January 31, 2012 - 6:10 pm
1) For Newt Gingrich to compete in February and March, he’ll have to do better with women: he only lost men by 5 pints, but lost women by 22.
2) Florida is not really a Southern state: over 70% of GOP voters and over 80% of all voters were born outside the South. If he can get back on track, Newt will win Alabama, Georgia, Miss, etc.
3) Romney’s strong showing in the suburbs of Florida bodes well for the long run.
4) Romney carried the votes of those who were either “moderate” or “somewhat conservative” by over 20 points. Newt won those “very conservative” voters by 43-29%.
5) Romney appears to be establishing a Center-Right coalition. That’s a winning formula for everywhere but the Deep South.
Winning coalition? Against the Pres. Gutsy and his ACORN thugs? Dream on.
How does one leap from “vast spending on negative ads can permit the fraudulently-named “frontrunner” to temporarily regain a single-state lead” to “a coalition is being built?”
I wanna smoke some of that too.
Regarding point #5, a center-right coalition is also a winning formula for the general election and for governing a divided nation once elected. Can’t say the same for Newt the flamethrower.
Regarding comments #1 and #2, Florida shows that Romney can overcome hysterical, left-wing attacks and win. So his strong Florida may bode well for the general election, where we should expect more of the same from Obama & Co.
Gingrich’s electoral problem is that Super Tuesday is too far away. McMitt is likely to have some more successes in February and conservative pravda will attempt to convince the public that he has a mandate.
It could work.
The best chance for conservatives is for either Gingrich or Santorum to drop out. But neither one will want to do it. Newt thinks his experience makes him the one, but Santorum thinks that he has established himself as a more clear alternative to obama.
If one does drop out, I bet it’s Newt. He wants to defeat the Ruling Class more than Santorum does, and if he calculates that dropping out is the only way, he might do it.
It probably won’t happen, but for a lark, suppose it does. Gee, what will saintly Mitt do? Is there even an eentsy tiny chance he might go negative on Santorum. Oh, he wouldn’t do that, would he?
Suppose, just suppose Romney wins the nomination. And for speculation sake, suppose a House and Senate go Republican and Romney wins election.
What is different? Obama heavy vs. Romney lite. The former, in a hurry to socialize America, the latter a slower pace towards socialization (possibly over two terms). What in the world is different?
If either Obama or Romney are elected President with a divided House and Senate, who wins is We The Elite People of culture of corruption in Washington DC. Then “katy-bar-the-door!!!” Hold on to We The People’s wallets! Everything will go down the tubes.
OH! Little aside, Romney is for Gun Control! If We The People are watching the kabuki theatre presentation of Fast & Furious playing at the Capitol now, watch Sir Romney’s ACT!!!! Breathless!! (Jerry Lee Lewis)
God Bless America! This ones a tough nut to crack! Amen!
A “center-right coalition” supporting Romney? That’s hilarious. There’s no conservatives in there.
Romney’s support is a RINO-GOPestablishment-MSM-moderate coalition. Romney is supported by believers of the conventional wisdom of “electability” and “moderation” (such as Patrick Reddy). Like all “moderates”, Romney thinks he can be politically successful by claiming to be all things to all people. And in the end, his presidential campaign will only be as successful as those of previous moderates like Ford, GHW Bush, Dole, or McCain.
What candidate do you think will win in a contest between a moderate Republican (like Romney) and an incumbent Democrat candidate (like Obama) both offering similar versions of a big-government welfare state?
There is more “quiet” activity going on in support of Romney than is apparent.
With Hunstman out, this threadbare group of supporters (a large block of the Mormon faith) have coalesced around Romney. This phenomenon has picked up steam, visible in Florida’s results.
Center-right may mean, in Romney’s case, a religious undertone, willing to amass huge amounts of donors having deep pockets to pour unlimited amounts of cash and support into Romney’s election. He spent $12 million on advertising alone, in Florida, all of it negative. Newt, on the other hand spent a measly $2 million on advertising…all of it on the defensive.
So, Romney has a “center-right” coalition (religious undertones) coupled with a We The Elite People of culture of corruption in Washington DC’s superpac, AND deep pocketed individuals willingly throwing huge mountains of funding and support for his re-election (all of it on “attack ads”).
Isn’t it time this shameful culture of corruption stop this willful manipulation of America’s electoral process? Or are We The People going down that slippery slope, joining third world, tin-horn dictatorships by buying votes with falsehoods, lies and outright chicanery? Hugo Chavez does this!!!!
Truth in advertising, wherefore art thou? God Bless America. We The People demand it when deciding to buy a product, why then doesn’t this same set of norms apply to something sacrosanct…We The People’s VOTE??????
We The People are shamefully voting on We The Elite People’s culture of corruption in Washington DC’s carefully planned and executed time-worn plan of destroying Our Constitution, Declaration of Independence and Bill of Rights. Amen! Demand Truth In Advertising!!!!!