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by
Rick Moran

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February 24, 2013 - 5:27 am

President Obama has placed the Democrats in an extraordinarily dangerous position. His chicken little act about how badly the sequester cuts are going to hit the nation may blow up in his face. It will take weeks — perhaps a couple of months — before the full effect of the furloughs and cuts to services are fully felt. If the sequester plays out in slow motion, Obama will lose all credibility.

The national media, by and large, is following the White House line of dire consequences if the sequester goes through. Washington Post:

With the ax set to fall on federal spending in five days, the question in Washington is not whether the sequester will hit, but how much it will hurt.

Over the past week, President Obama has painted a picture of impending disaster, warning of travel delays, laid-off firefighters and pre-schoolers tossed out of Head Start. Conservatives accuse Obama of exaggerating the impact, and some White House allies worry the slow-moving sequester may fail to live up to the hype.

The good news is, the world doesn’t end March 2. The bad news is, the world doesn’t end March 2,” said Emily Holubowich, a Washington health-care lobbyist who leads a coalition of 3,000 nonprofit groups fighting the cuts. “The worst-case scenario for us is the sequester hits and nothing bad really happens. And Republicans say: See, that wasn’t so bad.”

How twisted does one’s priorities have to be in order to say that the “worst case scenario” for the sequester is if nothing much bad happens? Wow.

“It would be a big problem for the White House if the sequester came and went and nobody really noticed anything. Then people will start saying, ‘Well, maybe we can cut spending,” said John H. Makin, a resident scholar at the conservative American Enterprise Institute who penned a recent Wall Street Journal piece titled “Learning to Love the Sequester.”

Adding to the liberal angst is concern that the scale of the cuts may be overstated, at least in the short term. While the sequester orders the White House to withdraw $85 billion in spending authority from affected agencies in the fiscal year that ends in September, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office predicts that agencies will reduce actual spending by only about $44 billion, with the remaining cuts carried over into future years.

Compared with total 2013 discretionary spending, that’s a cut of less than 4 percent.

The impact will be magnified, however, because of certain exemptions — military payrolls, for example — and because it must be compressed into seven months rather than being spread out over 12. As a result, some agencies, notably the Pentagon, are contemplating cuts to nonexempt accounts of as much as 17.5 percent.

Still, managers at many agencies have been bracing for the cuts, postponing purchases and new hires so they can protect employees and the public from the very disruptions to core services that would draw headlines.

“This is the Catch-22,” said Richard Kogan, a former Obama budget official now at the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. “The problem would be solved faster if it was literally a disaster. But making it a disaster is not what agency managers really want to do.”

Oh my goodness. Agency managers are going to have to work for a living and come up with ways to save money and still get the job done.

Does this mean that many agencies could do the same job for less money? Perish the thought.

Nobody knows which side is right. I suspect that the GOP is right in the short term, but that there will be some serious problems at the defense department over the longer term. It doesn’t matter. However it turns out, the president will try to spin the results to his advantage even if the cutbacks don’t affect much of anything.

Rick Moran is PJ Media's Chicago editor and Blog editor at The American Thinker. He is also host of the"RINO Hour of Power" on Blog Talk Radio. His own blog is Right Wing Nut House.

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All Comments   (8)
All Comments   (8)
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Simple solution.
Obama believes that America's business leaders can cut tighten their budgets a few percent to pay higher taxes, and yet continue to deliver the goods and services they do.
Simultaneously, he believes that government leaders cannot.

Ergo, replace the latter with the former. Problem solved.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Simple solution.
Obama believes that America's business leaders can cut tighten their budgets a few percent to pay higher taxes, and yet continue to deliver the goods and services they do.
Simultaneously, he believes that government leaders cannot.

Ergo, replace the latter with the former. Problem solved.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Obama will use every power within the executive branch---legal or not, warranted or not---to compel immediate cuts and inconveniences calculated to rile up his lowinfovo base. He will be abetted by a chorus of media hacks looking to gasp and view with alarm anything which can be blamed on the sequester, and anything which can't be blamed on it but which will be blamed anyway. "Gun violence," children denied healthcare, baby-mommas who've blown their food stamps at the nail salon---it will all be the fault of the terrible sequester, the financial equivalent of global warming, and all, of course, the fault of the heartless, racist Republicans.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
" It will take weeks — perhaps a couple of months — before the full effect of the furloughs and cuts to services are fully felt. If the sequester plays out in slow motion, Obama will lose all credibility."
I'll guarantee you that on the first day of the sequestration, there will be starving babies, mommies dying of cancer for having lost their health insurance, failing businesses, air traffic control failures, mob scenes at airports, and most any other fake disaster the communists and a complicit media can come up with. They already have it set up so they can lay off or cause the layoff of large numbers of employees and fake an economic catastrophe with it. Of course, they haven't given any of those employees required by law or contract, so after a decent interval, all the improperly laid off employees will get backpay. And I'll also guarantee that the Republicans don't have the guts to refuse to appropriate the money for backpay for defense contractor employees who weren't given proper WARN Act notice.

This is a game that the public employee unions have down pat; they know they can't sustain a real strike, so they've gotten really good at faking a strike. The Obamunists are much better at propaganda than the Clintonistas were, and Clinton ate Gingrich's lunch with the faked government shutdown. Maybe the Republicans have developed a little better understanding of what they're facing but somehow I doubt it.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
If the worst thing that comes out of the sequester is Jane Q. Bureaucrat getting a hangnail expect the only story in the media to be how much pain she is in, how her life is destroyed worrying over infection, and how evil Republicans are for allowing all of this to happen.

Of course that's not all that is going to happen. There is going to be real pain as a result of this, and the media and Democrats (BIRM) are going to work overtime to profit from it. Will it work? Based on the results of the last election, I'm not hopeful.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Global worming.

Hide the decline.

It goes like this. If it's hot out, it's global warming, if it snows in Tucson, it's global warming, if an asteroid passes near earth, it's global warming.

In global worming, leftists take anything and everything and blame it on their opponents. If you oppose leftism, you are responsible for war, acts of terror and acts of God...who doesn't exist.

Mark Steyn said that our media is doing willingly what the communist thugs had to force their media to do. That's because we have small c communists. They lie better.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
" If the sequester plays out in slow motion, Obama will lose all credibility."

Come on Rick - Obummer will figure out some way to lie his way out of that one too. Or he'll find a way for the sequestration to have some sort of impact. He'll pin the tail on the elephant and the sycophantic press will lap it up like puppies eating their kibbles. And the MSM will a nod in unison and claim it were those nasty Republicans who were causing The Won to worry so much.

Obummer doesn't need credibility - he's got the MSM on his side. Lies do not get reported. You'd know this if you've been paying attention. If the public gets restless over the lack of impact from sequestration the MSM will be there like a mother soothing her baby's restless sleep - "There there - mummy's right here - everything is fine" while stroking his furrowed brow. And John Q. will stick a thumb in their mouth and fall back into a restful trance - assured that all is right in their world.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Eighty-five billion dollars is 2 1/2% of total Federal spending, about 1/2% of the GDP. And it will be spread across different agencies. The Dems know it will have little impact. Create chaos in the airports! How will we know the difference? Sure if Obama clandestinely orders the DHS to deliberately slow things down so as to make it look worse, it may appear to be so. But we have the Dems back-peddling for a bit. Now for crying out loud.........PUNCH, PUNCH, PUNCH! Don't "rope-a-dope."
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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