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by
Rick Moran

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April 6, 2014 - 11:16 am

The city of Chicago is seeing significantly fewer homicides and gun rights advocates are claiming that the new conceal-carry law is the reason.

Through March, there are 6 fewer homicides than this time last year, and 55 fewer than 2012. It’s the fewest number of homicides reported in the first three months of the year since 1958.

City officials disagree with the notion that the conceal carry law has anything to do with the reduction.

Citing newly-released police data, the Sun-Times reports Chicago’s first quarter of 2014 tallied the lowest number of homicides since 1958. The numbers reflect six fewer homicides than the same period in 2013, and 55 fewer homicides since the same time in 2012.

“This is now the sixth consecutive quarter that we’ve had significant reductions of murder and violence in the city,” Chicago’s Police Supt. Garry McCarthy told ABC Chicago in an interview Tuesday. “We’re pleased, but of course we have a lot of work to do.”

Though the homicide rate has improved from years past, the homicide total is already past 50 in the first three months of the year.

In the past weekend alone, there was one homicide and 13 shooting victims in a 36-hour span — largely on the city’s South and West Sides, the Tribune reports.

McCarthy acknowledged to ABC that even in crime-heavy areas where incidents are down, “perception lags to [the] reality of crime.”

“You don’t reduce the murder rate in Lincoln Park the way that you do in Roseland,” McCarthy said. “Roseland is where we’re seeing great gains, but sometimes people don’t feel that. When the murder rate goes down from ten to eight, do you feel 20 percent better? No. We understand it.”

The city’s top cop said crime across the board is down, attributing the progress to better police training and community-based initiatives aimed at keeping kids off the street.

McCarthy also touted the recovery of 1,300 illegal guns during the first three months of the year while taking a jab at the state’s new concealed carry law.

McCarthy and Mayor Rahm Emanuel both staunchly opposed concealed carry in Chicago, prompting the top cop to point out the department made the first arrest in Illinois of a concealed carry permit holder after the man allegedly threatened to shoot someone in a rent money dispute.

“We’re going to have tragedies from this,” McCarthy said of concealed carry in Chicago. “The answer to gun violence is not more guns — it’s less guns.”

While any reduction in crime is good, and it’s always better for responsible citizens to have the option of arming themselves, it’s impossible to say whether or not you can credit the conceal carry law for any drop in crime statistics.

The murder rate has been dropping for the last six quarters in the city — long before conceal carry became legal. It’s also a fact that the horrible winter weather in Chicago has played a role in a general drop in criminal activity.

I wouldn’t put any stock at all in the the boast by city officials that some of the drop in the murder rate is because the police have confiscated 1300 guns. In a city of 3 million, that might be 0.5% of the total, which hardly makes a dent in guns used for illegal purposes.

But there is little doubt that there is a rough correlation nationwide in states where conceal carry is adopted and a drop in violent crime.

It may be a combination of factors that have led to the drop in Chicago’s murder rate. But you can’t ignore the adoption of conceal carry as one of those factors, nor can you dismiss the impact of such laws on the crime rate nationwide.

Rick Moran is PJ Media's Chicago editor and Blog editor at The American Thinker. He is also host of the"RINO Hour of Power" on Blog Talk Radio. His own blog is Right Wing Nut House.

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Top Rated Comments   
If there had been an *increase* of six murders per year, every single anti-gun group and their dogs would be on TV decrying the law and screaming for revenge on the NRA, the newspapers would run it front page every day, and the administration would certainly follow up. Since it's the other way around though, the news will barely even show.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Concealed carry, per se, will not reduce the crime rate. It's concealed carry by decent, responsible citizens which will reduce the crime rate, over time. The answer to "gun violence" is more guns in the hands of people who will use them to defend against those who would commit violence.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (8)
All Comments   (8)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
Anyone have the number of DCL holders in the Chicago area?
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
More dead criminals in Chicago.

Who cares how it gets done. Slaughter them. Every one of them.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
I would say not yet. The slow lumbering nature of any bureacracy (x000s if you're talking about IL) means that concealed carry credentials simply may not be in the hands of those who qualify etc. That was the cruel irony of the Sikh temple shooting of August 2012 - Wisconsin's CC permit program initiated in January of 2012; there had been a six-month processing queue at the time of the shooting. I'm sure a religious community who are renown for owning ground-level retail and hospitality in places others of us would have nothing to do with had their applications ready when the New Years bubbly was flowing. Although some criminals may be misled into thinking this is an instantaneous law or is that Illinois now operates as "shall carry".
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
No, you can't. The law has not been in place long enough. The reduced homicide rate is the product of the coldest 6 months in a 100 years and undoubtedly the reduced population of violent offenders caused by the previous year's high murder rate.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Facts are no impediment to Chicago's thug politicians lying about concealed carry permit holders.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
If there had been an *increase* of six murders per year, every single anti-gun group and their dogs would be on TV decrying the law and screaming for revenge on the NRA, the newspapers would run it front page every day, and the administration would certainly follow up. Since it's the other way around though, the news will barely even show.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Concealed carry, per se, will not reduce the crime rate. It's concealed carry by decent, responsible citizens which will reduce the crime rate, over time. The answer to "gun violence" is more guns in the hands of people who will use them to defend against those who would commit violence.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
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