyer, D-MD) to Obama to close said office.

I won't even go into the anti-Seimtism Obama proudly displayed prior to his being President, Jr. Senator etc.,
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I rather think that Obama believes that a stronger Iran will improve US posture in the region:
1. It will keep the US out of the line of fire: let the neighbors worry.
2. It will force people to choose sides and will give the US a better bargaining position against the other countries: who wants US out of the area then?

In the longer term, I think Obama and the Left believes that Israel is indefensible both literally and within the ethos of self-determination of peoples, that is if you are in a mascot, oppressed group.

Finally, I think Obama and many others believe that the situation is more manageable without Israel as it exists now. Perhaps a rump state would work under US guarantee.

I think Obama may cut Pollard loose which would put the fox amongst the chickens.

1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
The most logical next job for him would be Secretary General of the UN
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
...wash your mouth out!

1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Prognosticate all you want but the bottom line is this: Obama either embraces the U.S.A.'s long held stance alongside Israel, and does so wholeheartedly without reserve - both personally and publicly - or he decides to go his own way without Israel. Should he choose the latter; not only will I be dissapointedfor Obama, I will be disappointed for us all in the U.S.A.; since the consequences will probably not be to our liking.
Politics doesn't solve anything ... and Obama's cozy relationship with Islam is an accident waiting to happen ... Lord have mercy.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What to Expect When Obama Visits Israel

Terrorism. The sacrifice of more Jewish lives. May Jewish grandmothers and their grandchildren put off a visit to the local ice-cream parlor during his visit.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
The only reason Obama is going to Israel is to be able to point to this trip as proof that he is Israel's "friend" after Iran announces its nuclear weapon---and he offers Israel "protection" from that weapon on the condition that Israel grants the entire "Palestinian" wish list.

This will be sufficient to fool the American Jews who care about Israel but still reflexively vote Democrat, and keep them on the Democrat plantation.

There is no other purpose to this visit.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
"One prince of the present time, whom it is not well to name, never
preaches anything else but peace and good faith, and to both he is
most hostile, and either, if he had kept it, would have deprived him of
reputation and kingdom many a time." - The Prince
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Sustained 'peace' progress has failed under how many political administration over how many decades?

Since 2000, in the sewer partisan politics, can't even begin to approach our own nations many problems with common sense resolve muchless, the problems of the world for which it injects itself into, decade after decade.

Since Israel has legitimate treaties with The U.S. and its allies, the best approach for Israel, is to let the U.S. know that we'll call you if we need you and until then we're going to do what we believe is in our best interest.

The Jewish political and military lobby entities in America, needs to cease and desist! Therir money and influences corrupts our government and accomplishes nothing for a sustained peace in the region -- as proven for how many decades now?

Most Americans cheerish our Jewish friends and their religious relationship and wish them well in their challenges but we can't contiune on being a dictate over what is their best political and military interest. Just go take care of business and call us if and when you need military backup to ERADICATE the enemy to a point of lawful surrender by the enemy governments and ALL of its political and combat allies in the region. Not willing to do the job right -- don't call us! Time to end the conflicts in the region over Israel!
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Zeke1, while there's some sage words in your post, Israel is doomed on the 'peacemaking' front with her neighbors, respectively.

For those neighbor's adhere to a devolving, forced upon-cult billed as 'religion' in every facet of their voluntarily unrealized lives.

It's unbelievably sad when considering the very same area of the world ~1200 years ago was thee go-to for equality, knowledge on a myriad of matters.

It's not the Israeli's/ Jews who have run away from peace seeking, technological, mathematical, medical, spiritual, engineering, psychological, sociological etc., types of societal advancements.

Israeli's and Jews worldwide continue contributing/ making advancements in many forays.

The Israeli's hands are tied in, '..TCB..' because they're demagogued in EVERY decision/ action they make.. often times the most vitriolic comments/ sound bites are made by the very allies they rely upon!

Recent appointees Kerry, Brennan and Hagel - you can't believe they're the 'Right Stuff' in standing up/ beside Israel's safety, best interests?

The 'Jewish pol and military lobby..' - Seriously? Morsi/ MB just received a shade under $1 billion IOU U.S. dollars, F-16's and Abrams tanks!

What about the PLO office in D.C. ?

Obama speaking of Israel's border needing to go back to '..pre-1973..' to 'increase likelihood of peace..' - ?

The Israeli's have been in the muck and in most circumstances, on their own for some time.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
1 2 Next View All

One Trackback to “What to Expect When Obama Visits Israel”