January 31, 2012 - 4:22 pm
Big Government’s got some exit poll numbers.
Romney 47%
Gingrich 34%
Santorum 11%
Paul 8%
Most of us spectators have expected a Romney win for a few days now. If those numbers hold up, what do they mean? We will have a few folks weighing in on that very question here at the Tatler tonight, so keep an eye on us. Head over to our facebook page for a preview of some of the folks you can expect to hear from.
Pretty much, they mean that if you spend six years running for an office you have no chance of getting while your major opponent does not spend that much time, and outspend your major opponent at least tenfold in the first major state primary, you will probably win out over your major opponent.
Of course, once money and effort are adjusted for you are a huge loser despite having gotten the most votes, but you can safely rely on the leftist media to conceal that fact.
Well OK, but if Romney stays below 50% then the race is certainly not over. Even if he got 51% in Florida, he’d have to repeat that in a couple more states (which will be proportional), before it would matter.
Does Romney have the money to stay so loudly negative in ten more states?
If Romney does not have the prospect of getting 51% of total delegates by the time of the convention, then there *could* be a consensus against him at the convention that might give it to Newt, or to some player to be named later.
In fact, the PTBNL could be chosen by Romney plus one of the other candidates, though that’s a little hard to imagine, given the specifics.
Gingrich will never, ever become the consensus candidate at the convention.
Ever.
Going nuclear negative on Romney was a mistake of epic proportions on multiple levels.
(Romney is equally culpable in this regard but it turned off voters to Gingrich …and is not helping him, at all…it plays into the theme that he is erratic, mercurial, unstable and vindictive…to a guy who was already brand damaged and which makes ALL sitting governors, congressmen and senators very, very very wary of endorsing him…which, inter alia, is why he has virtually NONE of their endorsements, NOT because there is some double secret cabal of them who are pushing Romney…a TON of them are sitting on their hands, for the very reason that they don’t like Romney as the candidate much better)
I’m a little worried about this Soetoro fellow…Go to the Tatler and make some inquiries …
I never thought Rob Johnson a bad consigliere. I thought Newtrino was a bad don, rest in peace after tonight.
If Romney runs the table for the next several states, the money advantage is going to rush to crush the also rans.
The Newtonian Implosion will be the single most important factor in giving Romney the nomination. Had Gingrich not gone nuclear, Florida would have been closer. He looks out of control, focused on being petty, and he’s whining about not being able to match funding…by making a blunder so egregious that a child could have figured it out…picking a fight he couldn’t win, wrestling the alligators in the water instead of on land. Beyond stupid.
If Romney sews up the nomination before the convention, he can thank the Newtonian Implosion for the easy win. Gingrich should quit and throw his entire support behind Santorum as the last “not Romney” standing.
Santorum can’t win enough delegates before the convention either, but…it could get us to a brokered convention possibly.
Otherwise, Newt just virtually guaranteed a Romney nomination. Maybe that was his strategy all along. If it was, it was pure genius. Otherwise…I’ve never seen two worse campaign strategies than Gingrich and Perry in my life.