April 2, 2020

THIS IS WHY THE FLU COMPARISONS A MONTH AGO WERE BULLSHIT — THEY DIDN’T TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE GROWTH RATE: More than 1,000 in US die in a single day from coronavirus, doubling the worst daily death toll of the flu.

And the deaths will double again shortly. The trouble with this sort of growth rate — especially with the lag in transmission-to-symptoms with this disease — is that by the time you notice the death rate, it’s too late to take useful action. Which is what some of us were saying a month ago.

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