A new Gallup poll out today found predictable partisan reactions to Mitt Romney’s speech Thursday at the Republican National Convention.
Forty percent of those surveyed said the Tampa convention made them more likely to vote for Romney, 38 percent said it made them less likely to do so, and 22 percent said it made no difference.
Out of Republicans surveyed, 83 percent answered “more likely” while 74 percent of Democrats said “less likely.” Independents were split across the board: 36 percent more likely to vote for Romney, 33 percent less likely, and 30 percent indicating the convention made no difference.
Gallup said the convention, when compared with historical polling, showed the convention made a smaller impact than the 2008 and 2004 gatherings, with a +2 rating after Tampa and +5 and +3 for the GOP conventions in 2008 and 2004, respectively.
The net impact score, arrived at by weighing whether voters walked away more or less likely to vote for a candidate, isn’t necessarily an indicator of victory. Whereas Barack Obama’s +14 scored trumped John McCain’s +5, John Kerry in 2004 had a +14 score as opposed to George W. Bush’s +3.
When asked to rate Romney’s speech, 20 percent of respondents rated it as excellent, 18 percent good, 21 percent “just okay,” 6 percent poor, 10 percent terrible, and 26 percent didn’t see it or had no opinion.
The 38 percent who rated the speech as excellent or good is the lowest rating of any of the eight speeches Gallup has tested since 1996.
“Stay Calm, Carry On.” It’s all going to be OK.
Everyone just needs to go see “Obama 2016,” and talk it up among friends. What an excellent film. A review here at PJM wouldn’t hurt anything, either. (You might even be treated to a preview of Clint’s new film–looks like it would have been a blockbuster on its own, but with the Chick-Fil-A treatment it’s likely to get, I hope that’ll be a given.)
I’m not sure why we look at polls, they make no sense most of the time. We just gotta do what we gotta do.
Most voters have already decided on whom they favor come November. Only some 10 percent are still undecided. All predictions pre Tampa were that there would only be a very slight bounce post conventions. I expect the same level of ‘bounce’ post Charlotte.
The result of Tampa, as far as I can tell, is that the core/base support for Romney-Ryan has been energized and focused upon the truly important job: getting out the vote, and not coincidentally, ensuring the honesty of the counting the ballots (not a small issue, correct???)
Have you noticed the empty chair phenomenon? And the spreading interest in the deficit and obamacare?? Tampa succeeded beyond expectations!
And why haven’t you reviewed D’Souza’s 2016? I am tired of Andrew Klaven’s self-consciously manly movie reviews. Smarten up Poliwood, please!
We’re reviewing it. I liked it. (Have been a bit busy at the convention.)
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To Democrats, what is said is what matters. To Republicans, what one does is what matters.
With that in mind of course Republicans have a tepid response to WORDS. As to the independents, what will change their minds is the fantastical view democrats have of reality. Republicans have ‘bookended’ the democrats strategically. On the one hand if Democrats say that the economy is improving and the private sector is okay, they look delusional, OTOH if they admit that the economy is lousy, and ask for more time or try to blame it on ATMs or whatever, they look childish.
The response to a ‘speech’ is of minor concern.
Mitt Romney, who’ve never had an authentic feeling in their life has cultivated the precise facial expressions to go with each emotion when needed… and it’s completely transparent and looks phoney.
You are unusually perceptive. Did you hear any dog whistles as well?
Jon, you must understand that coherence is a ‘good thing’, as is ‘grammar.’
For example:
Mitt Romney, who HAS never had an authentic feeling in HIS life…
ELITIST! RACIST!!!
Romney appeared open and honest. He appeared highly competent. He appeared to have a private side that he did not like to talk about, filled with noble emotions and deeds.
He has been a success at family, community, and business. Everything he has touched has turned to metaphorical gold.
My feeling about Romney is that most of these qualities do not hit you between the eyes, but grow on you the more you know and hear about him, and, I suspect, watch him in action, as those who have worked with him have come to love him.
He is a ‘sleeper’, in a sense. He is the real deal, not a con man or acting the part.
I think he could be great, if given a chance.
Compare and contrast. No contest for any informed, thinking person.
That is why I worry.
Think you’ve summed it up quite nicely.
I prefer Rasmussen to Gallup, and what I see at Rasmussen makes me somewhat optimistic. Following the Akin controversy, Romney’s numbers starting going down. Since the convention, his numbers have been going up. I am aware that correlation is not causation (so the Akin controvery may have had nothing to do with Romney’s numbers going down, and the convention may have had nothing to do with his numbers going up). Nevertheless, I would have to say that whatever Romney did, it does not appear to have hurt him, and may have helped him.
– tiresome huge Dem family is finally joining me in voting GOP. “Polls show…” is also cliche.
Only democrats vote for speeches.