This poll was done before the president’s speech. Its numbers are unlikely to change after the speech. And once again, there’s a disconnect between the political class and the rest of us.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 31% think it is at least somewhat likely that the president and congressional Republicans will reach an agreement to significantly cut long-term government spending trends before the 2012 elections. That includes six percent (6%) who say it’s Very Likely. Sixty-five percent (65%) say the two sides are unlikely to reach such an agreement, with 21% who believe it’s Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Sixty-one percent (61%) of the Political Class think an agreement is likely. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Mainstream voters disagree.