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The PJ Tatler

by
Matt Vespa

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February 12, 2013 - 8:30 am

Gov. Chris Christie (R-New Jersey) has maintained a 40+ point lead on State Senator Barbara Buono since November of 2012, and that hasn’t changed with six in ten voters of the Garden State favoring Christie for re-election.  It’s roughy 63%-21% in the polls, and NJ Democrats are fractured concerning finding an alternative candidate to Buono to challenge the governor.

Cory Booker, Christie’s only legitimate threat, has decided to run for the U.S. Senate in 2014.  President of the Senate Stephen Sweeney lost a huge political ally when New Jersey Democratic power broker George Norcross endorsed Buono last month.  Furthermore, in 2011, Sweeney,  lost his support with the AFL-CIO, and has no access to the organization’s campaign cash.  Currently, Christie isn’t liked by many Republicans, but it looks as if Drumthwacket will remain occupied, at least ceremoniously, by a Republican.

According to Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post:

Seven in 10 voters have a favorable opinion of Christie, according to a Rutgers-Eagleton poll released Tuesday, and support for his reelection in 2013 is at 64 percent, 5 points up from November.

Christie leads his only declared opponent, Democratic state Sen. Barbara Buono, 63 percent to 21 percent, according to the poll, an increase of 4 points from his already overwhelming lead in November.

[...]

A Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press poll released Tuesday also found majority approval for Christie and support for his reelection, with the governor maintaining a 42-point lead over Buono.

“There is a long history that shows horse race polling has little predictive value this far out from an election. This is especially true when there is a popular incumbent and a largely unknown challenger. The important number here is that six in 10 voters support Gov. Christie’s reelection,” Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a release. “This suggests that the race should close in on a 20-point margin as the campaign progresses and Buono becomes better-known. The question remains whether the challenger can peel off Christie supporters to shrink that gap even more.”

Matt Vespa is a web editor at Townhall.com and occasional writer for Hot Air, RedState, and Townhall Magazine.
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