Do Early Voters Love Mitt?
Let’s take another look at something from earlier today about early voters, because I found numbers to back it up.
According to a GOP analysis of early voting and absentee ballot requests provided to Secrets, the Democrats are turning out their most reliable, or so-called “high propensity voters” than Republicans, leaving fewer for Election Day. The GOP is pushing weaker supporters to vote early, expecting high enthusiasm to drive their regular supporters to the polls next week.
Now here’s Henry Olsen from AEI on early voting in Ohio:
Twenty-two counties report that early voting in 2012 is already equal or greater than two-thirds the level in 2008. McCain carried sixteen of those, usually with high margins. Obama got more than 55% of the vote in only two of the remaining six, Ashtabula and Trumbull. All of those six are either in coal country or in a corridor from the Pennsylvania border through Canton that the Romney campaign is also targeting.
The numbers are particularly strong for Romney in the southeastern coal country on or near the Ohio River. From Scioto county in the south to Columbiana county in the north, early voting shares range from a low of 63.5% in Monroe to 82.7% in Columbiana. (Athens County, an Obama stronghold because of Ohio University, touches the Ohio River- its early voting share is only 57.4%). To compare, the early voting shares in the largest and strongest Obama counties (Cuyahoga, Lucas, Franklin, Summit, and Lorain) never top 61.0% (Cuyahoga).
Exceptionally strong numbers can also be found in Republican counties in the northwest in the Dayton, Lima, and Toledo media markets. Early voting shares there average in the high sixties, touching as high as 87.5% in Champaign County.
If anything, these numbers underestimate Romney’s strength in early voting because most of the counties not reporting early voting numbers are strongly Republican.
Illegitimi non carborundum, folks.
Way off topic. but, I became so mad about Facebook blocking the Seal’s meme, that I thought I’d complain to Facebook. Went to help page. Typed in Obama.
Received only 1 response from Facebook. “How do I unlike something”.
I kid you not. Try it. I typed in Romney and received no responses.
Amazing.
I just hope its enough of an ass-kicking that we don’t have to hear about how he ‘stole the election’ for the next 4+ years.
Rove calls it for Romney, minimum 279 EC votes. He says Romney will win Ohio, and that seals the deal.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204846304578090820229096046.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop
He also correctly called it for Obama four years ago.
Unfortunately, four years ago wasn’t nearly so close or as difficult to call. Wishing it were that easy in Romney’s direction now, that’s for sure.
The polls were screwed-up enough in 2008 that lots of Republicans were fooling themselves. Rove wasn’t one of them. Today he’s looking at a combination of poll data and anecdotal evidence to call Ohio for Romney.
Foreswear the mien of immoderate impudence and all that, but Rove’s pretty good with numbers and this is good news.
It’s been a 2-hour wait to vote, all day, every day this week in Smyrna, GA. Smyrna went for McCain by 3-to-1 in 2008.
You figure out the rest yourself…
Unfortunately, GA has been red since day one. It doesn’t matter if 100% of Georgians voted for Romney.
It certainly does matter. There are no “red states” or “blue states” in the popular vote count. Unless you like listening to the left complain about an “illegitimate” presidency.
How many voters, legitimate, not dead, or thin-air, voters remain to vote on Nov. 6?
The Democrats are way ahead in creating “missing” votes.
Btw, Romney’s biggest asset is Obama who has never supported a winning team since he became president. Earlist: Chicago was the fourth out of four contestants for hosting the Olympics, latest: the Obama jinxed Detroit Lions lost the World Series, 4 games straight.
In the election, Obama has voted for Obama, the biggest jinx of all time.
Tigers, not Lions. The Lions are football.
I have only one counter: they keep calling me and telling me to early-vote. (Or did till I voted) OTOH this is not MITT, it’s the other “conservative” PACS, and I think they’re going on profile. I mean, I’ve gone to a rally early on (never got in to the second) but I’m Latina, female, post grad education and work in the arts… I can see how people who don’t know I’m volunteering would think “Soft support.” Also, I didn’t vote in the primaries and wasn’t involved in the Mitt effort then, so… I could see that. But I voted, and the calls stopped…
On being a stick in the mud — I think most people still prefer voting on the day, at least on the conservative side. All my friends go “I’ll vote on the DAY.” … and I would to — for something to do, if nothing else, if I weren’t volunteering.