September 29, 2012
The data on absentees and registration point to a fall off in enthusiasm for the president from the highs of 2008, a result both of his epic failures as president and of the fact that the second time around isn’t nearly as exciting as casting a vote for the first ever African-American president.
The conversations with the experts are the most revealing, however, and the Manhattan-Beltway media elite has really failed to do even minimal homework here, choosing instead to go with the conclusions of the people they have paid to give them data, thus outsourcing their work.
In this respect big media resembles nothing so much as investors in Bernie Madoff’s funds. Madoff never got asked tough questions by his investors or the SEC, and thus he rampaged through his clients’ cash.
Big news organizations that turn off their skepticism and write checks to polling firms are doing the same thing and for the same reason: They lack the skills to do their own analyses, and they don’t want to be thought stupid for asking obvious questions.
I don’t mind admitting I don’t know why a sample should include 10% more Democrats than Republicans, so I ask –and ask and ask. This is what journalists do. Unless, apparently, they have paid for the product or want badly to believe it is true.
But don’t believe me. Read the interviews.
Follow the above link to do just that.