The redistricting wars have been really heating up over the past few weeks, but as PJ Media readers know, the math doesn’t look good for the Democrats. Simply put, more states can redistrict mid-cycle that Republicans run, and blue states are already so heavily gerrymandered that there’s less for Democrats to gain. So, why are Democrats trying so hard? Why are they escalating a war they can’t win?
The answer is actually quite simple.
Democrats are reviewing the latest Electoral College projections and realizing that they are on the verge of a long-term decline in political influence in Washington, D.C.
A recent analysis by the New York Times revealed that the map is drifting steadily toward Republican dominance, thanks to population shifts that favor GOP strongholds like Florida and Texas. If the current trends keep up, the next census won’t just tweak the numbers—it’s going to redraw the battlefield for presidential elections and leave Democrats with the odds stacked firmly against them.
Hence, the reason why Democrats are panicking and are looking for any excuse to gerrymander their states even further.
For years, Democrats counted on blue states to deliver dependable electoral votes, but that safety net is wearing thin as Americans flee high-tax, high-regulation, high-crime Democratic-run states for the freedoms and opportunities available in places where the GOP runs the show.
The numbers don’t lie: Florida and Texas stand to pick up a remarkable five congressional seats combined, while Republican-friendly Idaho and Utah could each add one more to their tallies. Meanwhile, Democrats are staring down the barrel of losses in strongholds such as California and New York—an exodus that risks shrinking their influence at the federal level in ways they can’t ignore. Even Minnesota and Pennsylvania, states that sometimes swing, are projected to lose ground.
It’s not a good situation for them. And since they have no desire to moderate their radical positions, they are using any means possible to keep as many seats as they can.
Desperation breeds action, and that explains why Democrats have intensified their redistricting efforts, despite the math not being in their favor. Florida and Texas alone expect populations to surge by nearly thirteen percent each—more than enough to tip the scale further. Even the brightest blue spot, Colorado, barely keeps pace and is projected to grow less than ten percent. Meanwhile, Illinois and New York continue to shrink, shedding residents and electoral clout at precisely the wrong moment for Democrats.
It’s a beautiful thing, but it’s making the Democrats extremely desperate and they are not thinking clearly.
Nobody should mistake these moves for strength; they’re the battlefield maneuvers of a party fully aware it may be living on borrowed time. When electoral power leaves through the front door, Democrats are left to try anything and everything to hold the line—even if that means turning redistricting into a full-contact, gloves-off war. The stakes couldn’t be higher, and the future promises no reprieve until—and unless—the left finds a way to stem the tide and win back the Americans they've so clearly managed to drive away.
And let's be honest: That's not going to happen.