Noam Scheiber, senior editor at The New Republic, has penned an astonishing article on what he calls “The Psychology of the Ryan Pick.”
A cursory inspection of Mr. Scheiber’s curriculum vitae reveals that the gentleman is a very smart fellow, indeed. He is a a Rhodes scholar with a Masters degree in economics from Oxford and a bachelors degree in mathematics from Tulane.
The fact that Mr. Scheiber lacks a degree in psychology or any specialized training in that field matters little. Being a liberal, he has magic powers of observation that allows him to peer into the minds of conservatives and glean meaning and intent where lesser lights see nothing. We see this extraordinary phenomenon every time there’s some kind of mass shooting. The immediate reaction of liberals is to examine the “psychology” or “motivation” of the shooter, which invariably leads them to some conclusion involving Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, or, in a pinch, George W. Bush. And if they can work in all three, they hit the jackpot.
One would think that lacking specific knowledge of a subject would preclude the liberal from writing an article that purports to use that knowledge to analyze people or events. Ordinary modesty might stay the pen of the common writer. But Scheiber is not an ordinary writer, has no modesty, and doesn’t let his ignorance of psychology get in the way of his puerile “analysis” of why Mitt Romney chose Paul Ryan as his running mate.
My initial reaction to the Ryan VP selection was that there was only one possible explanation: Team Romney believed it was on track to lose, and Ryan allows them to shift blame for the loss onto the party’s conservative wing.
“[O]nly one possible explanation?” He may be right. That was the very first reason that came to my mind. But then, I remembered that since the first thing that comes to anyone’s mind is usually the most idiotic, I dismissed it. Mr. Scheiber would have done well to have acted similarly, except he then grabbed on with both hands and ran with it.
You don’t pick Paul Ryan as your running mate if you think you have a strong chance of winning. Whatever you think of Ryan, no one regards him as low-risk.
Now here’s where I add the special sauce: Given that Team Romney believed it was headed for defeat, there were one of two ways to respond. 1. With a genuinely bold pick that could have beefed up its margins among key demographic groups: women, independents, disgruntled Democrats, Latinos, etc. 2. With a pick whose only value was to excite conservatives (whom, I should reiterate, were already highly motivated).
Special sauce, indeed. As political analysis, this ranks right up there with thoughts offered by my barber, my bartender, and that sophomore in high school that everyone thinks is so smart. Of the three, my bartender sounds the wisest — probably because we don’t start discussing politics until I’m on my fourth scotch, and even Mr. Scheiber would sound fairly intelligent after a few Dewars on the rocks.
Why should there be only two reasons to choose a running mate? Which “key demographic group” did Biden help Obama with? Boring, gaffe-prone, plagiarizing white males? I doubt whether Biden excited liberals much either.
No matter. It should be noted that numerous observers and analysts have given other, far more plausible reasons why Romney chose Ryan as his running mate. Romney could have chosen a candidate who fit one or both of Mr. Scheiber’s criteria. But the idea that those were his only options is absurd.
Mr. Scheiber believes the only reason Romney tapped Ryan — the only reason he could have — was to excite the conservative base. That may be wrong, but don’t stop him now, he’s on a roll:
He went with option 2—a pick that does nothing to increase his chance of winning, but does increase the chance he loses by a large margin, because it hurts with the demographic groups we’re talking about.
Why would Team Romney do that? Here’s where we get into the realm of psychology. I’d guess—and I won’t pretend it’s anything other than speculation—they worried that if they went with option 1 and lost big, then the blame was on them. In the case of a Palin or Rubio-type figure, the conventional wisdom would be that they were reckless, a la McCain. If they went with a moderate woman or a moderate Latino or a Democrat, the base would insist they lost because they strayed too far from the Truth. I doubt they ever articulated these anxieties, much less discussed them at length. But I suspect they acted as powerful, if subconscious, constraints.
“Subconscious constraints” on what? Whatever Scheiber “suspects” is meaningless in this context for the simple reason he is proceeding from a false assumption — that the reason for the Ryan pick was so Romney could cast blame on the right when he lost — and drawing conclusions based on nothing more than a powerful bias. This is not only stupid, but rank dishonesty as well.
I’d guess — and I won’t pretend it’s anything other than speculation — Noam Scheiber really hasn’t a clue why Romney chose Ryan but dreamed up this “blame it on the right” theme because 1) it sounds kewl and lots of liberals will be impressed he is using “psychology” to analyze the right; and 2)attacking Mitt Romney for being such a dufus gives him almost as much pleasure as tearing the wings off of flies. That latter reason may or may not be true. I claim no special sight that would allow me to watch as Scheiber cackles gleefully while ripping the wings off a helpless insect. But the psychology fits. And if the psychology fits, you must convict — or something like that.
Meanwhile, the big finish:
Just knowing what we know about how humans work, that strikes me as a much more appealing proposition. But, of course, it’s also incredibly risk-averse.
The answer is, I don’t know if earth is Scheiber’s native planet. Or if he actually belongs to the genus homo sapiens. There very well could be another species of homo that works the way Mr. Scheiber describes. Perhaps we could refer to them as homo luninus.
The fact is, Mr. Scheiber knows as much about how humans “work,” as he knows about “psychology,” or the motivations of Mr. Romney in choosing Mr. Ryan as his running mate for that matter. Frankly, it isn’t too damn much.






Wow. I was against Romney for the nomination before he declared; I’ve believed for most of this year if he won the nomination he would lose in November — only Obama’s recent appearance of trying to take a dive has made me reconsider — but at no time have I ever doubted that the Romneyrrhoids thought they could win.
I would have thought their optimism delusional on more than one occasion, but it would have been foolish to pretend it wasn’t there.
It’s commonplace for liberals to award themselves kudos for superior intellect and morals, strictly on the basis of their politics. The covert reason for this is that they can’t win an argument on the merits. However, dismissing their opponents as either idiots or villains makes argument unnecessary.
Mr. Scheiber appears to be a perfect representative of the species.
“they can’t win an argument on the merits”.
But there’s more, Francis. It’s my considered conclusion that the primary god (note small ‘g’) of the liberal faith¹ is ‘the self’. This explains everything about them: their narcissism, projection, arrogance, condescending attitudes, etc.
Ergo as godlike members of their species (very apt usage, btw) their self-idolizing, fact-free conclusions are prima facie the best answers.
—–
¹ from dictionary.com[bold added]: unshakeable belief in something, esp without proof or evidence
Why would a presidential candidate that “knows” it is going to loose attract 35% more in campaign contributions than the supposed “winning” candidate? All of the imperical evidence suggest Rommney is going to win, he’s winning the money and he is winning the polls when you factor out how skewed the liberal sampling is, he is winning the message against Obama’s go negative strategy. Obama and the leftist pundits are looking desperate, trying to convice the conservative voters to stay home because Obama’s victory is already a given. Instead I believe the conservatives are going to turn out just like 2010. The real race will be how large the conservative base turns out to take the election out of the margin of error and out of the range of voter fraud by the usual suspects.
I’m going to propose a radical, absurd theory: just maybe, Mittens picked Ryan because he thought Paul 1) would be able to step into the Oval Office if necessary, 2) balanced the ticket between a northeast Rockefeller Republican with a midwest conservative, 3) balanced further with a DC outsider with a DC insider (the better to forge compromises when necessary), and 4) Mittens looked at entitlements, recognized that they are unsupportable long term and picked someone who at least has a plan to fix them.
Yeah, I know, to absurd to actually contemplate.
Mittens looked at entitlements, recognized that they are unsupportable long term and picked someone who at least has a plan to fix them.
The former Governor of Massachusetts knowing about out-of-control entitlements? Surely you jest.
One would think that lacking specific knowledge of a subject would preclude the liberal from writing an article that purports to use that knowledge to analyze people or events.
This kind of Chutzpah is not limited to liberals.
Remember when the great Bill Frist diagnosed Terri Schiavo from the floor of the Senate?
The difference being Bill Frist is a physician.
Did he have Schiavo’s case file? Was he licensed to practice medicine in Florida?
Both wings of the Moneycrat party engage in horse’s-ass behavior, and don’t forget Ryan voted for TARP, NDAA, Medicare part D, the auto bailouts, CISPA, etc..
Schreiber is the opposite of an idiot savant, he is the TypeA example of the indoctrinated imbecile.
The first order of business after becoming sworn in as a graduate from Indoctrination U. is to take your cap and gown, throw the gown over the US flag and salute it and throw your cap in the air. Thus, relieving your head from any covering, plant it firmly up your backside until you are able to use your navel as a porthole.
From this position, your view of the world is precisely the same as every other leftist. This explains every political, economic, social, legal, journalistic and artistic worldview belching from the Headplanted.
It also explains the hypocrisy, lack of backbone and they mystifying ability to take an absurd position to an extreme and then back it up with a complete lie.
Without a backbone, having no spine, bending over backwards to “assume the position” allows maximum freedom to engage in treason, distortion, …while permanently navel gazing…from the “inside” allows ruminations on all things, even the meaning of “is”.
At the Headplanters Ball (aka the Democratic Convention) asshats abound. Led by the Chicago Mob, the Headplanters hate the Paul Ryan pick. He is the Eliot Ness of the Untrashables.
Excellent invective, cf! I’ll pass that “Paul Ryan is the Eliot Ness of the Untrashables” around to friends, and of course credit you with it.
Excellent!
As for Noam Scheiber, there’s no cure for stupid, as Heinlein said. Darwinism will simply remove them in due course. Scheiber simply is too stupid (not ignorant, mind you, which could be cured by knowledge) to get his mind around what’s happening before his eyes, i.e., the Repub ticket is hot, they’ve got both the answers AND the momentum building, the money pouring in–everything set to replicate 2010 on the presidential level.
Scheiber simply can’t get that, even as it unfolds before his eyes, because he’s too stupid.
Ah, well. C’est la vie. So the evolution mill grinds on.
An Préachán
Psychoanalyze this, Noam Scheiber:
If the Ryan pick was so off target, how on earth did the R & R campaign manage to raise $1.2M in the 24 hours following the announcement?
Obama dreams. Romney and Ryan do.
$3.5M
Scheiber’s article is an excellent MSM analysis. It hits all of the talking points and is utterly devoid of reason. If Scheiber had been paying attention to something other than CNN (yes, he’s the lone viewer) then he’d know that Romney wants to campaign on the economy and only on the economy. Had he selected a moderate for VP then his campaign would be forced by the MSM to talk about the VP’s issues and that’s a losing proposition for Romney. Ryan’s focus has been the budget and that matches what Romney wants to talk about.
The subhead for Scheiber’s article is “Obama alienated his Black base by coming out for gay marriage and all he has to show for it is Paul Ryan talking about the budget”.
The best way now is for us bloggers and such to begin a campaign of satire. A video showing a Scheiber sock puppet ranting about how Ryan EATS VEGETABLES and cares more about his own nutrition than the plight of the poor defenseless vegetables!
How about one showing an Obama sock puppet saying that Ryan wants to shove kittens of a cliff!
Such a campaign would accomplish two things:
1. Liberals HATE to be made fun of. It would drive them over the edge.
2. It would trivialize Obama’s attacks in the minds of the electorate.
Rather than sock puppets, they could mock the Democratic claims and accusations by having them spouted by kids on a playground. They are *that* juvenile!
Oh that is *good*!
The progressive tack of “everyone’s a winner” results in this particular kind of douchebaggery. That’s why it’s always a good idea to stay upwind from liberals.
Douchebaggery….that’s funny
Love the comments. Everything RBJ pointed out is spot on. Everything Scheiber wrote is wrong (and Allston too). Oh, and did you know Harry Reid abuses children? Just looking into the eyes of Reid, Pelosi, Obama , and Biden and contrasting that with the poise of Romney/Ryan makes me wonder how anyone could vote for the Obamination ticket, let alone believe in Obama’s terrible policies- I just can’t imagine anything but a landslide for the “father knows best” guy. And I wish someone would rewrite fitting words to “Too White and Nerdy ” to play at Romney’s inauguration parties- but ,sigh, I guess about 50 percent of the country would pretend to be offended.
Mr. Scheiber is the perfect example of the mind-numbed “intellectual” that David Gerlernter writes about in America Lite. It’s comical how he fits the bill.
If Romney was choosing to give him a boost and a scapegoat, then he would have picked Rubio. That would have helped him secure Florida, as well.
Ryan was a safe pick. Repubs have to be perfect. They must not give the opposition Press anything with which to work. Ryan is very articulate. He will not step on his tongue. He is also very likable. The Press better be very careful about attacking him. He could be quite the Tar Baby for them.
It was also a way to try to get the convo off the stupid stuff and onto policy. “Let’s talk about the debt and budgets, shall we?” If the Dems go there, they’ll lose. Even talk about MediScare is dangerous for them.
Ryan was the safe pick. Pure Romney style, playing it safe.
This Noam pantywaste doesn’t know anything more about psychology than he does about fornicating……with women, anyway.
Unlike many Senate Dems in elections past, Ryan will give up his seat in Congress to accept the VP slot on the GOP ticket. This is high-risk for him. He’s hardly the sacrficial lamb type. GOP may not be a shoo-in in November but its prospects look a whole lot brighter.
“If they went with a moderate woman or a moderate Latino or a Democrat, the base would insist they lost because they strayed too far from the Truth. I doubt they ever articulated these anxieties, much less discussed them at length. But I suspect they acted as powerful, if subconscious, constraints.”
Why ever would the Republican nominee choose a Democrat for Veep? If he wants psychology, analyze some of the Freudian slip in that!