November 24, 2016

EVERYBODY GETS COCKY WHEN THEY WIN A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, AND THEY’RE ALWAYS WRONG. NOBODY HAS A “PERMANENT MAJORITY.” Why the GOP shouldn’t get too cocky after winning in November.

In 2017, Republicans will control an overwhelming majority of governorships and state houses, along with the White House and Congress. Even though Republicans were defending more seats and Democratic nominee Clinton vastly outspent Donald Trump, the Grand Old Party is firmly in control of all levers of political power.

Moreover, expect President-elect Donald Trump to nominate a replacement to the vacant seat left by the death of Justice Antonin Scalia, which could also shift the balance of power on the Supreme Court in favor of conservatives.

However, though the GOP is firmly planted in the catbird seat, it would be prudent not to overreach or interpret the Nov. 8 victories as a mandate to move the country further right.

Trump’s unorthodox campaign gave him a shocking Electoral College victory, also helping vulnerable House and Senate Republicans survive spirited challenges.

Yet, look closely at the numbers behind the triumph, and danger could be lurking for the GOP.

Trump received a smaller percentage of the overall vote total than 2012 GOP nominee nominee Mitt Romney. In fact, when the final numbers are tallied, Clinton will finish with an approximate 2 million ballot advantage in the popular vote.

Additionally, while Trump was able to smash through Clinton’s “blue wall” of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — an impressive feat not accomplished by a Republican since 1984 — his closer-than-expected victories in traditional red states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas suggest a GOP expansion of the electoral map could be tougher than expected in future White House races.

My take: Trump was a celebrity candidate. The regular turnout/voting rules don’t apply to celebrity candidates. They do apply to regular candidates.

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