A Little Piece of Poland, A Little Piece of France…
January 7th, 2013 - 5:38 am
It’s official: Nobody likes Bandar Assad’s “peace” plan for Syria.
The fighting has been so bitter and gone on for so long now, the question is no longer one of who will rule Syria when it’s all over. The question is how many countries will occupy the space still labeled “Syria” on the map?
And if anyone will effectively rule or govern them at all.
Syria has been an artificial nation since its founding in the 1920s, composed of dozens of competing tribes who have never had much love or regard for each other. Absent any strongman to terrorize everyone into submission this outcome is inevitable. Think what happened to Yugoslavia 20 years ago and multiply the resulting statelet count by 20-30.
Agreed, break up is the best case scenario. The alternative is ethnic cleansing likely ending in a fundamentalist state.
Tim, I think scenario B is the most likely.
In most of the Middle East, there are no good guys. There are bad guys and worse guys.