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Finally, One World

April 3rd, 2013 - 2:12 pm

Anne Gearan and Chico Harlan at the Washington Post state the obvious: “U.S. struggling to contain nuclear threats from North Korea, Iran”. They might have added Pakistan to the list.

The ‘Axis of Evil’, which the ‘reality-based’ community confidently  supposed did not exist, is now aiming their missiles at the West Coast.  That Axis of Evil  – or whatever you want to call it — has been in gestation for a long time, in the form of shared WMD component development between North Korea, Iran and Pakistan.

Denial is not only a river in Egypt, it was for the longest time an article of liberal faith. There were no WMDs in Iraq.  There were no nuke programs in Syria even after Israel bombed the reactor there. A leaked NIE believed Iran had stopped work on a nuclear weapon. North Korea was presumed to be contained. A new, diplomatically oriented administration would replace the caveman-like approach of its predecessor and presumably defang radical Islam, including Pakistan, of which the President boasted a special acquaintance.

President Obama actually campaigned on a promise to oppose “unproven missile defense systems” and to work toward eliminating nuclear weapons in the world. Now he is relying upon the former to compensate for his singular failure at the latter. Even more pathetic are efforts by Labor Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s administration. It has now resorted to begging. “Foreign Minister Bob Carr will try to persuade his Chinese counterpart, State Councillor Yang Jiechi, to tighten the enforcement of UN-backed sanctions aimed at forcing the hermit state to abandon its goal of becoming a fully-fledged nuclear power.”

What an about face. What a reversal in fortune.  An attitude of glum resignation has now replaced the previous cheerful denial. Anti-ballistic missiles are being emplaced on Guam. Canada’s Globe and Mail knows that it is time to plan on the basis of a rogue state nuclear arsenal aimed at North America.

Sooner rather than later, Prime Minister Stephen Harper is going to reconsider the Canadian decision to stay out of Ballistic Missile Defence … Coupled with the improvements that Iran is making to its own ballistic missile capacity, the threat to North America is now clear and present. The United States has moved aircraft and warships to the area and announced that it will increase its ground-based interceptors in California and Alaska.

Harper’s reluctance is understandable. Nuclear weapons were a bother.  The arrangement, strange as it may seem, was for America to do the dirty work, leaving others  free to concentrate on making Sonys, BMWs and Blackberrys.  In return, for decades after the Second World War the industrial nations imposed a “disincentive to join” on applicants to the nuclear weapons club. Though the technical barriers to building a nuclear weapon fell over time, the political costs rose, so that many countries concluded the cost in sanctions and diplomacy was never worth the benefit.

Countries like Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, most of Western Europe, South Africa and many others simply never built a bomb. Why bear the burden when the hegemon could? Like some real-life Grand Inquisitor America would take on itself the sins of the world so that the rest could live in fantasy.

“It’s Always America’s Fault©” was the greatest thing since sliced bread.

But at the end of the bipolar world failed states discovered they could make more money from extortion than by working. The international No Hopers discovered the process of “voting for a living” — the ‘pay us not to riot’ idea — could be extended to warfare. Complete economic basket cases like Palestine, North Korea and Pakistan found there was no business like the No Business. They would say ‘no’ to every opportunity to do anything so they could continue to collect ‘benefits’.

Today it is not the countries with powerful nuclear industries that are seeking the bomb. It is the countries that can barely feed themselves. Egypt, for example, is thinking about it even though as Spengler predicted, Egypt is about to starve.

As I predicted last September and on several subsequent occasions, the Obama administration’s silver bullet–a $4.8 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund in exchange for tax hikes and budget cuts–never will be fired. Kirkpatrick:

United States officials warn of disaster unless Egypt soon carries out a package of tax increases and subsidy cuts tied to a $4.8 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund. That would persuade other lenders that Egypt was creditworthy enough to obtain billions more in additional loans needed to meet its yawning deficit. But fearful of a public reaction at a time when the streets are already near boiling, the government of President Mohamed Morsi has so far resisted an I.M.F. deal, insisting that Egypt can wait.

Egypt is not going into an economic and social tailspin because the government of Hosni Mubarak fell in 2011; the government of Hosni Mubarak fell because Egypt already was headed into an economic and social tailspin. We stand not before a glorious era of Muslim democracy, comparable to the revival of Eastern Europe after the fall of Communism, but a prolonged period of chaos. We cannot prevent this; at best we can limit the damage.

But give a man a fish and he lives for a day. Give him a nuke and he can order dinner indefinitely. It is because Egypt is starving that will acquire the bomb. It’s not like they could afford it. Consider: if you had $500 and no skills would you invest in a suit for a job interview absent qualifications for anything or would you invest in a gun and stick up the convenience store?

Once this fact is grasped the failure of the Obama administration’s sanction and diplomacy policies can be readily understood. The more sanctions are applied, the hungrier North Korea gets; the hungrier it gets the more they need the Bomb. Regrettably there is no way to undo the perverse incentives in the short term. The more aid is given to North Korea — or Pakistan or Palestine — the better extortion is seen to work.

It is the characteristic of completely dysfunctional states that the poorer they are, the fancier their guns. In all the news photos of conflicts in Africa and the Middle East it obvious there is not a dime for shoes; not a dollar for medicine; not a drop of clean water. But millions of dollars for guns. The only difference between the Koni gang and North Korea’s Kim is the difference between an AK-47 and a fission atom bomb.

The deployment of THAAD to Guam is the equivalent of a lock on the door. A security system in a once safe neighborhood.  It will never return the world to the previous state of innocence. Indeed, it indicates that we now all Africans in a sense. Like the residents of Timbuktu or Goma, the citizens of Paris, London, Vancouver and Tokyo listen in anxiety for the sound of approaching footsteps. Or to be more precise approaching container ships with bombs in them or streaks in the sky. The barbarians are at the gates and they will not be persuaded away.

Of course the West could always sally forth and arrest them. But the West doesn’t do that any more. For them, ”It’s Always America’s Problem©”


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I wonder what those who thought the PAX AMERICANA was a bad thing will think when they have to live without it? Conan Doyle wrote a story called 'The Last of the Legions'

"This is indeed wondrous news," said Celticus. "This is a day of days to the motherland. When do the legions go, your excellency, and what troops will remain behind for our protection?"

"The legions go at once," said the viceroy. "You will doubtless rejoice to hear that within a month there will be no Roman soldier in the island, nor, indeed, a Roman of any sort, age, or sex, if I can take them with me."

The faces of the Britons were shadowed, and Caradoc, a grave and thoughtful man, spoke for the first time.

"But this is over sudden, your excellency," said he. "There is much truth in what you have said about the pirates. From my villa near the fort of Anderida I saw eighty of their galleys only last week, and I know well that they would be on us like ravens on a dying ox. For many years to come it would not be possible for us to hold them off."

The viceroy shrugged his shoulders. "It is your affair now," said he. "Rome must look to herself."

The last traces of joy had passed from the faces of the Britons. Suddenly the future had started up clearly before them, and they quailed at the prospect.

"There is a rumour in the market-place," said Celticus, "that the northern Barbarians are through the gap in the wall. Who is to stop their progress?"

"You and your fellows," said the Roman.

Clearer still grew the future, and there was terror in the eyes of the spokesmen as they faced it.

"But, your excellency, if the legions should go at once, we should have the wild Scots at York, and the Northmen in the Thames within the month. We can build ourselves up under your shield, and in a few years it would be easier for us; but not now, your excellency, not now."

"Tut, man; for years you have been clamouring in our ears and raising the people. Now you have got what you asked. What more would you have? Within the month you will be as free as were your ancestors before Caesar set foot upon your shore."

Yes.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
How much of this is bluster versus insanity? Now add to the equation that North Korea probably sees Obama as incompetent and/or a coward.

The bluster about launching an attack against the mainland United States can be ignored (the North Koreans do not have the ICBM technology). Unfortunately the North Koreans might believe that Obama is so craven that they can attack South Korea without an American response.

What's the North Korean strategic objective? We would like to think that they are fishing for economic concessions (nuclear extortion). However the North Koreans might be so intoxicated by their own propaganda that they think they can attack South Korea and win.

Finally there is the question about China's strategic objective. Surely the Chinese do not want hundreds of thousands of radiation poisoned North Koreans streaming into their country as refugees. Okay, so the Chinese have protected themselves against that scenario by beefing up their border defenses on the Yalu River. There's still the scenario of the Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) appearing on CNN bayoneting disparate North Korean refugees. Does China care about world opinion?

What's China's objective in all of this? That's the $64,000 question.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Focusing upon rogue nations like North Korea, Iran and Pakistan, while failing to appreciate Maggie Thatcher's observation that, "Rogue states never turn out to be quite the pariahs they are deemed. They are only able to cause, or at least threaten to cause, mayhem because they enjoy the covert support - usually by means of technology transfers - of one or more major powers" is "to miss the forest for the trees". Add UN support to technology transfers and you have the tactical means being employed by the relevant major powers that are protecting and growing the threat from the rogue nations.

The 'major powers' facilitating the rogue nations are Russia and China who have repeatedly and consistently obstructed and vetoed in the UN when needed, any effective International agreements against the rogue nations. Russia is the primary facilitator of Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons. China was the primary facilitator of Pakistan's development of nuclear capability.

These actions are and were not accidental. They are strategic.

Russia and China are using rogue states as covert agents of aggression against the US in order to reduce American influence around the world with the eventual goal of an isolationist America that has retreated from the world stage.

When Iran, the foremost sponsor of Islamic terrorism in the world, gets the bomb greatly expanded nuclear proliferation is certain to result. Sooner or later, multiple unstable, third world, nuclear armed jihadist states will result in jihadist terrorist groups getting their hands on nukes. They will use them. 12 of our 20 largest cities are port cities and are entirely vulnerable to attack.

The long term impacts of a successful nuclear terrorist attack upon NY will be the emergence of a 'fortress America' mind-set, a renewed isolationist policy and nationwide martial law. Internationally, that will result in a power vacuum that Russia and China will not hesitate to fill. That is why, strategically, Russia and China welcome a nuclear exchange between America and Islam.

America faces two strategic threats, both covert, one foreign and the other domestic.

The American left under Obama is simultaneously seeking to reduce not only American influence but our very ability to respond to threats. That is not accidental either.

In addition, the American left under Obama seeks to fundamentally transform American culture in two ways; on one hand into the European transnational model, which is a transitional model that shall in time evolve into a bureaucratic, dictatorial communist society and on the other, a society in which whites are not simply another minority group but have learned to 'know their place'.

The world is on the historical brink of a new dark age. Simply because the US lacks the consensus and thus the will to identify and then decisively deal with the threats we face.

The "barbarians at the gate" consist of far more than the rogue states, they are merely Russia and China's shock troops. The real barbarians at the gate however are the American left who are using our liberal "useful idiots" to destroy America's foundational cultural virtues.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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How about everybody but the Koreans step out of the picture and let these two nations fight it out man to man. let nature take it's course.
That is all it would take to get both Korea's to simmer down.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
“U.S. struggling to contain nuclear threats from North Korea, Iran”

There is some good news, however. From their website: "Elam Ministries can now accept non-cash gifts such as stocks, vehicles, jewelry and other items"

Elam Ministries exclusively interviewed two Christian converts from Iran, who were also exclusively interviewed on Fox's Bill O'Reilly's Scott Brown's evening show. (Ms. Rostampour and Amirizadeh co-wrote a book about their suffering for the Love of Christ - available in hardcover or Kindle Edition.)

I am going to send all of my mother's jewelery to help prevent unthinkable nuclear situation. Hopefully she will be reasonable and let me explain things...
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
This is an interesting development, refer to:

http://koreajoongangdaily.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2969614&cloc=joongangdaily|home|newslist1

If this story is true (big if) then the Chinese are telling the North Koreans:

"You're on your own".

Are the Chinese being overly subtle?

The North Koreans maybe on the verge of seeing all diplomatic options being exhausted. If their only option is war then they will chose war.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment

“… the Chinese will at least attempt to engineer a coup and/or send in the PLA to occupy the North.”

‘China, the reluctant savior’; That has a ring to it. China could do a good job of it too. All they need to do is rehabilitate a traumatized North Korean public, slowly integrate it into China with a fig leaf of North Korean nationalism, then loom over South Korea with NorK demands of reunification. That makes a nice long game and the Chinese are known for their foresight visa vie Hong Kong.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
OR, we could propose a demilitarized semi-autonomous territory administered by South Korea.
China can't afford the cost of re-establishing an economy in the north.
South Korea has a deep cultural imperative to reunite.
We remove some or all of our ground troops.
Winners = NORK populace. They get to eat regularly and be more like South Koreans. China gets a stable neighbor on a demilitarized border that can be a good trading partner. Ditto Russia. US; a Lower presence on the peninsula. Japan, see China and Russia.
Loser(s) = Kim and his crew.

The north would still have some self governing powers, it would just be disarmed. Heavy stuff returned to country of origin. Army made smaller and converted to several sub-regional police forces. No ROK army north of the minefields. Think Costa Rica.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Sounds good. Do we have leaders in the US that believe in good solutions?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
oh yeah, and the Chinese had already crossed the Yalu when the armistice agreement was signed. Seems like old times.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I am reminded of an old story. Back in the day a man was walking down a country lane. Shortly he met another man riding a mule drawn wagon. Being of good cheer the man in the wagon offered the traveler a lift into town.
Every so often the wagoneer would stop the wagon, get out a short, stout club and bash the mules between the eyes. The mules would grunt, groan and when urged, continue on their way.
The passenger watched this procedure a couple of times before finally asking what it was all about.
"Mules" said the farmer. "Mules are good but stubborn farm animals, its just that every so often you have to refocus their attention."
There are lots of ways to refocus NORK's attention. Something beyond sanctions. A conventional cruise missile or two, or even a few drone strikes could make a point.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Have we ever tried a "Drone Alpha Strike"? A largish formation hitting a conventional target in a coordinated attack?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Not until it's been tried on a Tea Party convention first. I'm sure Napolitano has such a strike in the works. :-)
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
My guess is that China is waiting to come and save the day either before or after some hostile act has been committed. Once it is clear that KIII is out of control and endangering regional and world peace the Chinese will at least attempt to engineer a coup and/or send in the PLA to occupy the North. Being the cavalry shows region that the United States is no longer an important player in Asia and it is time to accept Chinese hegemony. This is a much cheaper and lower risk strategy than confronting the US over Taiwan or the South China Sea. Then end result is the same except China gets to be the hero instead of the villain
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
In the early 1980’s I read an article by a member of the Viet Cong political leadership. He said what they really desired was American support for the creation of a coalition government where they would share power in the South with the US-backed government. They thought that surely the Americans would not abandon their Allies in the South under any circumstances.

They belatedly realized that the real objective of the Tet Offensive had been to bring the VC out into the open where they could be destroyed by US firepower. That left the North with the only communist military power in the South and thus ensured they would take over, unopposed by armed groups in the South.

They never thought the US would abandon its allies in the South and leave them to the mercies of their own allies ….
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Just one inconvenient fact;
The TET offensive was not planned, ordered or anticipated by the US, therefore, We had no "Objective" but to respond to it.
Perhaps you meant to say; 'The Effect' of the TET offensive ---
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What would ever make you think that "They belatedly realized" referred to the US? I was speaking of the VC's recognition that NV wanted to get them out in the open where the US would destroy them. Of course it was not OUR objective; we simply responded to the attacks in a manner that the NV found useful.

In reality, you can hardly fault the VC for thinking it was all about them, but obviously Tet had multiple objectives for the communists, including convincing the MSM that all was lost. Whether the NV ever believed that the populace of SVN would rise up en masse and throw out the Americans is debatable.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
NV had no such thoughts about the MSM. They were following the Maoist guerilla war doctrine and according to that doctrine they were at the stage where a final offensive would bring victory. After the war was over General Giap said that when they realized the US was not going follow up their victory and that the press was calling Tet a US defeat did the NV leadership realize that they could win the war in the US even if they lost on the battlefield. From a military perspective the Tet offensive was as big a failure for NV as the Ardennes Offensive was for the Germans.
It is also a myth that we were surprised by the NVA offensive. That is false. US Commanders heeded the tactical warning and put their forces on alert. It was the ARVIN who ignored the warnings.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I note of late that PJM is really swallowing posts....

Anyone else?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Last night I could not get a response of any kind to one post and just gave up and went to bed.

And the first attempt at this post disappeared in mid-type a few minutes ago. The problem seems to be the stuff that still loads after the page comes up. If it's not done when you post everything resets
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Who ever said that war was sane?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I have been warning this would happen since Obama gave his disastrous Cairo Speech. The media completely ignored the most dangerous assertions any President has ever made -

" I understand those who protest that some countries have weapons that others do not. No single nation should pick and choose which nations hold nuclear weapons. That is why I strongly reaffirmed America's commitment to seek a world in which no nations hold nuclear weapons. And any nation — including Iran — should have the right to access peaceful nuclear power if it complies with its responsibilities under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. That commitment is at the core of the Treaty, and it must be kept for all who fully abide by it. And I am hopeful that all countries in the region can share in this goal. "


1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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