Forget pollster after pollster – what do the bookies across the pond have to say about the odds two weeks from today?
Irish betting site Paddy Power has President Obama at 2/5 odds to win re-election and Mitt Romney at 15/8 odds.
There’s also a betting line for Obama’s electoral college votes: Right now, the odds are 5/6 for both bets, under 290.5 electoral votes and over.
If bettors plunk down some cash on Obama and Romney each getting the same number of electoral votes, there’s a 33/1 return.
Odds are 100/1 for any party other than the Democrats or GOP to win.
Paddy Power also has a state-by-state breakdown. It’s 1/200 odds that the Democrats win the District of Columbia, and 1/80 that Republicans win Oklahoma.
The odds on Ohio? For Democrats, 2/5; for Republicans, 7/4.
Odds are 10/1 that Romney won’t take any swing states. It’s 6/1 that he’ll take Colorado, Nevada, Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina.
And the odds on Donald Trump’s big announcement?
- Obama is not an American: 2/5
- Trump to fire an Obama impersonator: 4/1
- Evidence of illegal drug use by Obama: 8/1
- Trump to endorse Obama: 8/1
- Obama to guest on Celebrity Apprentice: 50/1
- Obama to be given honorary membership of Trump International Golf Links 75/1
- Obama is an alien 250/1
- Obama to host Apprentice if Romney takes White House 250/1
- Obama knows the moon landing was staged 250/1
- Trump “I’m your father” Obama 500/1
- Obama wears a wig 500/1
Only 250 – 1 that Dear Liar is an alien? I’m assuming an e.t.
Odds that the Twins and Braves would meet in the 1991 World Series were much higher that that. And that was more likely.
Interesting. But is it relevant?
In a limited, local area the candidate signage breaks down as follows:
Romney-Ryan = 26
Obama-Biden = 18
Math is hard, but that looks like a 30% difference, pro-Romney. BTW, we’re in a swing state.
Let me add one more possibilty about the Trump announcement: Obama claimed to be Indonesian or Kenyan when he transferred to Columbia U.
that’s the best guess. Harvard would be a variation. Another variation would be bad grades or all-marxist classes.
Trump has regularly complained about no transcripts. I’ve often wondered why nobody has ever come forward. School records CAN’T be that difficult to unearth. Computers can be hacked; record vaults have multiple people who access them. There must literally be hundreds, perhaps thousands, of people who know relevant details of the Fraud’s education history. Maybe Trumpazillions encouraged a whistle-blower that living a life of luxury is worth risking his or her life. Heck, the Donald might even pay for a new identity in Aruba if the information is damaging enough. I would do it for a dollar.