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The PJ Tatler

by
Bryan Preston

Bio

May 9, 2014 - 8:59 am

The Washington Post’s Election Lab recently determined that Republicans have an 82% chance of capturing the Senate. A couple of new polls suggest that that finding is true.

Louisiana looks like it’s ready to jettison Mary Landrieu.

Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) posts her lowest level of support yet in a new poll of her tough reelection fight.

The survey, from Louisiana-based bipartisan pollster Southern Media & Opinion Research, gives Landrieu just 36 percent support among likely voters to 35 percent support for Rep. Bill Cassidy (R). Retired Air Force colonel Rob Maness (R) takes 7 percent and state Rep. Paul Hollis (R) has 4 percent support. Seventeen percent are undecided.

It’s the lowest numbers she’s posted in any survey of the race yet, and it’s a drop of five points from Southern Media & Opinion Research’s last survey, conducted in November.

North Carolina is seeing a shift against Kay Hagan.

The North Carolina Senate race is now almost dead even.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds that State House Speaker Thom Tillis, the winner of Tuesday’s Republican primary, earns 45% support to incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan’s 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.(To see survey question wording, click here.)

Tillis held a 47% to 40% lead over Hagan in late January in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the Tar Heel State’s U.S. Senate contest.

Usually, when an incumbent is dead even with a challenger months out, the undecided break against the incumbent and the challenger wins.

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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All Comments   (6)
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Holy crap-I used to work for Col Maness
16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
The only way Hagen won was by being on the D side of the ballot when all the light bringer's once every 4 yrs voters showed up. She has done nothing for the state of NC since being elected. Well, maybe being the deciding vote on ocare as the current ads being run here in NC are saying. ha! I believe she has a snowball's chance.
16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
I caddied for Udall in the NCAA Small College golf tournament held at Taconic Golf Club when he was at Williams College. Third hole he picks his nose and wipes it in the long rough, looks at me and says, "Ya can't play golf with boogers up your nose."

True story.
16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
The “League of Conservation Voters” has been running a series of ads against Colorado Republican candidate-apparent Corey Gardner for over a week now on several Denver-area stations, including several FOX News programs. From the very first ad, I suspected that the term “Conservation” was deliberately selected to confuse some who may think it is “Conservative”. Incumbent Senator Udall is specifically promoted. Going to the League’s website immediately re-directs you to the Natural Resources Defense Council.

This is early May and the Colorado Primary isn’t until June 24! The Democrats are already running scared, but not stupid scared. They intend to kitchen-sink the Republicans, and if 10 percent of the mud sticks, they might just keep the seat.

I would not be surprised it the Stupid Party helps them do this.
16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
Especially since the Colorado Republican party is just plain awful. None of the Colorado Republican stalwarts had the good sense to jump on the recent grassroots recall against state senators who helped pass some unpopular gun measures. In 2010 rather than riding the Republican Tsunami they were too busy kicking sand in each other's face.
16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
Sounds like California. The Repub Establishment there would cut their own throats before they'd support a conservative.

16 weeks ago
16 weeks ago Link To Comment
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