Kaus wonders if the Bradley Effect is still, uh, in effect:
If you’re looking for evidence of a “Bradley”-like effect–in which preelection polls can be wildly off–one place to look is the polling on Ward Connerly’s Civil Rights Initiative in Michigan. According to Connerly (in answer to an email query)
Some polls had us losing by 10 points the weekend before the election. We won by 16.
Results here. … It seems clear, in that case at least, voters told pollsters the respectable PC answer they thought pollsters wanted to hear. … Barack Obama was one of those campaigning (in radio spots) for the respectable PC side that lost.
Of course, that was before Obama had become the Anointed One. We shall see which way the, ah, righteous wind blows.