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VodkaPundit

So Long, PC, We Hardly Knew Ye

May 28th, 2013 - 1:02 pm

That headline is an unfair exaggeration, but the bleeding in the PC industry has barely begun:

After the steep losses in the disastrous first quarter, IDC now predicts PC shipments to drop a whopping 7.8 percent in 2013—nearly twice the rate of 2012′s 4 percent decline, which already had the industry in a tizzy. Dell’s on the block, Lenovo’s pushing into smartphones despite its computing wins, and HP’s first quarter PC revenues dropped a whopping 20 percent.

The pain isn’t expected to stop there, either. IDC predicts shipments to drop another 1.4 percent in 2014 before settling down again. By 2017, the firm expects global PC shipments to total roughly 333 million units—more than the 321.9 million forecasted to move this year, but less than 2012′s 349.2 million and 2011′s 363 million. (To be fair, judging the market that far out is about as accurate as reading chicken entrails; witness how quickly this year’s 1.3 percent decline blossomed to a full 7.8 percent plummet.)

IDC says tablets and workplace BYOD laptops are largely to blame, two areas where Apple tends to shine.

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All Comments   (7)
All Comments   (7)
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I think PCs have also reached a point where there is less reason to upgrade every year or so. Unless you are a gamer, or you recode/edit video, a two or four core PC is more than enough for most people's needs. My folks are just upgrading from a single core Celeron for their main PC. (After I tweaked their old Acer netbook with an SSD and some more memory...)
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
PCs will be with us for quite some time, I think, though no doubt their volumes will drop. The productive class still needs something with a keyboard and some sort of precision pointing device and decent number crunching abilities for the foreseeable future. Spreadsheets, presentations, tax forms, etc. are a pain to create on anything else (trust me, I’ve tried!).

I’ll readily admit consumers of those products can work quite well on other than a PC platform. So I have no doubt PC volumes will drop.

Fact is, there are many, many folks who own PCs but only use them for apps that don’t require all the bells and whistles of such a device. Pads and smart phones will serve many of those folks well.

What’s the breakdown of those two market segments? That’s the billion dollar question.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Does this include individual PC parts or just ready made PCs?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
It looks like the article only focused on Windows PCs, Unsurprising if they didn't include Apple desktop machines. Apple seems to be slowly abandoning the desktop. Not happy re: that since I need a couple 24" + monitors to get any real work done.

Hate to have to move back to Windows.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
No worries about multi-monitor systems. With USB3.0 being fast enough to stream video, you can add hang a couple of big monitors off of a USB interface.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Um... no.

Mac sales are (depending on the survey) either treading water, or shrinking slightly -- in an overall PC market which is contracting badly. That's not too bad, especially since Apple's growth-loss in desktops and laptops is being counteracted by Apple growth in tablets.

They haven't given up on Mac at all.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Hope you're right Stephen. But the stagnant MacPro concerns me.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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