On a conference call this afternoon, Dick Morris predicted a Mitt Romney victory but voiced concern about recent polls showing a slight move in Barack Obama’s favor today. The president, Morris noted, is benefiting from a post-hurricane bounce as Americans rally around the face of the government. Michael Reagan, who was also on the call, noted that the president was able to “look presidential” and get free facetime on the air during Hurricane Sandy relief. Reagan added that it’s vital that Republicans stay engaged and point out Obama’s four-year history of failure to blunt this late surge.
Morris said that Obama’s southern firewall has collapsed, so his campaign is making a stand at its “northern firewall” states, Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney, said Morris, has flanked Obama by attacking states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan. Morris said that Romney should win Ohio but winning Pennsylvania would be even better, and that Romney is probably in better shape in the latter state. Pennsylvania and Ohio have 20 and 18 electoral votes, respectively. “The Romney forces are outgunning the Obama forces in Pennsylvania,” said Morris.
Hurricane Sandy impacts eastern Pennsylvania, which Morris said will depress the Democratic vote in that part of the state, adding to the possibility of Romney capturing it. Reagan said that Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s endorsement of Obama, while carrying on with the New York Marathon despite the widespread suffering in his city, could have a “disastrous” effect on the president’s re-election. Reagan said that people are outraged by the decision, and Bloomberg tying himself to Obama will drag down the president’s image.
Returning to Pennsylvania, Morris noted that after 2010 the state has changed and is “ripe” for a Republican win at the presidential level. “Pennsylvania is the soft underbelly” of the Democratic coalition, he said. He also said it’s the “new Ohio.” “In the past, coal was not a political term, it was just an industry, but this administration has made it public enemy number one,” said Morris, adding to Obama’s problems there. He noted that coal states like West Virginia and Kentucky used to be Democratic states but thanks to the war on coal, they have moved solidly into the Republican column. Pennsylvania could follow them this year and turn red, he said.
On early voting, Morris noted Romney’s seven-point lead nationally according to both Gallup and Pew. Pennsylvania does not have early voting, but where there is early voting, Romney is doing well and there has been a “tremendous shift” in the number of early voters in both parties. “Early voting is showing a strong Romney push,” said Morris.
Hearing Morris run on about Pennsylvania isn’t very encouraging. Seems like if his confidence had not waned, then he would be discussing it as icing on the cake rather than an absolute key, along with Wisconsin, which also hardly appears to be a lock. It makes me think he believes Ohio is in more trouble than he previously thought.
Maybe he thinks that the Fraud pretending to be president for a few days helped the Fraud more than Dick wants to admit.
Weo–
I read Morris’s comments not that OH is lost and Romney is forced to look for a new OH. I read them as OH is still contested and, now, PA is contested as well. And if a state like PA is being authentically contested, Dear Leader is in big trouble.
And, on the ground in western PA, I can tell you, things in PA look much better from Romney’s perspective than from Dear Leader’s.
First, Morris’s point about coal is dead-on. Especially here in western PA, Dear Leader’s war on coal is disastrous for him. It also plays in northeastern PA and resonates across the state, generally, as anti-fossil fuel, and PA’s relative prosperity of late is solely due to fossil fuel development from fracking.
Second, the ads for re-election for Senator Bob Casey and Democratic rep Mark Critz are all about how coal-friendly they are (and pro-life and pro-gun…yeesh, you know they’re running scared).
Third, and this just popped up on my radar a few minutes ago: Republican rep Tim Murphy from suburban Pittsburgh is in no danger of being unseated. He just ran an ad on the local broadcast of Hannity’s show touting how much his policies and outlook are akin to Romney’s. Look how much Mitt Romney and I have in common!
When the guys you oppose are defending formerly-friendly turf against your attacks and the guys you on your side (who you don’t necessarily need) are scrambling to get on board with you, that’s what Vodkapundit calls Mittmentum.
I hope you are right, but the last 2 or 3 times I’ve seen him or heard a report like Bryan’s, Morris seems to have ratcheted his confidence down a notch or two.
There are still plenty of positive signs, from him as well as others.
Ace has a report from Wapo that claims 13% of 2008 voters are abandonning the Fraud and shows what % of which groups. WAPO. That’s some new information and very encouraging.
http://minx.cc/?post=334550
The wild card in PA is fracking. There are lots of fracking jobs in Western PA, many people will lose these jobs if Obama is re-elected and the EPA shuts down natural gas drilling in this area. Romney will carry the western part of PA.
I wouldn’t be too worried or excited about anything Dick Morris says, he is probably the worst election predictor that anyone listens to. Remember when he called Tennessee and Louisiana “tossups” in the 2008 race? Yeah…
The analysis about coal is correct.
1. O regime’s War on the Catholic Church! Even Dem Catholics here in PA want to be good Catholics…not pariah’s to the bishops, priests and congregations. They are not Joe Biden or Nancy Pelosi “Catholics”. The churches in Western PA have – for months – told their congregations to vote their conscience in freedom of religion. Dozens of Catholic organizations have sued the regime for forcing them, thru Obamacare, to, as Bishop Zubik put it “Go to hell” by committing a grave sin. Many are in in Pennsylvania. http://triblive.com/news/2877922-74/bishops-catholics-catholic-faith-election-political-religious-statement-vote-2008#axzz2B74Xmlpf
2. War on coal and natural gas drilling. When we see a dozen coal barges running up and down the rivers, and rail cars full of coal alongside our beautiful rivers, we think coal is good. Electricity means light and natural gas means heat…important…just ask people in NJ and NY. When we see new hotels – full, and new trucks in driveways in “religion-clinging” and “gun-clinging” parts of our gorgeous state as a result of Marcellus Shale natural gas drilling we think it’s fantastic. When local gov’ts recently received impact fee checks from Marcellus Shale drilling, we think the GOP governor sure was smart by not putting those fees in the general fund to send to the Philly swamps. We don’t think – Hey, let’s get the EPA in here and shut everything down by drowning us in killer regulations so we can be poor and cold.
PA ROMNEY
I read Morris’ statement as arguing that Pa has now replaced Ohio as the state that Obama has to win or lose the election. Batchelor said as much last night – Obama has to win the Philadelphia by 550,000 votes or he don’t win the election, period.
Re: Obama’s uptick in the polls post Sandy. Where’s the blame shifting that went on after Katrina? Bush was responsible for Katrina; by analogy, Obama should be responsible for Sandy. Kudlow said tonight that the rage boiling in the region over inadequate services and slow restoration threatens Obama. Well, he’d really be in trouble if these folks couldn’t vote. Oh, wait, they can’t vote!
It would be quite amazing to see NJ or NY go to Romney but it’d never happen. The hurricane will have no impact on this election at all. The lamestream are just trying to make themselves feel better about what’s coming.
Hearing Dick Morris says anything is very discouraging.
Hard to believe anyone could be stupid enough to take him seriously.
I think 99% of voters have already made up their minds who they will vote for on November 6th (that includes independents). Now……we wait.
I’m with Dick, Romney is going win in a decisive way. A least until the “lost” ballots are found in various car trunks ala Al Franken.
I don’t understand how these “lost ballots” stories are credible. When I worked in elections, ballots were issued out by individual serial numbers, verified by hand, and signed for. When ballots were brought back to the office for counting after the polls closed, the count of total ballots and their serial numbers were checked again and signed in. Discrepancies that could not be swiftly resolved ended up in a loooooong discussion with sheriff deputies and police detectives. No way could boxes of ballots be “lost” in the trunk of someone’s car for weeks and weeks.
“No way could boxes of ballots be “lost” in the trunk of someone’s car for weeks and weeks.”
Yes, amazing but it (only) happens with Democrats…
Guess what? They dont need the Lost Boxesthis time
Because all those “early voters” had PEEE-Lenty of time to coordinate with party hacks to find a way to CAST ANOTHER VOTE ON ELECTION DAY!
Romney’s right to focus on PA. There is more coal mined there than there is in either “coal states like West Virginia and Kentucky” according to the Annual Coal Report:
http://www.eia.gov/coal/annual/pdf/table23.pdf
I like Dick morris’ take on things. But, he also said McCain would win in 2008. Not sure why he has so much Caché in the press.
Morris was the first one to predict the big 2010 overthrow of the House Democrats. No one else saw anything but a possible squeaker for the GOP. He seems to get out and about to find out what the actual voters are thinking.
Dick Morris is proof there is (a sort of) afterlife of Clinton (ALoC). Something for Hillary to look forward to? Being a consultant on The View?
Anger is rising fast in NYC, and Bloomberg is a total fool (if ever there was one). I don’t think people in that area voting on Tuesday are going to vote for Obama because he flew in and tied up traffic for them.
I’m from Ohio, and I don’t think Romney will lose it.
But all we can do now is wait, unless we can help in get-out-the-vote efforts on Tuesday.
An Préachán
The president, Morris noted, is benefiting from a post-hurricane bounce as Americans rally around the face of the government.
This drives me nuts. Are people really that shallow? A hurricane hits, Obama takes a day off from golfing or campaigning or whatever it is that he does other than his job, and shows up on TV and now everything else is forgotten?
“He’s a communist in everything but name but he showed up in New Jersey after the storm so I guess he has my vote”. Really? That’s all it takes?
Democracy is wasted on people that think this way.
The storm was Tuesday, this is only Friday. By next Tuesday, if people are still cold and hungry they will start comparing Sandy to Katrina and Obama to Bush. Obama doesn’t know how to energize and enable an effective relief effort or any thing else. He has shown us in so many ways that he really is just an empty chair. When the democrats started blaming storms on presidents they were setting themselves up for something like this. Just wait and see. Maybe, just maybe.
Looks like it is happening already. FEMA sucks, just ask anyone who has had experience with them. Is FEMA getting the gas stations pumping? Is FEMA distributing food, water and clothes to people who may have only been prepared for 3 days without electricity? NO.
Looks like NYC can’t even figure out how to get trucks into the devastated areas.
The only reason Napoleon Bloomberg cancelled the marathon is that he didn’t want a riot.
When people are dying for want of potable water, you don’t go and waste thousands of bottles of water on a marathon.
When are people going to get it through their heads that you need supplies for 7 days at bare minimum. If your disaster planning has any reliance on the government you are bound to be severely disappointed.
Unfortunately, there are a lot of people this shallow. I had a lot of hope this past weekend (I voted on the first day of early voting in FL) really thinking that Romney would win. That hope seems to be waning by the minute. We don’t seem to have enough good, hard working people in this country anymore.
“This drives me nuts. Are people really that shallow?”
We’re in a Statistical Dead Heat with a BLATANT Commie Radical and a tanked economy.
So, yes, we really are that shallow anymore.
Its called “the tipping point” and we’re screwed no matter who wins
“People eventually get the government they deserve.”
— George Bernard Shaw
“Eventually” is here. Looks like the people prefer the destructive fraud to someone who might fix things. It’s not about logic; it’s about emotion.
I think Ohio is lost, and Romney will lose on Tuesday.
Rush Limbaugh sounded scared and defensive today, describing Romney’s alleged big crowds and “Presidential appearance,” contrasted with Obama’s small crowds.
Sez Rush: Doesn’t mean anything, folks; it’s all anectodal. Darn right: Palin and even McCain (toward the end) got them lots of crowd love in ’08.
Limbaugh also talked about energy and polls. Weeell. I listened to the Romney sound clips. Decent applause and cheering, but nothing like the explosion Bill Clinton got on Obama’s behalf.
Limbaugh is running scared, because he is well aware that he, the rest of Talk Radio, and the “Conservative” media are complicit in the Establishment forcing Romney onto us. And there will be a reckoning.
When (not if, but WHEN) Romney loses, there MUST be a reckoning, starting with Talk Radio: in a sneaky, passive-aggressive way, they got us Romney. Instead of endorsing Santorum immediately (derailing Gingrich immediately and probably getting him behind Santorum), they waited until Gingrich was entrenched, effectively splitting the conservative vote. Limbaugh even acknowledged that Talk Radio’s late break for Santorum was splitting the Conservative vote; he seemed remarkably blase about it.
What we got is an Establishment Republican afraid to offend Conventional Wisdom. Not good enough, when your opponent is your enemy not just politically, but in the sense of war.
So…four more years of Obama. Or, possibly “for life,” for all Obama cares about the Constitution and considering the spinelessness of the GOP and the “Conservative” media.
Thank you, Establishment. Thank you, Talk Radio. Thank you, “Conservative” media. May you rot–the lot of you.
Rush Limbaugh had nothing to do with Romney’s nomination win, Romney became the nominee because American values have drifted far left for far too long. They chose Romney because a) they are afraid that a more liberty minded candidate will shore up an Obama re-election, and/or b) the values of the “conservative” electorate was influenced by the RINO’s “compassionate conservatism” in the party. in other words, we have forgotten the values that go with reason and liberty. We have defaulted our thinking to those who act more like our enemy than our ally. Once Romney is elected, we must keep the fires of reason and freedom under his butt at all times lest we slip into thinking that a candidate like Romney is a good candidate to help re-establish the American dream.
You are delusional.
a) The “Conservative” media, including talk radio, was all-in for Romney. Didn’t you read anything I just wrote?
b) Romney will lose. At his website, Dick Morris is sounding a much more ominous note than is being reported here.
Sandy and Christie resurrected a moribund Obama candidacy. Romney is doomed.
You are the delusional one..
“The “Conservative” media, including talk radio, was all-in for Romney. Didn’t you read anything I just wrote?”
Oh, because YOU wrote it, it must be true then, huh?
Hey, I just invented penicillin…and the airplane too..
Wow this is SO easy!
Even the NYT is saying PA is in play.
Morris has had a bead on this election from the beginning. The Republican rout from 2010 continues. The voter turnout will something like be R+3 and the huge swings in independent voters to the Republicans is well documented. The inter-city Democratic vote will be down both on total numbers and in percentage. Most of all voter enthusiasm is on the side of the Republicans as well. 41 million Tea Party voters are poised to vote O out of office. OH, WI, CO, IA, NH are all Romney’s, and not only is PA in play but I think NJ as well.
And dispite some signs O may have found some plus from the storm Morris says this “The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote.” These are and remain the keys though the storm may be a news stories nationally it’s effects are quite local to the northeast. Maybe it changes the vote in NJ but for the rest of the country it’s just a news story with no direct effect on them.
I don’t believe a word your saying. Your “know it all” tone and “it’s all about me” attitude is very suspect. Perhaps your a Democratic operative attempting to spread doom?
ahhh….another concern troll.
saw almost this exact same post on 2 other conservative sites.
pay them no mind folks. get out and vote (if you haven’t already), help/encourage/push others to the polls to do the same.
do that, and obama is done next Tuesday.
Let’s review the tripe that this clown Calcon10 humored us with shall we.
Hates conservative talk radio. Check!
Hates Republicans. Check!
Thinks that people who vote Republican, mindlessly obey everything that Limbaugh says. Check!
Sounds, speaks and looks like your typical Leftist who always accuses others of what they themselves are guilty of. Check!
Yup, it’s confirmed. What we have here is another duplicitous Democrat false flag operation that’s completely unbelievable.
That’s not what I observed (and believe you me, Romney was NOT my first choice).
Dick Morris has been overly optimistic (many times) before. He confidently predicted a Republican Senate in 2010. Doesn’t he worry, when he makes these predictions, that his reputation is on the line? I would love to be confident too, but I prefer being realistic. This thing is close, unfortunately.
We might have had a Republican Senate in 2010 but for the stupidity of the Tea Parties nominating braindead candidates to face off against the weakest Dem candidates.
Yeah, that would be the same stupid Tea Party that won us 60+ seats in the House and is pretty much responsible for all the enthusiasm on the Right since Ronald Reagan rode off into the sunset.
Two of the three rightmost Tea Party candidates would have won if the GOP establishment had backed them fully.
The choice Tuesday will be to re-elect the Marxist or vote for the Capitalist.
Most of the commenters are just spitting in the wind.
Romney is going to win!
1)This terrible storm that just blew through the mid-Atlantic states caused a crisis of epoch proportions.These states,including PA,are blue Democratic states.The chaos will cause a smaller turnout in coastal Democratic strongholds.Most of the voters who will show up will vote Republican.They will vote Republican because they will be furious with Fema & Washington for not sending more help faster;they will be in a “throw the bums out” mood.The bums in question at this time are Obama & the Democrats.The Democratic voters in the inner cities will be busy on election day doing their early holiday shopping through the broken storefront windows of local merchants,they won’t have time to go to the polls.
2)Much of the anger in the nyc metro area will be directed at Mayor Bloomburg & the Marathon issue.This will translate into anger toward Obama who is being endorsed by Bloomburg.
3) The crisis over the Benghazi attack is still alive & very hot!Obama can stall all he wants but the very act of stalling & evading will show him to be guilty by default.The Republicans will be sure to push the issue!
4)We can be confident that the Republicans have plenty of dirt on this very dirty administration.They will be saving these bombshells for the very last so they will be fresh in the minds of the voters as they go to the polls
For all of these reasons I believe Romney will win the election.
Heres the Skinny on PA:
Northern and Western PA are in play because of Coal, and Fracking and general Obama weariness.
EASTERN PA, specifically the “purple” part of Bucks County, is in play as well. A local Teachers Unions went on STRIKE this year. Again. They delayed the Schools opening in September. Last time it was Graduating Seniors held hostage…this time it was Kindergarteners.
On STRIKE (again!) when their average Salary is already 100k and they pay ZERO for unobtaineum bennies. This is a mixed-middle class area, some of it pseudo-affluent with a significant number of “guilty white liberals” who think themselves superior, but the back-lash against the teachers strike is WHITE HOT ANGER and it WILL be taken out on Democrats the polls. Anger at Penn State over the Child Rapes does not help Democrats either
So this “purple” part of PA is going BLOODY REVENGE RED next week, and it might be enough to overcome the Voter Fraud in Philly (and Harrisburg and Pittsburgh) and give Pennsylvania to Romney, but heres the catch:
The Storm. True, we have no damage here compared to Jersey, and no “real” effect on voter turnout is believable, but, like everything the Commie’s do, they have a nice little Lie prepared and the Lawyers and Sympathetic Media Outlets to breath life into it.
So, if Romney takes PA but NOT Ohio, and wins by LESS THAN 20 Electoral votes, their WILL BE a call to invalidate the PA returns due to “Imaginary Storm Suppression”.
Mark my words. Romney has a very decent shot in PA, but the Democrats WILL GO TO COURT over it. The Storm. No early voting. That evil Racist Voter ID.
Wont be the first time they “found” something in The Constitution that doesnt exist.
Mark my words.
Romney needs PA and A LOT MORE to make it “airtight” or else we will see Mr Obama arguing “he’s not stepping down until its resolved”
Mark my words
Don’t worry – “Acts of God” won’t be enough to cancel an election. Just hope Reps win by 3 or more because otherwise the lawyers will drag it out until they can steal just enough electoral votes to turn it.
Here’s a little tidbit for you: the courts cannot overrule the slate of electors approved by the Governor and State Legislature. They have no authority whatsoever to do so, and therefore, nothing can stop the Governor from ignoring the courts. Verily, if a Nor’easter hits on Election Day and causes depressed turnout in Philadelphia, too bad for Obama, because good or bad weather is neutral in the sight of the law. The people who show up and vote decide the election, and if your supporters don’t bother on account of the weather, that’s your problem.
Heres a tidbit for YOU..
Obama will still be President the day after this election.
He doesnt go anywhere until Inauguration Day.
Two more months holding the reigns of Power, The Purse strings, The Supreme Court, and a fawning (and now incredibly vengeful) Mainstream Media.
So prepare yourself for this new story,
because he has two whole months to make it stick:
These “impossible to confirm right now, obviously, ah, storm affected election results…” will be called, using one of his favorite words, “Unprecedented”…
And it will require some “unprecedented avenues of correction and verification our forefathers could not have anticipated”
Like Bengazi, he will simply IGNORE what is actually known, and create a new narrative regardless of THE FACTS.
“Well, like I said, its clearly unconfirmed at this point…were working to get to the bottom of it…no one wants to find out the truth about what happened in Pennsylvania than I do”
It doesnt MATTER what the PA electors say or do…
Obama has the Media and the Lawyers And TWO MONTHS to just IGNORE EVERYTHING and simply say “Its in the process of being confirmed”
He might say:
“…for the good of the Nation, and to ensure the full enfranchisement of every citizen regardless of weather, and with no local administrative bureaucracy needing to be performed SO quickly, as to trample their right to have their vote heard…we MUST get to the bottom of this…we cant rush to judgement over the rights of The People, thats just not what we’re about in America…”
You are confusing The Rule of Law, and the sanctity of Constitution, with WHAT THESE PEOPLE WILL DO TO HAVE THEIR WAY.
There are Commie Radicals, they have ZERO morals, and no love for this country.
I GUARANTEE you he will have TONS of support across the country. Hollywood celebrities, Teachers Unions and Civil Service Goons will chain themselves to the White House Fence to prevent “this Coup de’etat” from happening.
They are Criminal Thugs who will stop at nothing if they see the slightest chance to reach their goals.
Only a true, incontrovertible LANDSLIDE will prevent that.
A squeaker with PA spells trouble, believe me.
They’ll hem and haw, but they can’t do squat. The electors will vote according to the results of the election, and Obama, try as he may, won’t be able to stop it. Congress will accept the results, and if Obama tries to remain in office even one day longer than the law says, the shooting starts.
– second guesses himself, it means a Romney landslide, the lovable little weasel.
You folk are delusional.
You read it here first ( and I have to believe you read it here first, because you are in a cocoon ) Obama will be reelected with 330 electoral votes. Ohio, Virginia and Florida are all breaking his way and Pennsylvania and the rest of the midwest have never been in play in the first place.
Y’all really should get out more!
Morris was just on Fox & Friends and is still predicting a landslide win for Romney. Any boost Obama got by ‘looking presidential’ while visiting NJ has been lost because he went back on the campaign trail plus the recovery efforts by FEMA are abysmal. He is stating that Romney will win PA, OH, and WI. Plus Obama’s petty ‘revenge’ comment is not going over well with voters.