September 26, 2012
Poll Madness on the Hugh Hewitt Show: Qunnipiac’s own Peter Brown admitted to me on August 2 that a 9 point Democrat turnout advantage “is probably unlikely,” but his latest poll didn’t correct for this absurd sample, which still has 9 point Democratic turnout advantages in their Ohio and Florida numbers and 11 points in Pennsylvania. So, like Zogby, Strategic Vision and the Minnesota Poll before them, Quinnipiac seems destined for the heap of ruined reputations when Ds and Rs vote in roughly equal numbers on November 6. The lefties out in defense of Quinnipiac were the same ones who were loving on the exit polls on Election Day 2004, and on the Research 2000 ginned up for Kos or the Strategic Vision polls of questionable validity. If pollsters cannot defend their sample, the warning flag is out. Stick with gallup and Rasmussen.