Get PJ Media on your Apple

Faster, Please!

The Syrian War Has Metastasized. Is Obama in It?

February 25th, 2013 - 10:16 pm

Something new is happening in Syria. There are two recent reports, one in Italian from il Foglio, my favorite daily newspaper, and the other in English at a web site called EA Worldview, which is politically obnoxious but very informative, especially concerning Iran. They both say the same thing: that the Free Syrian Army, which was formed fairly early in the revolt against Assad’s regime, is now getting some very good weapons. This accounts for its recent military successes, bringing it inside the Damascus gates.

Both base their analyses on the research of Elliot Higgins, a British expert who tracks the movement of weaponry in the region. Higgins says the new weapons, and ammunition for them, are coming from the old Yugoslavia. Both make the point that whereas Western countries, including the United States, are very concerned about radical jihadis among opposition forces, the FSA is much more attractive, being more “secular,” more moderate, and, at least at the outset, pro-Western. Il Foglio‘s excellent reporter on the scene, Daniele Raineri, makes another important point: by arming the FSA with weapons that can’t be obtained in the neighborhood, whoever is organizing the support gains a great deal of control, since the “whoever” also controls the flow of ammunition. And he notes that these new weapons are coming in to Syria from the south–with a major Jordanian role–rather than from the north, via Iraq and Turkey, which was the traditional route.

Neither is confident of knowing the deus ex machina of this tactical maneuver, but both know it could be very important. Is it, at long last, an American operation? Has Obama yielded to the advice of his senior military and foreign policy advisers, and–in partnership with, say, the Brits, the French, and the Jordanians–put some teeth in his thus-far empty cry “Assad must go”? Or is it, as no doubt some of the Islamists must suspect, a joint Israeli-Jordanian operation?

I don’t know. Kerry is apparently whispering to some of the opposition that “help is on the way,” which could mean almost anything. But whatever is going on should greatly concern the Iranians and their killers in Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon. For starters, the FSA has used some of their new toys to attack Hezbollah, in both Syria and Lebanon, which is tantamount to an attack on Iran itself.

I’m surprised that these attacks on Hezbollah haven’t received more attention, because they clearly show that the Syrian war has metastasized. In the past, the fighting spilled over across the Turkish border, but that seems to have stopped. The FSA warned Iran and Hezbollah that they were going to act, and now they have.

Meanwhile, the Kurdish elephant is breaking a lot of glasses and dishes, and again we don’t hear a lot about it. But if you’re watching Iran, you will have noticed some significant casualties on the battlefields of the region. Specifically, top Revolutionary Guards commanders are being killed. The Washington Post reported one of them, General Tabatabai, and noted that two other senior officers have been killed in the same area.

A more specialized publication, Iran Military News, notes mounting attacks in Balouchi areas in the southeast. Oddly, neither the WaPo nor the military publication mentions the sad assassination of three outstanding female Kurdish leaders in Paris (read a PJ Media report here) in early January, which some analysts believe was organized by Iranian intelligence. It would not be surprising if the assassinations in Iranian Kurdistan were acts of revenge.

Meanwhile, the regime has been pounding its chest, making the usual mess of its missions at home and abroad, and inventing tall tales for those who carefully parse every bit of official manure in the hope of finding a diplomatic pony somewhere in the pile. In a spectacular snafu, the regime launched a new oil platform, which promptly sank into the Gulf. Here’s the video. Eager to demonstrate military power and technological prowess, the mullahs trotted out one fairy tale after another, falsely claiming to have developed a new fighter plane, to have sent a chimpanzee into orbit, and screwing up various efforts to kill Westerners all over the place.

We’re dealing with a hollow regime. The only thing it does effectively is torture and kill, and if the West had the slightest inclination to bring down the Islamic Republic, it could be accomplished without firing a shot or dropping a bomb; it would suffice to support the internal opposition.

But then, it would most likely have sufficed in Syria, and so far as I know, we have yet to lift a finger to bring down the Assad tyranny. What a shameful legacy.

Comments are closed.

Top Rated Comments   
What's smart about replacing a secular regime with yet another Islamist one? How does that help America? The only one it helps is the Islamists. That might please Obama given his personal affection for Islam but it isn't smart for America.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (19)
All Comments   (19)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
"the enemy of my enemy is killing my enemy"...long live the status quo
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
It is apparent that a no fly zone approach would have saved the lives of tens of thousands of Syrian civilians killed by incessant air attacks.
To embargo arms to both sides when one side alone is heavily armed with tanks rockets helicopters and jets is to intervene in favor of that side.
Yet that side seems to be losing anyway.
Our behavior seems to have assured that many innocent civilians have died, and hundreds of thousands more are suffering, and otherwise has accomplished nothing.
How brilliant!
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
By pushing Assad's back to the wall, will he lash out with chemical and contagious germ weapons in every direction? Or will he quietly await the jihad hoard?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
"Still, there was a time when a sitting president, in a grand duel against global Communism, was scandalized after it was revealed that his administration was arming rebels in Latin America with demonstrable links to the cocaine trade. That president had made it plain to the world that he stood with those who opposed the Kremlin, and committed himself to that cause. To use the parlance of the day, could it be that the current administration’s foreign policy “vision” is no more complicated than: Why get “tied down” with diplomatic commitments when you can have revolutionary friends with benefits?"

http://misterchambers.com/2013/01/28/obamas-syrian-debacle/
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I see that the spirit of 1979, which follows the idea of "let's help those who are against the Russians", is still among us, in spite of the fact that by doing so the CIA had armed with advanced weapons the Talibans and those who then came back to haunt us and blow-up the Twin Towers...
Some people never learn.
The end of the Alawite regime will mean the end of the Xtian presence in Syria, another war against Israel, the triumph of Sunni Al Qaida and Wahhabi butchers, etcetera.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Why are we sending our troops to prop up these third world Sh*t holes any way. somebody is making a lot of money on this or we wouldn't be there
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
FSA is very fractured- they are supposed to be in under 5 commanders' military zones- Western,Eastern,Southern,Northern,Central. Jordan government denied any arms tranfers to rebels. FSA rebels in Homs are telling Swiss that they got all the powerful ammo via Turkey legally through Bab al-Hawa crossing- including US make M4,Austrian Streyr, antiaircraft,armour piercing weapons,mortars etc *http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/international/insight-_-Syria_rebels_bolstered_by_new_arms_but_divisions_remain.html?cid=35091080. The Kurdish women murdered in Paris allegedly by a refugee driver who chauffered them. yle.fi- tells of a Kurdish women batallion in Syria.- who are armed and dangerous fighting for their freedom. What is not reported in Western media- is the Finnish UNTSO UN peacekeeper-observers- whose UN vehicle was carjacked at gunpoint Feb.12,2013 or Feb.25,2013 UN legal advisor for UN Observers- Austrian born Carl Campo being kidnapped. Jahbat al-Nusra is staging a lot of battles- their enemies are the Shiite Hizbollah__ Syrian security forces- their comrade-in-arms are Syrian MB. (they are the foreign fighters from North Africa- Egypt,EU countries)
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Assad is an ally of anti-American regimes, and himself pushes anti-American policy in the region. He doesn't work with us in any way. This is different than say Gaddaffi and Mubarark. If he stays in power the USA is weaker in the region and so are our allies.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
It's always different this time.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Don't know about anyone else, but this **new and improved** comment system sucks, large and big-time.
It tells you you're in and on , you comment and you're dumped like the not so pretty girl at the prom.
I've re-entered 3 times in the past 40 minutes with two false advisories that all is well, and then it ain't.........
The previous set-up might have been a mite cloddy but I never ever got a bum's rush like I am getting currently.
WazUpWidDat?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
If the Iranians and Hezbollah have been drawn deeply into Syria, and now the Obama administration is providing critical weaponry that is defeating Assad and killing Revolutionary Guard commanders. Doesn't that suggest a smart play by Obama to bleed Iran and their allies.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What's smart about replacing a secular regime with yet another Islamist one? How does that help America? The only one it helps is the Islamists. That might please Obama given his personal affection for Islam but it isn't smart for America.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
1 2 Next View All

One Trackback to “The Syrian War Has Metastasized. Is Obama in It?”