October 19, 2012 - 7:19 am
Among those certain to vote, it’s 52/47 in Virginia. North Carolina, 52/46 Romney. The Rasmussen Presidential Preference Poll is tied at 48 percent. Gallup likely voters 52/45 Romney, up a point more since yesterday.
And Drudge links to a newspaper with a poll for Pennsylvania that gives Romney winning with a 4 % lead.
WOW !
Keep on working hard, Hobbits !
Charlie – I keep scratching my head about the difference between Rasmussen and Gallup. Maybe you can shed a little little into why Rasmussen has O and R tied but Gallup has R up by 6. Thanks.
IIUC, Gallup is using 2004 and 2010 factors with weighting emphasizing 2010, Rasmussen is using 2004 & 2008 with weighting in favor of 2008. I’d guess Gallup is more correct in seeing the trend, all the others are using unweighted 2008 data and that’s why they’re still so far off.
TIFWIW, it’s what my math-nerd SiL figured. I figure it to be much more like 1980 than 1984 but that’ll work.
Of course, the critical elections are going to be the Senate. R’s need only to pick up four of the 24 that D’s are defending this turn, and three are pretty much a given. R’s might lose MA, but remember the trend from 2010 when the R’s picked up 66 House and six Senate seats. Dick Morris says it could be as high as eleven (he was the first, late in 2009, to predict 60+ for the House in 2010).
Has to be an old photo. I thought the dome was buried or dismantled by now.
Don’t just go for the win, go for the shutout!
The wider the win, the less we’ll have to listen to four years (or more) of whinin’ and bitchin’.