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The Problem with the President’s Polls

November 13th, 2013 - 3:10 pm

Chris Cillizza with an important historical reminder for Congressional Democrats as they race for the exits on ObamaCare:

Take a look back at the election results from the second midterm elections of presidents, which is what 2014 will be. From the end of World War II up until the 1986 election, the president’s party lost an average of 48 seats in the House and seven seats in the Senate, according to the indispensable Congressional analyst Norm Ornstein. That “six year itch” trend has slowed in more recent second term midterm elections — the average losses for the president’s party in the 1986, 1998 and 2006 midterms is 10 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate — but the pattern of losses remain. (In only two six year itch elections since the Civil War — one of which happened in 1998 — has the president’s party not lost seats in Congress.)

Oh, wait — I guess they already remembered, what with the racing for the exits and all.

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They remember 2010. They know this will be even worse. Then, it was loss of freedom. Now, it will be loss of dollars, about which they care even more.

This time, it's personal.

Bill O'Reilly said tonight that young folks are turned off (Obama's poll numbers among them have dropped hugely), because there are no jobs out there for them. He is wrong.

Obama and Company have lost the youth support, because screwing up tech is a cardinal sin amongst the young. Screwing up a website so badly equals monumentally stupid, in their view.

You wanna win the youth vote? Run ads asking, "How stupid are these people, that they screwed up a website so badly?" Just drive home that message endlessly. Tech stupid is unforgivable.
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