September 17, 2020

AS I JUST SUGGESTED IN A TV INTERVIEW, THE FACT THAT DEATHS AND HOSPITALIZATIONS AREN’T TRACKING CASES THE WAY THEY DID IN MARCH SUGGESTS THAT RESPONSES THAT WERE REASONABLE IN MARCH AREN’T ACCEPTABLE NOW: Covid-19 case mortality data from ICE facilities and the knuckleheads thing.

The agency has found 5,810 cases of Covid-19, for a “positivity rate” from testing at an ugly 16.6%. That is the sort of rate that gets journalists screaming at governors, fun banned, and schools firmly virtual.

But only 6 detainees have died of the Covid. That is a case-fatality ratio of… 0.1%. Compare that number to the observed case fatality rates in various countries, which are massively higher. The Covid-19 case fatality rate in ICE detention centers is right in line with the seasonal flu. That made us curious.

But read on for a positive take on America’s younger generations, and yes, I’m serious.

UPDATE: Nashville Mayor’s Office, Health Department Concealed Low COVID Numbers Tied to Restaurants, Emails Show. “Officials in Nashville, Tn. concealed from the media how few coronavirus cases had been traced to bars and restaurants in the city, according to emails sent between the mayor’s office and the city’s health department. Emails obtained by FOX 17 News appear to show that the two offices seemingly conspired to conceal data showing that while construction and nursing homes led to more than a thousand cases each as of June 30th, only 22 cases had been traced to bars and restaurants.”

On those numbers, you can’t really justify closing the bars and restaurants. Nashville, by the way, is run by Democrats.

ANOTHER UPDATE: InstaPundit, August 5: “That’s right, the science — contact-tracing, etc. — doesn’t support bars as a major source of infection, yet they voted to close them anyway. This was met with defiance, and now they’ve changed the rule. The curfew, I suspect, is mostly just a face-saver. And let me add, where’s the science? We’ve been doing testing and tracing in Knox County for going on 5 months. If they don’t know where people are getting it and where they’re not — and they’re still making health regulations based on guess-and-try rather than the data they should have in hand — then they should expect more resistance in the future.”

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