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Ukraine’s President Announces Ceasefire Agreement with Russia

September 3rd, 2014 - 4:35 am

The office of Ukraine’s president Petro Poroshenko has issued a brief announcement that he reached a ceasefire agreement with Russia during a phone call with President Vladimir Putin, the New York Times reports. (See also this from the Wall Street Journal.)

The details of the agreement were not given. A Kremlin spokesman acknowledged that Putin and Poroshenko had “viewpoints on possible ways to overcome the grave and critical situation” in southeastern Ukraine “that coincide to a considerable degree.” Nevertheless, because Russia denies that it has invaded Ukraine and has supported the insurgency there with arms and soldiers, the spokesman claimed that Russia “cannot physically agree on a ceasefire as it is not a side in the conflict.”

Poroshenko is over a barrel. Russia has stepped up its campaign, and the Obama administration responded with a clear signal that the United States and the West would provide no meaningful support to Ukraine – a signal reaffirmed last week when President Obama refused to call Putin’s aggression an “invasion” and stressed that a U.S. military confrontation with Russia was unthinkable. Ukraine’s army is in retreat and it cannot compete with Russia’s invasion forces. Poroshenko faced the dilemma of fighting on and losing effective control over even more territory or seeking a settlement on what are sure to be unfavorable terms.

Putin, meantime, will get a resolution that gives him effective control over key territory –Novorossiya, as he calls it – thus frustrating Kiev’s capacity to increase integration with the West. He can resume the campaign of aggression at the time of his choosing, yet the ceasefire agreement will curb what little enthusiasm there may have been among NATO allies to ratchet up sanctions (which Russia has thus far laughed off).

In 1994, President Clinton, in conjunction with Russia’s then-President Boris Yeltsin and Britain’s then-Prime Minister John Major, signed the Budapest Memorandum, promising to protect Ukrainian territory and sovereignty in exchange for Ukraine’s giving up its huge nuclear arsenal. The agreement is not a formal treaty and was never ratified by the Senate, but it did prompt Ukraine’s disarmament. In 2005, against the backdrop of this security assurance, as I’ve previously recounted, then-Senator Barack Obama spearheaded a U.S. campaign, ultimately endorsed by President Bush, to provide $48 million to induce Ukraine to destroy much of its conventional military arsenal – including more than 400,000 small arms, 1,000 anti-aircraft missiles, and more than 15,000 tons of ammunition. At the time, Obama delusionally asserted that Ukraine would make both itself and the world safer by disarming.

As president, Obama has refused to provide military aid to an ally under siege that the United States government – very much including Obama himself – convinced to render itself defenseless. By contrast, Obama in 2012 provided $1.5 billion in military aid to the Egyptian regime then controlled by the rabidly anti-American Muslim Brotherhood.

The incentives, as they have been for nearly six years under his administration, could not be clearer: There is more advantage in being America’s enemy than America’s friend, and countries – whether law-abiding or rogues – should pursue more numerous and powerful arms to make their way in a world where the United States has forfeited its leadership.

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15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
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15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
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15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
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15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
The Duck of Death had that problem before he found the cure.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
How many treaties does pootie have to breach before these morooooons figure it out?
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.
No, Pootie is buying time to move war stocks (ammo mostly) up from the interior (Urals). With 2 divisions working the Ukraine 2 in Moscow and 4 across from China, Russia has 14 divisions across from Poland. poland has 1 division that is modern and regular troops. They can also field 3 divisiions of local defence type troops. If they can get 3 or 4 days to get organised. With not quite 2 days of ammo for their outnumbered 14 to 1 regular division, I doubt they will get that time. France, Germany and England can put together another division given a week.
In a week, the Russians will be raping German women at the Rhine, Another week to Paris and that is the end of Europe.
Too much butter, not enough guns. You only gain peace by preparing for war.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
We live in a world where countries have cease fire agreements, even though they were not exchange fire.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
> There is more advantage in being America’s enemy than America’s friend
Another conclusion that any non-delusional country clearly sees is that American or European security guarantees are not worth the paper they are written on.

A more charitable interpretation is that every country is alone responsible for its own security. Hello, Israel, are you listening?
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
"The incentives, as they have been for nearly six years under his administration, could not be clearer: There is more advantage in being America’s enemy than America’s friend"

Which is why I claim that Dear Liar is not unAmerican, but anti-American. Actively hostile to our founding principles. You don't promise to fundamentally transform something you love.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
You clearly don't understand how progressives think. They believe that demolishing the country and building something very different in its place PROVES that they love their country. They can't tolerate even a tiny flaw here and there so they are dismembering what exists in favor of a vaguely imagined Utopia where everything is exactly perfect.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
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