TradeSports bettors call it like so:
Note that bettors think Bush has less than a 60% chance of capturing Florida, Iowa, or Ohio – keeping those states effectively in play. Same goes for Kerry getting Wisconsin.
So Bush’s likely range of EC votes is really 227-291, and a range of 247-311 for Kerry. It would seem that going into the last two days of the campaign, TradeSports thinks Kerry’s base is firmer than Bush’s.
Commence nailbiting. . . now.
UPDATE: Frank Martin is not biting his nails.