The Obama campaign’s current line is that its firewall states are intact and Romney’s decision to campaign in them amounts to a “Hail Mary.” Rasmussen’s latest poll suggests that one of Obama’s firewall states is engulfed in flames.
Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The MOE is 4.5 points, so obviously Iowa is too close to call. But just as obviously, it’s very much up for grabs and Romney swept up the endorsements of all six of the state’s major newspapers over the weekend. When you’re on the ten yard line, it’s not really a Hail Mary, is it?
Update: Here’s Romney’s newest ad running in Iowa.
My entire family is from Iowa. I will be STUNNED if Obama wins Iowa. I think the only reason it’s close is because Iowans are flush with ethanol subsidies.
It’s not the ethanol subsidies; at least not in my part of the state. The farmers around here might sell corn to the ethanol plant, but they vote overwhelmingly Republican. Perhaps farmers are different further east.
Good point. What I mean about that is that the subsidies prop up the state economy higher than it would be otherwise. So you’re less likely to vote for Romney out of pocketbook issues. I agree that many farmers will vote R, subsidies or no.
I lived in Iowa for four years, and to me it seemed to be a highly literate population. I think that the newspaper endorsements might matter more in Iowa than in other states, because they still actually read the newspaper.
– give you our shirt and the back that goes with it.
IOWA FOR ROMNEY & RYAN”
For our prideful, coastal brothers,
It seems a modest, boring place,
But if you’ve ever lived there,
And known a clean breeze on your face,
While the thunder clouds are gathering,
And the wind is pure and free,
Then you’ve never felt or tasted,
Our choice brand of LIBERTY.
This is “HEARTLAND”, with a spirit,
That is rooted in our souls,
And the seeds of honest living,
And lives rich with self-control,
Tend to reap those known for Character,
And Honesty and Thrift—crops which
Far outshine the Soy and Corn
On which our Nation lives.
You may look to us, TO IOWA,
To show you “how it’s done”
How to purge the fraud and treachery,
Sown by a wicked, foreign son,
And we trust that as YOU VOTE,
We’ll know you have not sold your souls,
For the “smoke and mirrors” and promises,
Which are all that “BO” control.
Iowa “bought” the Kool-Aid in 2008. NO MORE! The difference between “what was advertized” and “what was delivered” has been terrifying. The word from the state is that IOWA IS ELECTRIFIED IN FAVOR OF ROMNEY & RYAN. WATCH AND SEE “HEARTLAND’S” FIERCE POWER.
ROMNEY & RYAN WIN BIG…so soon now!