Democrats have strategically pandered to specific demographics in order to obtain power. Racial minorities, LGBT Americans, women, and young voters tend to support Democrats, and this lopsided allegiance means that losing support from any one demographic could pose a significant challenge to the Democrats' electoral prospects.
Thanks to Joe Biden, we’ve seen cracks emerge in their coalition. An October TIPP poll found that the Biden economy has been “so disastrous to 18-24-year-olds that they may switch their allegiance to former President Trump in 2024 if he clinches the GOP nomination.”
“Many [18-24-year-olds] get their worldviews developed on college campuses, which are vast enclaves of liberalism. Because colleges essentially prohibit conservative speakers’ access, having declared safe zones for students who feel they could become ‘victims of microaggressions,’ few students are interested in understanding the other side of the argument or engaging in rigorous policy debates,” explained TIPP. “Until, of course, things hit their pocketbook.”
Other pollsters have seen similar trends. Last month, an NBC poll found that Biden has completely lost the advantage he had with young voters since 2020. Biden had a 20-point lead over Trump among 18-29-year-olds in 2020, but their recent polls showed Trump with a three-point lead among voters aged 18 to 34. Trump’s lead did fall within the margin of error, but the trend is very much against Biden.
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Why are these voters abandoning Biden? To find out, NBC News interviewed voters aged 18-34 who participated in the poll as well as those who supported Biden in 2020 but have withdrawn their support. The dissatisfaction with Biden is rooted in various policy areas, including climate change, Biden's handling of student loan debt, and the inability to codify Roe v. Wade.
“I genuinely could not live with myself if I voted for someone who’s made the decisions that Biden has,” said McKenzie, a 23-year-old working at Starbucks and as a union organizer in Madison, Wisconsin. “I didn’t even feel great about" voting for Biden in 2020, he said.
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“We’ve been seeing this in our data and focus groups actually since May,” said Ashley Aylward, a senior researcher at the Democratic polling firm HIT Strategies. “And to me, it’s because the 2024 campaign season for Democrats hasn’t started yet.”
Polling a year out from an election is a snapshot in time, and Biden and his party have time to bring young voters back into the fold. But Aylward and others said it will take work.
“This is the alarm bell that we needed to make sure that not only the Biden campaign, but every other Democratic operative out there and all the campaigns down the ballot — state and local — actually invest in young people, because we know how much they can change the outcome,” Aylward said.
I’m sorry to say that this shift isn’t because young people are having a conservative awakening, but because they are dissatisfied with Biden for being ineffective at accomplishing the leftist goals they desire.
