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October 18, 2018

SOMEONE FINALLY FOUND A WAY TO MAKE ME READ HIS BOOK. HE SENT ME AN AUDIO OF IT WHEN I WAS DOING HOUSE RENOVATIONS. AND WEIRDLY, I LIKED IT. IT’S A HARD SCIENCE FICTION THRILLER, WITH A BIT OF ROMANCE THROWN IN: It starts with a black hole en route to the solar system. How does humanity get out of that one? With difficulties (many.) And the book is on sale for 99c this week.  Primordial Threat.

THIS TIME OF YEAR I MISS STREET VENDORS OF ROAST CHESTNUTS:  Nut, bread, or Meat? Forest or Cultivated Woods?

SOME OF YOU MIGHT NEED TO HEAR THIS:  Blind Nobility.

YES, SURE, BUT REMEMBER CRAZY TACTICS WORK ON THE INSANE AND DON’T GET COCKY:  The Democrats Must Be Defeated.

WERE THEY TRULY INTELLIGENT? BY THEMSELVES, THAT IS? I DON’T KNOW, AND I DON’T KNOW WE CAN EVER FIND OUT:  ‘Oath’ Director: Yes, Fascist Comedy Is About Trump.

IF YOU HAVEN’T SEEN THIS YET, YOU SHOULD:  Trump the knuckleballer.

LIBERAL PRIVILEGE:  Twitter has no problem…

THE SWAMP BUBBLES: Treasury Official Arrested And Charged For Leaking Info On Russia And Manafort.

INDEED:  Censorship and the Fascist Mob.

HONESTLY, NOW: ARE THEY ALL OCCASIONAL CORTEX?  Heitkamp’s “Prairie Tough” Turns into “Prairie Oops!”   [Oh, and I’m back at posting. I answered a lot of you, but for those that didn’t ask and wondered, a shingles vaccine kicked me sideways, so I was passing out way before nighttime.- SAH]

October 17, 2018

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IT’S DIFFERENT WHEN YOU ACCUSE A DEMOCRAT: Ellison Accuser: Why Won’t Anyone Believe Me — When I’ve Provided Corroboration?

STOP MAKING CHILDREN YOUR MOUTHPIECES: Sarah Hoyt on the political abuse of children.

She’s mad again. You know you love it.

BUT DON’T CALL THEM A MOB: Multiple Reports Of Left-Wing Partisans Attacking GOP Candidates, Staffers.

BRAVE OF HER TO TAKE THIS STAND: Lionel Shriver says it is time to end the #MeToo movement.

Speaking at Cheltenham Literature Festival, the controversial author of We Need To Talk About Kevin said that the ongoing movement against sexual harassment has “run its course” and is having a negative effect on relationships between men and women.

According to The Times, Shriver said that that the movement had been “important to begin with”, having exposed “some of the real malefactors” such as Hollywood producer Harvey Weinstein.

However, she added: “Then it took a turn and suddenly we were talking about bad dates and bad taste or making crass remarks and it trivialised itself and I thought that was really regrettable.

“I don’t like the feeling that now everyone has to have their story of some kind of terrible sexual abuse in order to be able to have an opinion about any of this stuff.

“I don’t want younger women to locate their sense of power in their weakness, in their fragility. I think the movement has run its course and we can pretty much call time on it now.”

Shriver also criticised Christine Blasey Ford, the woman who claimed US Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her when she was 15 and he was 17. He denies the allegations.

“I wouldn’t say it was negligible [the incident] but I also did not think it was life-changing,” the author said, adding that she failed to comprehend how Blasey Ford was “haunted by it and having post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms”.

“Let’s have a sense of proportion about sexual offences and levels of grievousness,” Shriver continued.

I didn’t know people were allowed to speak so sensibly anymore.

THIS PUTRID SOCIALIST PARASITE HAS NEVER CREATED ANYTHING OF VALUE. SHE SHOULD GIVE THANKS EVERY DAY THAT WE DO NOT LIVE IN A JUST WORLD. Seattle Councilmember Kshama Sawant blasts Paul Allen.

THE MOB COMES TO TENNESSEE: Blackburn backlash shocks Mt. Juliet restaurant owner.

Courtney’s Restaurant and Catering owner Tom Courtney said he’s experienced a strong social media backlash because he rented the event room at his Mt. Juliet business to U.S. Senate candidate Rep. Marsha Blackburn on Saturday.

Courtney said he’s been called a Nazi, an abuser, had his life threatened and said his staff has been verbally attacked.

Hundreds of posters on social media said they would boycott his restaurant because it was a local venue to Blackburn, who is running for a seat in the U.S. Senate against former Democratic Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen.

Disgraceful. You don’t hear of Republicans targeting places like this for hosting Democrat events.

OPEN THREAD: Make me proud.

WELL, LET’S SEE IF THIS PREDICTION DOES BETTER THAN SOME OF THIS OTHERS: Nate Silver forecasts Republicans have better chance of reaching at least 54 seats than Democrats have of taking over the Senate.

SOCIALISM SUCKS: How social democracy lost its way: a report from Germany.

Last year’s defeat came as a shock because of the magnitude of the drop in votes, but it was the continuation of a decades-long erosion of support. With one exception, the party has lost votes at every general election going back 20 years. Since 1998, it has shed half its electorate, and there is no sign the decline has stopped. Some recent polls show the party now being eclipsed not just by Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats but also by the Greens and the far-right Alternative for Germany.

On Sunday, the party suffered another humiliating defeat in a regional election in Bavaria, where it slumped to just 9.7 per cent of the vote. All of this raises a profound question: can Europe’s oldest social democratic party survive? The answer has implications that resonate far beyond Berlin.

It’s hard to survive as a party that sets itself against the nation it wants to govern. Yet socialist “transformations” increasingly involve just that.

Plus: “The 2015 refugee crisis and the political convulsions that followed are a case in point. The SPD backed Merkel’s decision to accept more than a million refugees from crisis countries such as Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq, despite the evident risk of a political backlash from voters. The decision was right in principle, Schäfer believes, but was poorly explained.”

When lefty policies fail, it’s always because they were “poorly explained,” never because they were horrible, destructive ideas that any reasonable person would have rejected out of hand.

OVER AT P.J. MEDIA: The Lynching Of Mark Judge. “When you were accused, it was news but it wasn’t true. Now you’re cleared — that’s true, but it isn’t news.”

I HOPE IT SINKS ALL THE WAY: Sleazy Bob Menendez’s Sinking New Jersey Campaign.

WELL, IT HARMS EVERYTHING, SO. . . How Identity Politics Is Harming The Sciences.

AT AMAZON, save in Arts Crafts and Sewing.

Plus, Fall Deals in Home and Garden.

WHAT WAS YOUR FIRST CLUE? The Economist: Liberals need a new approach to immigration.

Matteo Salvini, Italy’s hard-right interior minister, deputy prime minister and leader of its Northern League, is surging in the popularity polls. Mr Salvini is likely in due course to become Italy’s leader in large part because of his uncompromising stance on immigration. “People whose only contact with immigrants is with the Filipino servant who takes the dog for a walk in the evening are in favour of immigration, but they have no idea of how immigration is lived in the peripheries,” he said in July.

That, in a nutshell, is the charge made against smug liberals who champion “open borders”. They get all the benefits of large-scale migration from low-wage countries: cheap nannies, Uber drivers, decorators, waiters, sandwich-makers, chambermaids and dog-walkers. But they don’t rely on public housing, tend to have private health-care and often pay for private education so that their children are not brought up in classes where, in some cases, their native tongue is spoken by a minority.

Meanwhile those locals not so fortunate as the cosmopolitan elite (who kid themselves that they deserve their good fortune because they worked hard, ignoring that they started life on third base) often compete with people who will work for less because they are prepared to live in dorms or bedsits, having left their families at home.

If immigrants were undercutting the wages of lawyers, bankers, journalists, and politicians, every nation would have a wall.

DUMB AND DUMBER: The Army’s New PT Test.

LIFE UNDER LATE SOCIALISM: Venezuela’s Suicide.

NEWS YOU CAN USE? The Best ‘Scary’ Movies for Wusses.

I don’t know about that number one pick. I’m a connoisseur of horror movies, even though they almost never actually frighten — and Misery scared the crap out of me.

NEWS YOU CAN USE: Experts: October Is The Optimal Time For Flu Shots.

WEIRD, NONE OF THE HEADLINES I SAW MENTIONED THAT HE WAS A DEMOCRAT: So Alaska’s Lt. Governor (a Democrat) just resigned three weeks before the election.

HILARIOUS: IN 2013, PEOPLE WANTED AN EXCEPTION MADE FOR TOTALLY WHITE GUY ROBERT “BETO” O’ROURKE TO GET INTO THE HISPANIC CAUCUS. “However, the CHC stuck to its charter and maintained the policy necessitating members have Hispanic heritage, which Beto does not. For his part, O’Rourke only commented that he respected the Caucus’s bylaws.The willingness of those on the left to shoe-horn in a privileged white guy under the banner of a minority representative is honestly laughable. But don’t you dare put on a sombrero on Halloween or celebrate Cinco de Mayo.

Update: Link now fixed.

AND THE HITS JUST KEEP ON COMING: 11 Freakiest Things About Arizona Senate Candidate Kyrsten Sinema.

THAT DIDN’T TAKE VERY LONG: Facebook Backtracks on Promise that Always-On Video Calling ‘Portal’ Won’t Collect Data. “How long until Facebook starts leaking our phone conversations to third-party vendors?”

IT’S BIG: 2019 BMW X7.

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LIBERTY: YOU’RE DOING IT WRONG. In Religious Freedom Case, State Says It Can Force a Muslim Tattoo Artist to Endorse Christianity. “That’s no different from forcing Christians to celebrate gay weddings.”

JONATHAN KEILER: Warren’s Clintonian Smoke Signals.

Deliberate or not, Warren’s approach seems to track more closely to another older white woman also lacking in American Indian DNA, but not chutzpah, by the name of Hillary. Maybe Warren ought to check for Ashkenazi DNA.

Like Hillary, Warren is taking the approach that attacking Trump is a no-lose proposition for a Democrat – a rather obvious point, but one she is taking the lead on. And as a woman, much like Hillary, she is willing to cast aside ideas of equality and fall back on her position as a member of the fairer sex when counterattacked.

So when it was leaked that Trump’s chief of staff, General John Kelly, criticized Warren in a private email as rude and obstreperous, she publicly took it as a proof of her toughness and then claimed that Kelly’s comments were sexist. The mainstream media at least pretended to marvel at her political jiu-jitsu, in turning a potential negative into a positive (at least for Democrats) – in other words, claiming Hillary’s harpy badge and wearing it proudly.

The American Indian ridiculousness is part of the same strategy. It simply rekindled a feud with Trump, which is what Warren wants. It doesn’t matter that he’s right and she appears delusional. Democrats don’t care if their leaders are a bit bent. In fact, they might prefer it. What the base wants is to see Democrats fighting Trump. Warren is giving them a fight.

Warren is also protecting herself from future Democratic challengers with another Clintonian move, by quickly putting negatives in the past.

Maybe, but something simultaneously this silly and outrageous is going to be hard to shake.

CHANGE: Space Force to be the topic of next National Space Council meeting.

OOPS: Advertisers Allege Facebook Failed to Disclose Key Metric Error for More Than a Year. “Facebook knew of problems with how it measured viewership of video ads for more than a year before it revealed them in 2016, according to a complaint filed by advertisers.”

Damping marketers’ concerns is important for Facebook as it seeks a bigger piece of U.S. spending on online video ads, which is projected to grow 30% this year to $27.8 billion. Facebook is expected to account for almost 25% of U.S. video ad spending, eMarketer estimates.

For two years, Facebook had counted only video views that lasted more than three seconds when calculating its “average duration of video viewed” metric. Video views of under three seconds weren’t factored in, thereby inflating the average length of a view.

Facebook replaced the metric with “average watch time,” which reflects video views of any duration.

After disclosing the issue in 2016, Facebook said in a statement that it had “recently discovered” the error.

Facebook told some advertisers that it likely overestimated average time spent watching videos by 60% to 80%. The plaintiffs alleged in Tuesday’s complaint that the error was much larger and that the average viewership metrics had been inflated by some 150% to 900%.

Only Facebook knows Facebook’s actual numbers, so who knows how much worse the problem might have been — or might still be.

SCIENCE MARCHES ON: Scientists Invent Self-Lubricating Condoms to Make Safe Sex More Enjoyable.

CHRISTIAN TOTO: Sarah Silverman’s Empathy Shtick More Fake News. “The progressive comic promotes a ‘kumbaya’ vibe while torching anyone outside her world view.”

THE RETURN OF THE PRIMITIVE — BY ANY MEANS NECESSARY: ISIS Targeting Water Supplies, Power Lines and Cell Towers.

VICTOR DAVIS HANSON: What Happened to California (Video)?

CHINESE WARSHIPS HAVE BECOME MORE AGGRESSIVE IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA: The link takes you to a US Naval Institute commentary on a Centers for Strategic and International Studies panel addressing Chinese navy actions in the contested sea area. There is an embedded video of the panel. The video doesn’t begin until 18:09. (Skip to it, otherwise you’ll see the intro for 18 minutes.) There is an introductory talk by Greg Poling. The panel starts around 48 minutes.

Here are a couple of key comments:

“The risk of accidents has been heightened” if the Chinese are no longer trying to shadow vessels conducting Freedom of Navigation Operations, but trying to impede entry.

“That kind of interaction … is certainly dangerous,” but also may be an indication that Chinese President Xi Jinping is trying to demonstrate Beijing’s sovereignty in the South China Sea as one facet of increased rivalry between China and the United States diplomatically, economically and militarily across the Indo-Pacific.”

The article is worth reading. I listened to part of the intro speech and the panel. Good stuff — gets into the details.

Chapter Three of my new book, Cocktails from Hell, addresses China’s adventures in the South China Sea and Himalayas. The book comes out in December.

RISING SUN? Japanese Amphibious Soldiers Hit the Beach in the Philippines with U.S. Marines, 7th Fleet.

The amphibious unit, comprised of soldiers with Japan’s Ground Self Defense Force, joined with Marines of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit aboard dock landing ship USS Ashland (LSD-48) for the training alongside Philippine military forces during the bilateral exercise Kamandag, or “Kaagapay Ng Mga Mandirigma Ng Dagat,” along the Philippine Sea northwest of Manila.

The 10-day exercise between the U.S. and Philippines kicked off Oct. 2 and is focused on humanitarian and disaster response, amphibious operations and counter-terrorism training. The exercise also includes members of 7th Fleet, 3rd Marine Expeditionary Brigade, along with the Philippine Marine Corps, Philippine Navy and Philippine Air Force. Japan doesn’t allow its defense forces to participate in offensive, combat type training, although the prime minister has supported revising its policy and pacific constitution.

The ARDB formed in March under the JGSDF’s Western Army with a mission of rapid deployment for contingencies, including potential threats to and attacks against Japan’s many remote islands.

It’s good to see modern Japan taking self-defense so seriously.

WORSE THAN A BIRD STRIKE: Here’s What a Drone Collision Would Do to an Airplane Wing.

ANTISOCIAL MEDIA: Facebook Deletes Disabled Veteran’s Page Without Warning — After Taking $300,000 for Ads.

On his new website which aims to put an end to social media censorship, Air Force veteran and triple-amputee Brian Kolfage explains who he is and the challenges he’s facing stating: “I’m a veteran of The United States Air Force. I was severely wounded in Combat, on 9/11/2004 while serving in Iraq I lost both my legs entirely and my right hand. I’m the most severely wounded US Airman to survive.”

Kolfage continued: “I’m not a ‘conservative.’ I’m not a ‘liberal.’ I’m an American, with deep beliefs in what our country stands for. I proved this by vowing to protect and fighting for America greatest tenant: Free Speech. Many Americans have fought for these political freedoms … freedom of speech … and every American has enjoyed those freedoms… UNTIL TODAY. October 11th Facebook shut down thousands of Facebook accounts for their political opinions stating that they don’t have a ‘legitimate political argument’. STOP SOCIAL MEDIA CENSORSHIP NOW!”

Kolfage was the administrator of a number of Facebook pages, notably the pages Right Wing News and Military Grade Coffee, both of which were deleted recently as Facebook attempts to crack down on what it considers “misinformation” on the platform. Right Wing News had more than 3 million followers at the time of its blacklisting by Facebook.

Facebook can’t sell ads to readers who don’t go there. It’s fine for sharing cute memes or catching up with old friends, but relying on a “progressive” platform to get out your message is a big mistake.

Kolfage’s new website, Fight4FreeSpeech, is here.

ROGER KIMBALL: The triumph of Melania Trump: The ABC interview was meant to demean the First Lady. Like so many press gambits these days, it backfired. “I am not sure that Melania Trump had the introduction of Henry IV Part 2 in mind when she sat down for her free and frank discussion with the jackals of the — er, with a respected ABC correspondent during her recent trip to Africa. But time and again she dilated upon the ‘unpleasant’, erring and intrusive ‘speculation’ of the media.”

RUN, CREEPY PORN LAWYER, RUN! Michael Avenatti Is Making Concrete Moves to Run for President in 2020 Against Trump.

In a brief phone interview with The Daily Beast, Avenatti stressed that his expenditures and exploratory travel would only ramp up in the weeks and months ahead, with stops planned for Texas, California, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, along with longer-term plans to visit Iowa, Ohio, and Nevada.

“This idea that this is a superficial thing is ludicrous,” Avenatti said. “It is so ridiculous. I don’t need to engage in a superficial exploration of a potential run. Why would I need to do that? I don’t need any more notoriety. Why would I be wanting to take my time and energy traveling the country to raise money for Democrats if this was superficial?”

Though Fight PAC had raised a relatively small $11,907.98 so far, Avenatti said that fundraising was “coming along pretty well.” He had not hired anyone permanently for his committee. But, he added, “I’m consulting with a number of people.”

Does he have real presidential ambitions, or is he just testing the waters for a bigger effort at fleecing Democrats out of campaign donations?

TIRED OF AD HOMINEM ATTACKS INSTEAD OF ACTUALLY ADDRESSING IDEAS? So is Conor Freidersdorf from the Atlantic, whose comprehensive takedown of a Guardian review of the bestselling book The Coddling of the American Mind on this basis is a sight to behold. (Disclosure: the book’s co-author is my boss.) And in Quillette, FIRE’s Pamela Paresky goes into further detail about how so much of what passes for “reasoning” these days is really the operation of taboo and “moral pollution.” If you’re one of the many people who just can’t stand political discussions these days (I quit posting to Facebook for just that reason), these articles go a long way towards explaining why.

SOCIALISM IS ALWAYS ABOUT HUMILIATING PEOPLE AND TAKING THEIR STUFF:

“Don’t just interrupt a Senator’s meal, y’all,” James Thomas, an assistant professor of sociology, tweeted from his @Insurgent_Prof account on Oct. 6, the day Justice Brett Kavanaugh was sworn into the Supreme Court.

“Put your whole damn fingers in their salads,” he wrote. “Take their apps and distribute them to the other diners. Bring boxes and take their food home with you on the way out. They don’t deserve your civility.”

But if you respond in kind, they’ll be all “have you no decency, you right-wing terrorist?”

DAVID HARSANYI: The Only Remarkable Thing About Beto O’Rourke Is How Much The Media Loves Him. “A perfect example of bias, advocacy. and wishful thinking.”

Despite my best efforts, I know exactly what Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke’s post-punk indie band from the mid-’90s sounds like (not as bad as you’d think!). At the same time, I don’t know much about Senate candidate Josh Hawley, who is 38 years old (meaning, around eight years younger than “rising star” Beto), the attorney general of Missouri, and the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate.

In fact, Hawley’s name recognition outside of his state is probably negligible. When his name does come up in national political coverage, it’s mostly as a tack-on in pieces accessing opponent Claire McCaskill’s latest face-saving move or a panicky story about voter registration in Missouri. As with most other Americans, I don’t have any idea if Hawley likes to air drum to The Who when he pretends to win a debate. What I do know is that Hawley is slightly leading McCaskill, a two-time incumbent, in the RealClearPolitics poll average in a race that could decide which party controls the Senate.

O’Rourke, who is also up against an incumbent, Ted Cruz, is down seven points and falling. It wouldn’t be completely surprising if Cruz ends up winning Texas by nearly the same margin he did in 2012. Yet you might not have discerned this reality if you were merely paying attention to Betomania.

The Democrat-Media Complex is obsessed with the superficial because, well, what else have they got?

WORST NAZI EVER: Trump nominates openly gay conservative to federal appeals court. “Bumatay is an assistant U.S. attorney in California handling various criminal issues, including opioid abuse and transnational organized crime, according to the White House. He went to Yale and Harvard Law School, and the White House said Bumatay is a member of the National Filipino American Lawyers Association, the National Asian Pacific American Bar Association and the Tom Homann LGBT Law Association. Bumatay is the second openly gay person Trump has nominated for the federal bench, according to the Washington Blade.”

Sadly, California’s homophobic female senators, Dianne Feinstein and Kamala Harris, oppose him and tried to block his nomination.

SO THAT WHOLE DNA TEST THING IS REALLY GOING SWIMMINGLY: Actual Pocohantas descendent to Warren: Apologize.

ARE YOU SMARTER THAN THIS KID? He’s 11-years-old and you gotta hear his critique of Einstein and Hawking.

THE HEAT IS ON: Women To Heitkamp: You’ll Hear From Our Attorney.

KAVANAUGH EFFECT: Poll: “The American public is becoming more skeptical about accusations of sexual misconduct.” “The share of American adults responding that men who sexually harassed women at work 20 years ago should keep their jobs has risen from 28% to 36%. The proportion who think that women who complain about sexual harassment cause more problems than they solve has grown from 29% to 31%. And 18% of Americans now think that false accusations of sexual assault are a bigger problem than attacks that go unreported or unpunished, compared with 13% in November last year.”

ROGER SIMON: Trump Takes the Right Position (Again) on Khashoggi.

BETO SCHOOL OF DRIVING: Michigan Dem. Gretchen Whitmer Crashed Into Parked Car in 2016, Witness Said She Was ‘Intoxicated.’ “In a message to PJ Media, the campaign admitted the incident occurred but insisted that alcohol was not involved. They did not give an alternate explanation for why the collision occurred, however.”

ROYAL INTERNATIONAL AIR TATTOO: An RAF pilot puts a WW2 Spitfire through its paces. (Tattoo: in this case, a military performance or exhibition presented as entertainment.)

LET’S GET FRACKING: Don’t rule out $400 oil if the U.S. sanctions Saudi Arabia.

HIGHER EDUCATION BUBBLE UPDATE, HOSTILE EDUCATIONAL ENVIRONMENT ON ACCOUNT OF SEX EDITION: Penn celebrates Anita Hill, intersectionality founder with ‘man-bashing fest.’

WHOA, CANADA: Canada to pardon pot possession as the country legalizes marijuana.

YOUR FEELINGS DON’T MAKE YOU SPECIAL: University of Chicago pres. slams ‘privileging of feelings.’. “Some people are trying to keep certain views unexpressed out of self-righteous, moral, or political indignation, an agenda driven by such moral or political views, and comfort, arrogating to themselves and those they agree with the right of speech, while denying it to others.”

LIZ SHELD’S MORNING BRIEF: Khashoggi in the Headlines and Much, Much More. “This story continues to lead news coverage with the media wagging their finger at President Trump, sneering that he needs to dump/sanction/cancel arms sales/start a war with the Sauds. Despite all the moral posturing, we have no evidence of anything yet, NONE and yet an entire scenario has been constructed and floated around but there is no evidence and no admissions only convenient allegations from the enemies (Turkey, Qatar, Iran) of a Saudi, Israeli, US alliance. If the U.S. turns on the Saudis, qui bono?”

Good question.

THIS DNA TEST HAS BEEN ONE OF THE GREATEST SELF-OWNS IN ALL THE HISTORY OF POLITICS: Cherokee Nation to Elizabeth Warren: Drop dead. Cherokee Nation Secretary of State: “A DNA test is useless to determine tribal citizenship. Current DNA tests do not even distinguish whether a person’s ancestors were indigenous to North or South America. Sovereign tribal nations set their own legal requirements for citizenship, and while DNA tests can be used to determine lineage, such as paternity to an individual, it is not evidence for tribal affiliation. . . . Using a DNA test to lay claim to any connection to the Cherokee Nation or any tribal nation, even vaguely, is inappropriate and wrong. It makes a mockery out of DNA tests and its legitimate uses while also dishonoring legitimate tribal governments and their citizens, whose ancestors are well documented and whose heritage is proven. Sen. Warren is undermining tribal interests with her continued claims of tribal heritage.”

MICHAEL BARONE: Barone’s Guide to Government: Searches and Seizures.

OH: US Sanctions Threats ‘Unexpectedly’ Led To Deeper Economic Ties Between Iran And Russia.

According to a report by Israeli political analyst Dana Weiss, the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs has a secret document that describes Russia’s plan to aid Iran in subverting the incoming US Sanctions on the Islamic Republic’s oil exports.

According to Weiss, Iran will transfer its crude oil to Russian refineries on the Caspian Sea. After that Russia would present and sell the oil as Russian and reimburse Iran on the sales. According to the secret document, the plan was made together by Turkey, Russia and Iran during their summit on September 7th. In the summit the leaders of the three countries discussed avoiding an escalation in Idlib.

The document also said that European parties may be complacent in allowing Iran to circumvent US sanctions in order to trade oil with Asia. This would make sense, since the EU signatories on the Iran Nuclear Deal are interested in keeping Iran in the deal and upholding it. After all, the EU has made steps towards assisting Iran deal with the sanctions.

According to Weiss, this is worrying for Israel because Iran would avoid an economic collapse, which will also be reinforced by this new way of circumventing US sanctions.

We just need to find more soft spots to push on, is all.

KATIE PAVLICH: The left’s identity politics fall apart.

CHANGE: Signs mount of a fundamental shift in US-China ties.

With efforts to resolve the tit-for-tat tariff battle in limbo, Vice President Pence this month served public notice that the US sees trade as just one grievance among many against China’s economic, military, geopolitical, and human rights policies. And he explicitly questioned a core assumption of US policy over the past two decades: that support for modernization in China and its integration into the world economy would temper Chinese leaders politically and provide the basis for a relationship of cooperation. Mr. Pence said, in effect, that ship had now sailed.

A new cold war, if that’s what it becomes, will likely look far different from the first. The Soviet Union was an underdeveloped country with an outsized military and a fearsome nuclear arsenal. China is also a nuclear power, and has been gradually building up its military reach in recent years. Yet with China, the root source of competition and of steadily growing friction has been an economic one. More specifically, it’s about how China has been using its growing economic might.

It’s interesting that Ned Temko should bring up the Soviet Union’s lack of economic might, when for decades we had been assured (always by the Left) that the Soviets were on the brink of overtaking us — if they already hadn’t. Given China’s debt explosion and coming demographic implosion, you have to wonder if they’re as economically mighty as so many people think they are.

OCTOBER 17:  On this day in history, Evel Knievel was born.  And #MeToo.

HMM: Ukraine’s Spiritual Split From Russia Could Trigger a Global Schism. “For Moscow, the crisis is geopolitical as well as religious.”

“This is a victory of good over evil, light over darkness.” That’s how Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko described the announcement Thursday that the Orthodox Church’s Istanbul-based leader, Patriarch Bartholomew, will grant Ukraine’s Church independence from Russia.

In televised remarks, Ukraine’s president dubbed this a “historic event,” which it undoubtedly is: For more than three centuries, Ukraine and Russia have been religiously united within the Russian Orthodox Church. It was a union Poroshenko characterized this summer as a “direct threat to the national security of Ukraine,” given his view that the Russian Orthodox Church fully supports Kremlin policy; he said then that it was “absolutely necessary to cut off all the tentacles with which the aggressor country operates inside the body of our state.”

Now, four years after Russia annexed the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea, Ukraine is asserting its territorial independence by demanding its own national Church. For Russia, the crisis is geopolitical as well as spiritual. The stakes are so high that in order to protest Ukraine’s religious autonomy, Russia may respond harshly enough to trigger a deep schism in the Christian world.

“Little green men” and assassins can’t fix this problem for Putin.

HMM: Tenn. Lawmaker Accuses Bredesen Campaign Treasurer of Hatch Act Violation: Bredesen’s campaign treasurer is on TVA board of directors, appeared in campaign ad. “The complaint from Rick Tillis, a Republican member of Tennessee’s House of Representatives, concerns Virginia Lodge, who was appointed to TVA’s board of directors by Barack Obama in 2012 and is the listed as the treasurer for Bredesen’s Senate campaign. Lodge was featured in a recent ad that was used by the campaign in a fundraising plea, which Tillis believes crosses the line set by the Hatch Act.”

This seems pretty penny-ante to me.

I’D RATHER SEE MORE DISTANCE BETWEEN BIG GOVERNMENT AND BIG BUSINESS: Facebook’s ex-security chief will start a new center to bring Washington and Silicon Valley together.

BLUE WAVE? Conservative Leah Vukmir Looks To Defeat Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) in Wisconsin. “The most recent poll shows Baldwin leading Vukmir by 10 points, 53% to 43%. Asked about this, Vukmir responded by noting that the usually reliable poll has been all over the map since the beginning of the senatorial campaign, showing her at one point trailing by 30 points and at another two points behind, well within the margin of error. Vukmir also noted that the polling was done before the recent debate at the University of Wisconsin Milwaukee campus, in which she clearly dominated an uncomfortable and often flustered Baldwin.”

Good bio of an unconventional candidate in a largely overlooked race.

INEQUALITY: The Top 3% Of U.S. Taxpayers Pay 50% Of Income Taxes.

I’M A BIG FAN. I FIGURE WILLETT FOR THE BREYER SEAT, BARRETT FOR THE GINSBURG SEAT: Judge Don Willett Stands Out on Criminal Justice Reform: The 5th Circuit judge weighs in on qualified immunity, criminal sentencing, and false imprisonment.

VEGETIUS LIVES: If you want peace, prepare for nuclear war.

October 16, 2018

PETITION: Order a federal investigation into sex crimes committed by Bill Clinton, including the rape of Juanita Broaddrick. #TimesUp.

NEW CIVILITY WATCH: Kamala Harris’s Ellen Appearance: Jokes about Killing Trump, Pence, Sessions.

SHOCKING NEWS FROM USA TODAY: Google News results favor left-leaning media, report finds.

BLACK FIRE CHIEF WINS DAMAGES AFTER BEING REPRESENTED BY WHAT SPLC CALLED A HATE GROUP: Atlanta To Pay Out $1.2 Million To Christian Fire Chief After Violating His First Amendment Rights.

WELL, THIS IS GOING SWIMMINGLY:

OPEN THREAD: Tuesday’s gone, with the wind.