GOOD: New model predicts dramatic COVID-19 flattening in Tennessee.
New projections for Tennessee predict a significant flattening of the curve of COVID-19 cases expected in the coming weeks.
Among the new factors included in the latest version: the potential impact of Gov. Bill Lee’s stay-at-home order.
Rather than facing a critical shortage of hospital beds and ventilators, the new model suggests that the Volunteer State will easily be able to meet the expected demand at the peak of the surge in mid-April. . . .
Last week, Lee announced that convention centers and other facilities across Tennessee would be converted into makeshift hospitals based on projections that the state would face a shortage of about 7,000 hospital beds at the peak of the surge.
But the latest IHME model predicts a demand for only 1,232 hospital beds on April 15 as a result of the stay-at-home order, well below the 7,812 beds currently available.
The state will need 245 Intensive Care Unit (ICU) beds at peak, with 629 currently available, the projections show.
The IHME model also predicts a need for 208 ventilators, well below the Tennessee Department of Health’s count of 800-900 available devices.
Social distancing works. Or as the press will no doubt soon be saying, the Trump virus plan was a success!
UPDATE: From the comments:
I credit President Trump’s brilliant and decisive action. He took the crisis seriously, and provided steady, confident, competent leadership at a time when others were playing politics.
The smartest, most elite, bestest possible experts all warned us that millions would die and there was little we could do. Instead, casualties though tragic have been light. Thanks to Donald Trump.
Bonus: President Trump backed the best treatment for the disease, one that the Left wing resistance dismissed, condemned, and in a few cases tried to outright ban.
Either the experts were idiots from the beginning, or President Trump delivered a miraculous victory over the pandemic. Actually, they’re idiots either way. But they predicted millions dead, and so far it’s been half of a flu season. Reason to take it very seriously, but President Trump HAS taken it seriously. So if they’re going to condemn the President, they’ll have to retract all their models and own the economic damage. And if they dump on their own models, then how are we to take their climatepocalypse warnings?
Exactly! President Trump saved millions of lives! If you don’t believe that, then you don’t believe in science.