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Roger L. Simon

Iran Will Not Have an Atomic Bomb. Period.

November 24th, 2013 - 7:35 pm

iran_nuclear_map_11-24-13-1

Sorry for the corny title of this article — I was going to call it “It’s the Centrifuges, Stupid!” — but as a Hollywood movie executive famously said in a script meeting, “Obviousness is your friend.” He was right about screenplays and he’s right here. No one believes Barack Obama about anything anymore. Why should they? The new Iran deal is Obamacare II, only worse, a thousand megatons worse.

So many things are wrong with the agreement coming out of Geneva, it’s hard to know where to begin (for an excellent overall go to The Israel Project’s Tower website or look right here with our resident expert Dr. Ledeen), but the most egregious part indeed comes down to centrifuges. Iran has some 19,000 of them — more than three times the amount of longtime nuclear-armed Pakistan. The agreement forbids the Iranians to build anymore, but, much more importantly, it allows the Iranians to fix any of their centrifuges that may be broken and get them working again..

How many of those 19,000 are broken? I’m not sure anyone outside Iran knows, but as will be recalled, the Stuxnet computer virus of 2010 was designed to bring these centrifuges to a halt and apparently did so quite successfully in many cases. But now — thanks to the deal that Obama and Kerry have put together — the Iranians will have six unmolested months to get as many of them up and running as they can, enriching uranium.

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Top Rated Comments   
If you like your atomic bomb program...
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
So, after the deal was announced, I understand that Obama Called Netanyahu to assure him that if he likes his country he can keep his country!
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304465604579217981168000434

From the Iranian point of view they are standing on the deck of their battleship Geneva accepting the surrender of the Great Satan. Obama has essentially agreed to treat Iran as a normal country; the undeclared state of war between the US and Iran that has existed since Jimmy Carter has now been resolved -- called off -- by Barack Obama.

He's moving on. What the deal did was remove any notion of illegitimacy from the Iran government. It is now "normal", or more "normal". Whether this is true or false is a political judgment. But it would be less than honest to say that the Obama administration has not granted some form of acceptance to Iran. The question now is whether that judgment is correct or one which the administration will regret.

Oddly enough, Carter and Obama seem joined by destiny. Carter lost Iran; Obama has basically buried the hatchet. Carter became the patron of Egypt and Obama is releasing it to whichever new patron it might seek.

In the terminology of the New York Times this is a great achievement. Others would say he threw in the towel. Alan Dershowitz says it could be a "Chamberlain moment".

I was hoping it would be Wilt. But unfortunately I think he means Neville.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (98)
All Comments   (98)
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Doesn't obvious depend on who's looking? And what they see? AND who's telling them how to interpret what they see?

Educational principle used for example in Sesame Street and public education to "teach" The Young "Give me a child til he is five and he is mine for life".

The essence in the "Kindergarten" System. Teachers "Licensed" by the people in power at any given time. To teach what needs teaching.

Within the past half century THE accepted look at the world taught by the people in poilicy echelons of all civic institions up to and including graduate school. AND government was what they call liberalism.

But a new kind, a "New Age" liberalism that rebelled against "Old" liberalism. New liberals believed, though not saying so in public, that their "compasson" gave them carte blanche to do anything that would further their plans "For The Good of the People".

Whatever the means and whatever the costs to the People. To break some eggs to make their omelette.

Their actions modelled by their hierarchy since they became "the big boy on the block" have become increasingly de haut en bas do as we say not as we do.

Even when, or perhaps especially when, diverting substantially from the accepted social contract of the nation in which they "do their good".

BECAUSE as stated forthrightly by their present standard bearer BH Obama that contract LIMITS their actions "For the Good of The People". Those People cannot know what is good for them and MUST be taken in hand by the compassionates.

Occam's Rasor indeed. Sherlock Holmes. The obvious must be seen to be obvious.

Now during Obama's second term, his "After the election I can be more flexible" as off-mike comment during his tour of Russis, his declared intention to FUNDAMENTALLY TRANSFORM THE NATION is becoming increasingly evident his true intent.

Whatever it takes whether or not consistent with THE LAW, the custom ,and the accepted social contract of that nation, its Constitution, to which elected as pre-eminent "representative".

Obama and his enablers actions look very like Blitzkrieg.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
It is possible that Obama is the devil. Please tell me again how Americans voted this government in a second time, and how John Kerry is Secretary of State.

The US and the EU have just increased many-fold the chances of total war in the region. Israel will suffer, we may have ten thousand dead, but Israel will prevail. Afterwards, the repercussions (against us) will be significant. These too will pass.

American people, where have you gone? What have you wrought with this twisted Administration?
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Larry in Israel - I am Lawrence in New York. I will try to answer your question. Israel will never express and realize its sovereignty and what its sovereignty requires as long as the Left is powerful or influential in the United States and, I imagine, in Israel.

No one in this country has any idea what the Iranians are up to - as hard as that might be to believe. The whole debate about what to do about Iran's nuclear program misses that we have no policy about what to do with Iran.

Iran calls the shots and we were have a government that reacts. The debates over the right reaction will get us nowhere unless, since we are reacting, we need to know what Iran is up to.

So things will limp along but far far far more dangerously for you. Purge your left mercilessly and beef up your military. While worrying about Iran's nuclear weapon give some thought about their acquiring lower yield atomic weapons - to use against your country.

Bless
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
As a retired Naval Officer I agree with the general tone of the article and commentary here, there is something very important that has been overlooked.

Read your (ancient) history. Israel has ALWAYS been betrayed by her allies. It was foretold by G_d Himself.

The reconstitution of Israel (19 centuries later), an event never equaled in history, was also foretold.

As much as I love my country, we are not, by and large, a God-fearing country any more. There is no reason for Israel to trust in ANY alliance today any more than in ancient times.

Their protector always has been, and always will be, the Lord Almighty. When Israel/Judah trusted in alliances, those ALWAYS failed. When they trusted in G_d, they were always protected. In one case they trusted God, assembled their army, marched out to meet three enemy armies, only to discover the enemies had annihilated each other. There was so much plunder to be taken that it took them 3 days to pick it all up.

Israel needs to return to G_d. So do all of us.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
I think Israel, the United States and the mature Arab Sates have a common interest in destroying the Left. And if we do we move automatically closer to G_d's Kingdom here.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Despite what they call themselves, there really is no such organization (Chicago Democrat Party). It IS the Chicago Communist Party. Its time to call the Democrats what they are, NOT what they call themselves. They ARE the American Communist Party and there is nothing Democratic about them
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
In my mind's eye I see thousands of pallets and containers, filled with centrifuge parts, waiting for this moment in warehouses and yards, soon to be on their way to Iran, paid for with the dollars we just released.

This is not incidental or accidental.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Well, we all know why black folks voted for Obama. So what's the Jew's excuse?
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
The illegal evil zionist den of israel has simply got to go - period
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Buraq, is that you?
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Seeing how Iran is a fraction of the threat the Soviet Union was, it's pretty clear modern liberal politicians would've caved to the SU. Exactly what cards does Iran hold? None that I can see.

Their greatest future talent would seem to be providing some mental case with enough radioactive material to float a dirty bomb into some American or European harbor on a barge and then say "Wha... who? Not us!!!"

Will a liberal administration act on uncertain intelligence? You bet your life they won't. Simple: attack when a Dem is President. They're already on the run.

If Obama was President on 9/11 he would've scurried over to Oilsville to kiss and compare Koranic rings, apologized to Saddam Hussein for the Crusades, dissolved Israel, gave a speech where he said "I am not a racialst" and given orders to vice-president Al Sharpton to give the Taliban 877 trillion dollars in Halal Coca-Cola vouchers.

If he'd been President for Pearl Harbor he would've signed a retro-active non-interference pact with Japan and been firm that no "comfort woman" be asked to work for less than minimum wage. What a guy.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
OBAMA'S 'FLEXIBILITY' AFTER THE ELECTION HAS ALLOWED HIM TO SCREW AMERICA AND NEGOTIATE FOR RUSSIA, CHINA AND IRAN.
This Geneva/Munich Agreement actually allows Iran to produce a nuclear weapon at a faster pace. This is because of the 19,000 Iranian centrifuges, about half aren't working (Stuxnet/age) and 1,000 are a new, more advanced type. These advanced centrifuges can turn enriched (3.5% or 5%, it doesn't matter) into weapon's-grade uranium much faster than before and much faster than what's being reported. Since this agreement allows Iran to replace worn-out centrifuges with new ones, once the advanced centrifuges are in place a nuclear weapon can be produced very quickly -- almost in a flash. This agreement also doesn't address the nuclear weaponizing of missiles. It's much weaker than the sanctions imposed by the UN, which was approved by China and Russia. Bottom line: Obama has given Iran everything it wanted -- and more. More than Russia or China would ever have believed or even have asked for.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
The Agreement also doesn't allow IAEA inspectors into Parchin, where nuclear detonators are being produced, or the Arak heavy-water reactor, where plutonium is being produced. And there are probably many more reactors we know nothing about.
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
Every Jew who voted for or donated to Obama will, together with Obama, have the blood of Israelis on their hands..they all make me sick
20 weeks ago
20 weeks ago Link To Comment
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