Barack Obama won 60% of the Connecticut vote in 2008. PPP’s latest poll says he won’t get anywhere near that in 2012.
Connecticut isn’t a place that would go on anybody’s list of swing states but Barack Obama is in a statistical tie with Mitt Romney there, leading only 47-45.
Obama’s poor showing in Connecticut is mostly a function of his own unpopularity. Despite having won it by 23 points in 2008 his approval numbers are now under water at 48/49. That represents a 17 point net shift in the wrong direction since PPP last polled the state in March- at that time Obama’s approval was a positive 55/39 spread. The decline has come because he’s unpopular with independents (41/53) and also because an unusually high 20% of Democrats disapprove of the job he’s doing.
Romney’s favorability is 41/42, not great numbers but better than he is doing in most states. In the head to head with Obama he takes independents by 12 points at 48-36 and gets crossover support from 14% of Democrats while losing just 9% of the Republican vote.
The competitiveness in Connecticut is limited to Romney. Against the rest of the Republican field Obama leads by double digits- it’s 12 points against Rick Perry at 53-41, 13 against Ron Paul at 51-38, 16 against Newt Gingrich at 54-38, and 19 against Michele Bachmann at 55-36.
Charles Krauthammer is already using the “landslide” word to describe what may happen next year. I don’t think we’re there yet. The GOP doesn’t have a nominee, and a nominee that over performs in one region may under perform in another. But Obama’s weakness with independents seems to be growing, he is far weaker where Democrats are traditionally strong than he was in 2008, and voters are becoming more and more comfortable with the idea of replacing him.
“The competitiveness in Connecticut is limited to Romney.”
Do you need any more proof that Romney is a RINO? In case you were at all confused about it.
How can anybody say it will be a landslide? The mbm is worth 15%. Vote stealing is worth 5%. 95% of African Amerians will vote for Obama. 47% of the country doesn’t pay taxes. There isn’t a consensus Republican candidate. The marxists control the reins of power and unlike Bush, they will use it. The marxists will have billions, not a mere one billion, to tell lies 24×7 for three months before the eletion. They will fight to the death to retain the presidency. There will probably be at least three make believe crises between now and then and at least one will appear to be the end of the world.
All of the “landslide” talk is based on a world as the conservative pundits would like it to be. But the marxists have rigged things to start with 30% before the first vote is cast.
In a fair election with fair reporting it would be a 70% landslide. But it won’t be fair, in any respect. We will have to fight tooth and claw to win a bare majority.
Say what you will about Romney the RINO, the fact that all the candidates are doing better in Connecticut than McCain did just 3 years ago is an indication that in high tax blue states, Obama’s redistributionist nonsense is costing him dearly in New England, New Jersey, Illinois, New York and California.
Independents are fleeing the President in droves. Krauthammer is correct. I don’t see Obama getting more than 100 EVs.
Ct’s governor forcing card check in by fiat might have awoken this once very conservative state. I suspect that those death panels have scared more than our share of older votes who fear being treated like the unborn,but all in all, I’ll be surprised if they don’t once again vote liberal -like for Romney or Christie or Obama or….
Don’t get cocky, kid.
Proreason is dead on the money. The propaganda machine will pump up the volume, put on a smear festival for weeks, and ACORN, SEIU and all the rest will pull every dirty trick conceivable.
Still, a shellacking is gaining momentum. If “Janitor money” sits on the sidelines, and independents abandon the Marxists in droves…the Democratic Party is in for a real bad evening in November.
But there is a long, bumpy, rock-strewn road between here and there. Journolistas won’t spill all their candy in the lobby now. Wait until there is an actual candidate.
In addition…my greatest fear…is somebody pays a heavy price to a traitor to run as a third party candidate…splits the vote away and the smears do the rest. It ain’t over til it’s over.