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Rick Moran


March 2, 2014 - 7:21 am
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Ukraine’s new prime minister, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, warned that his country was “at the brink of disaster” as Russian troops continued to move into the Crimea and the government in Kiev called up the military  reserves in preparation to defend the country from the Russian invasion.

In the Crimean town of Perevalne, several hundred soldiers wearing no insignia but arriving in trucks bearing Russian license plates surrounded a Ukrainian military base. Ukrainian soldiers stood behind a tank at the base’s gate in a standoff with the foreign troops.

No shots have been fired — yet.

According to this CNN report, two other bases were also targeted by what a Ukrainian defense ministry spokesperson said were Russian troops:

Amid signs of Russian military intervention in Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula, Russian generals led their troops to three bases in the region Sunday demanding Ukrainian forces surrender and hand over their weapons, Vladislav Seleznyov, spokesman for the Crimean Media Center of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, told CNN.

Speaking by phone, he said Russian troops had blocked access to the bases, but added “there is no open confrontation between Russian and Ukrainian military forces in Crimea” and that Ukrainian troops continue to protect and serve Ukraine.

“This is a red alert. This is actually a declaration of war in our country,” Yatsenyuk said.

Speaking in a televised address from the parliament building in Kiev, Yatsenyuk called on Russian President Vladimir Putin to “pull back the military and stick to international obligations.”

“We are on the brink of disaster,” he said.

In Brussels, Belgium, NATO ambassadors were scheduled to hold an emergency meeting on Ukraine.

“What Russia is doing now in Ukraine violates the principles of the U.N. charter,” NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen told reporters.

“Russia must stop its military activities and threats,” Rasmussen said, adding, “we support Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty. … We support the rights of the people of Ukraine to determine their own future without outside interference.”

Noble words that are no doubt falling on deaf ears in Moscow.

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s acting defense minister, Ihor Tenyuh, told a closed-door session of parliament that the country does not have the military force to resist Russia in the Crimea.

New York Times:

But the Ukrainian military has only a token force in the autonomous region — a lightly armed brigade of about 3,500 people, equipped with artillery and light weapons but none of the country’s advanced battle tanks, said Igor Sutyagin, a Russian military expert at the Royal United Services Institute in London. The forces also have only one air squadron of SU-27 fighters deployed at the air base near Belbek.

A senior NATO official said that Ukraine’s small naval fleet, which was originally part of the Black Sea Fleet, had been boxed in by Russian warships.

The Russian takeover of Crimea was relatively easy, in part because the Ukrainian military was careful not to respond to a provocation that would excuse any larger intervention. The military — which has seen its top leader change constantly with the political situation — has also made a point of staying out of the internal political conflict in Ukraine.

The question is, just how far is Vladimir Putin willing to go with this adventure? If Putin is satisfied with securing the Crimea, it is likely that Ukraine will make a stink at the UN, but won’t go to war to save the region.

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Some Russian officials have referred to the government in Kiev as “fascists” — a term bound to stir Russian passions as it recalls the 20 million dead lost while fighting Hitler in World War II.

Historians generally agree these days that Soviet losses, which include the Ukrainians, was 26.5 to 28 million dead, not 20 million. Twenty million was the number we got from the Soviets in the years immediately following WW II when Stalin was still alive and the Communists were still in power.

In the years since, and as Western historians started getting access to the archives in the late- and post-Communist era, the numbers grew rather substantially. In a nutshell, the numbers had been held down to avoid embarrassing Stalin whose initial conduct of the war was widely felt to be appallingly bad. Not that anyone dared actually say that at the time.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
The Protesters chose the West and Freedom. They deserve the support of the Western Democracies. They won't be re-absorbed into the Moscow Orbit. If the Russians move into Eastern Ukraine, there will be War. Poland should step up, for they know what it is like to be abandoned and they have close ties to the people of Western Ukraine. Shame on the nations of the West, if they abandon these people.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
I think the only course to avert a crisis is for Ukraine to restore the deposed president Yanukovych. He was duly elected by ALL Ukrainians, after all.

Then maybe their government can rethink or renegotiate a bail-out deal with either Russia or the EU.

But the protestors caused this, and they need to back down or be stifled.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
I'm sure Putin will go as far in the Ukraine without a UN authorization as Obama was willing to go in Libya with a UN authorization while he violated that authorization to get a regime change. As I recall, Putin complained bitterly about that American illegality in Libya while enabling those former European colonial oppressors to dismantle the Libyan government under UN cover. What's good for the American goose is good for the Russian bear.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
LOL.......the Ukrainian military will fold and retreat at the first sight of a Russkie tank.....
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Yesterday I was commented back how this couldn't happen in the United States because the situation was different. Well it is and it isn't. Yes over in the Ukraine they are dealing with a another country invading. I would argue that the premise of the initial protesting is very similar to events which I believe will occur in the United States. We will not have a foreign invader, we may very well have a nationwide invasion of the federal government. The tyrannical mindset is the same.

So what do we have over there? We have a tyrannical mindset in government. We have a failed economy and dismal outlook for the future in the Ukraine. We have a government that has no intention of advocating freedom but only wishes to remain in power. We have multicultural clash among peoples’ of different origins—one being favored over another.

Then we finally have people who protest in mass numbers. And it turns
revolutionary which is their only option as the government has no intention of
being a government run by the people.

Then the military comes in with martial law type attitude and now we are looking at physical suppression of natural rights and violence. And possibly an emergence of a revolutionary army and civil war.

And what do we have here in the United States? We have an economy that
is on the brink of failing and is constantly propped up by continued deficit
spending and continued out of control debt which at this point cannot be
resolved. It must fail by the very laws of economics. We have multicultural clash to the point where in California the natural right to wear a shirt at school with the
American flag was outlawed in fear of offending Latinos in the area. We have a
corrupt government on both parties whose only intention is to stay in power.
Tyrannical is the mindset I would use. And we have nothing but growing
entitlement to feed off the producer.

Sure, we are going to be just fine. It’s all tin foil I know. I’m
blowing the economic debt way out of proportion aren’t I, Mr Progressive.
Right. The fact that two similar situations will produce the same results is
ludicrous I’m sure. My prophetic fiction based on history is way off. What is
history anyway in terms of enlightenment of the present? Even though that
enlightenment is based on the exact history of failure and collapse.

Stay tuned Kiev. You might very well be watching the United States on
your television soon.

Charles Hurst. Author of THE SECOND FALL. An offbeat story of Armageddon. And creator of THE RUNNINGWOLF EZINE.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
"The newly appointed head of Ukraine's navy has sworn allegiance to the Crimea region, in the presence of its unrecognised pro-Russian leader.

Rear Admiral Denis Berezovsky was only made head of the navy on Saturday, as the government in Kiev reacted to the threat of Russian invasion.'

Admiral Berezovsky appeared in Sevastopol before cameras alongside Sergiy Aksyonov, the pro-Russian politician elected by Crimea's regional parliament as local prime minister.

Mr Aksyonov announced he had given orders to Ukrainian naval forces on the peninsula to disregard any orders from the "self-proclaimed" authorities in Kiev.

Sunday, he said, would go down in history as the birthday of the "navy of the autonomous republic of Crimea".

The admiral then pledged to "strictly obey the orders of the supreme commander of the autonomous republic of Crimea" and "defend the lives and freedom" of Crimea's people. "
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Putin cannot hold Crimea without taking a chunk of eastern Ukraine. Depending on how the Ukrainian military splits, Putin might not be able to take a chunk of eastern Ukraine. At full mobilization the Russian army only outnumbers the Ukrainian army 3-1, and the Ukrainians are fighting on their own turf. Getting his butt kicked by the Ukrainians, even if he's ultimately successful in holding Crimea, isn't going to do Putin's international standing any good, and will prompt the rest of what he sees as Russia's natural sphere of influence to take actions to preserve their independence. It would be a net loss for Putin.

I think the most likely scenario is Putin using Crimea as a hostage to get concessions from the new government. Slightly less likely would see an independent Crimea, but that would be under joint domination by Russia and Ukraine. The former because of the cultural links and the latter because they control the land links to the peninsula.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
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