Get PJ Media on your Apple

Rubin Reports

Turning Point: Obama and Israel, the Next Three Years

September 3rd, 2013 - 8:55 am

We have just entered a new era with the Middle East and its relation to the world. Not every day can you proclaim such a shift in world history; today you can. This is not a joke — definitely not — and as you will see, it is not an exaggeration.

For the last seven weeks I have been in the United States, mostly in Washington, D.C.; I have spoken with and listened to many people. As a result, I am in a position to describe to you with a high degree of confidence what U.S. policy regarding the Middle East will be for the remainder of Obama’s term, and perhaps for far into the future.

In short, the administration has crossed a line and is now backing the “bad guys.”

This is literally true in Egypt, Syria, Sudan, the Palestinian Authority, Bahrain (with U.S. support for the opposition), Qatar, and Turkey. In some ways, as we will see, the war on terrorism has become the war for terrorism. Too extreme? On the contrary, this is not a conservative or liberal analysis, but merely an accurate one. Over the next few weeks, we will run here a serious analysis of Obama’s Middle East policy for the second term.

The real Obama administration position on Israel is that Netanyahu and Israel refuse to be moderate and flexible, unlike Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas. This despite Netanyahu releasing 100 terrorist murderers in exchange for nothing, and Abbas’ constant inflexibility, escalation of demands, and rejection of U.S. strategy on the peace process. The Obama administration also finds Netanyahu to be less moderate and flexible than Turkey’s Prime Minister Recep Erdogan, despite the latter’s throwing intellectuals and journalists in prison, betraying U.S. strategy on Iran, backing anti-American Islamists, and sending former army officers for long jail terms on phony charges.

During the coming months, and even years — if they are given to me — I will pursue these themes. You may not believe what you read here today or tomorrow, but you will eventually see it occur.

To be absolutely clear, these policies are going to happen, and are already happening. The president is a set ideologue and will not learn, and with the current “ruling class” elitist Congress and remarkably cowardly and partisan media, nothing will change. The situation will only get worse, and the administration’s position more obvious.

In the coming weeks, I will describe eight things that will almost certainly happen during the remainder of Obama’s term, and will suggest how to minimize the harm to the interests of the United States and its would-be Middle Eastern-allied people and governments.

The first one:

1. Israel cannot depend on the United States.

This doesn’t mean that Obama and others will not provide military aid or say nice words at every event. But there is no commitment that one can assume would be fulfilled nor any Israeli initiative that will actually be implemented. The idea that Obama and his team are the greatest friends of Israel is a deadly insult. The United States has undermined Israel on many issues: Egypt (by supporting a hostile Muslim Brotherhood government); Tunisia (ditto); Sinai (by enabling an insurgency); Hamas (by the desire to keep the Brotherhood — an ally of Hamas — in power in Cairo); Turkey (by supporting the Islamist, anti-Israel government); Syria (by supporting radical Syrian Islamists); Europe (by not supporting the Israeli position on the peace process); America itself (by encouraging anti-Israel forces among the Jewish community and within Obama’s constituency); Palestinians (by the lack of criticism or pressure on Palestinian Authority).

And that’s a partial list.

Further, the most dangerous, insulting argument comes from Secretary of State John Kerry. He has repeatedly said the following (this is also a theme of administration supporters, including Jews):

The greatest danger to Israel is if Israel does not get peace soon.

This is an absurd lie. The greatest danger to Israel would be accepting a dangerous and unworkable peace agreement that the other side would not implement. In other words, the greatest danger for Israel would be to listen to the bad advice of Obama, Kerry, and their supporters.

Who should be more knowledgeable about the situation and more aware of Israel’s real interests, Israel or America? Do people think that Obama knows better than Israelis, that he cares more? That’s absurd and insulting. Of course, people assume that states and political leaderships put their own interests first, whether or not they understand this. And that lays the basis for overruling Israel’s democracy.

For example, a survey by the dovish Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) showed 65.6 percent of Israelis questioned did not expect to see a deal in talks between Israel and the Palestinians within a year. And if you take into the account the “don’t knows” and “no opinions,” that increases the percentage. Outrageously, the Reuters story on the polling notes the following:

The talks resumed last month after a three-year hiatus.

Actually, except for one week, there have not been real talks for 13 years. The article also notes:

Even if the Israeli government managed to defy skeptics and secure an accord, the poll … suggested it would struggle to sell it to its people.

This is obviously wrong, as the government and the vast majority of Israel’s people agree with each other. But the U.S. government and its supporters believe that the Israeli government — in partnership with Obama — should betray the beliefs, aspirations, and security of the Israeli people.

Comments are closed.

Top Rated Comments   
But the U.S. government and its supporters believe that the Israeli government — in partnership with Obama — should betray the beliefs, aspirations, and security of the Israeli people. - Barry Rubin

This is what Leftwingers believe that Republican representatives should do - in partnership with Obama - should betray the beliefs, aspirations, and security of the American people.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Yes, but if I had said this three years ago...who would have defended my position?

Who would have labeled me a "conspiracy theorist?"

Who would have said that I was "hyperpartisan"?

And who...would still do so?

The dinners with Rashid Khalidi, the fetes and glorifying of Edward Said, the sputterings of Ali Abunimah, the loving embrace of Jeremiah Wright and by that proxy...Louis Farrakhan, the ramblings of James Cone, the flotilla friends and utterings of Bill Ayers, ...for whom did these things not presage the snide comments to Sarkozy? The demand for return to 1967 lines.

For whom did the sending of Robert Malley to secretly play footsie with Hamas not send chills up the spine.

Samantha Power, Susan Rice, and Valerie Jarrett strike anyone as lovers of Israel?

Brzezinski?

So, should I show my "shocked face" that NOW people in D.C. say that Obama is what he always was? That his policies will "in the future" reflect that which has always been reflected?

Or, should I bow to the wisdom of those who waited to form this opinion...because their "calm reflection" was wiser than my "rashness"?

Then, bow I will.

To those wiser and more rational than I.

And all the sands that have passed through the hour glass waiting for them to achieve their wisdom will scratch much less against the skin...just knowing that NOW...they need only wait a few more years for others to catch up to THEM.

Because, standing around doing nothing...is the lesson well taught and easily followed.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
And Jews will still vote for the Dem 3 to 1.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (43)
All Comments   (43)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
This might be one of the scariest things I've ever read. It sounds like Prof. Rubin saw a ghost, and he probably looked like one after these conversations.

It seems pretty obvious that we're in very deep trouble in the United State. People are beginning to sound the alarm bells. I just hope it's not too late.

http://nyyrc.com/blog/2013/09/barry-rubin-america-has-lost-israel/
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Has there been a different turning point as well? Is China becoming friends with Israel?
http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2013-09/04/content_16942571.htm
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
This must have been a heart-breaking column to write.

I cannot disagree with the analysis.

The Truth is, Israel cannot (for long) rely on ANY nation. This has been prophesied. It does not excuse those, like the U.S., who should be supporting her, but one way or another every supposed ally of Israel will abandon or betray her in some form or fashion.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Heart breaking? Maybe to Obama lovers. For the rest of us, it's simply vindication of everything we were saying back in 2008, when this pathetic man-child was elevated to a position of power he should never have held, and American policy was handed over to a radical pack of Israel-haters.

It really took this long for so many of you to realize that this had happened???

But for so many Jews today, Liberalism is their one true Religion, and Judaism is simply their affiliation. No thought that contradicts Liberal Orthodoxy can be allowed, even if that Orthodoxy is going to lead to the destruction of Israel and the death of millions.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Not news, really, but sobering and reinforcing (of reality) to read your opinions, Barry. This is the Obama Administration, full of 'anti-Zionists' throughout the corridors of now-naked power, a den of opponents of morality and common sense. We will weather the storms, I hope. We will also have you with us through this time - this I also hope.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
so, three years to talk to the rest of America? B/c we know an impotent, out-maneuvered president can be lame-ducked. Washington, DC is just one city.

I don't know how this is done, or by whom: but: Can American Rabbis go talk to American pastors? in private, in lunches at college houses, in their pulpit?

That's what Muslim imams did right after 9-11. The pastor at the church we attended went to a group lunch with an inter-faith alliance, and the imam got grilled. Then the pastors went home and gave sermons. Most of the church members in this country are younger than Washington insiders. They don't know about what Israel is like, or what's going on.

I know at the church we attend now, they had a presentation on the Sudanese massacre- presented by Sudanese victims- with maps, and a presentation on the Rwanda massacre, by a rep from Lutheran World Relief, since he was administering a safety camp. Haiti- members went, worked, and came back and presented, after the last disaster.Photos, stats, all of it.

Maybe not the bishops- they tend to be older, but pastor by pastor? That would get you face to face with half the country. That's the half that has children, pays taxes, votes. That's the half that is comfortable calling a representative for one thing or another.

Evangelicals are fans of Israel - and they have big churches- megachurches. Evangelicals are Southern, rural to small city, biblical literalists, and somehow that's like petting a cat from the tail up for big-city bred, sophisticated types, but--- why not try?

Mormon bishops are usually successful businessmen. They listen to facts and figures.

There are 30 Republican governors. Some nations have embassies to states, not just the national capital.

It's three years- might as well make a case.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Eventually, Israel will be forced to find new supporters. To whom will they turn?

Well, who has:
a) Cash to burn
b) A HUGE manufacturing base
c) No scruples about leveraging anyone and anything that will provide them an advantage

Give up?

China.

Think not? Watch and learn. And God help us when that happens. We'll be out of the Middle East for generations, if not forever.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
they will turn to G_d, eventually. Everyone else will prove faithless.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Israel has been courting China with US military technology for decades.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
I think the 'time' involved means the 'time' to outlast Obama's time in office. That, I take it, is why Barry puts the words 'The Next Three Years' in his title. Releasing the Palestinian prisoners is a relatively cheap way to take away the accusation that Israel has been intransigent and made no concessions. The accusation will be made anyhow - it always is - but the fact will remain that Israel did make concessions and the other side, as usual, made no concessions whatsoever. Going along with Obama in small ways reduces Obama's ability use Israeli 'intransigence' as an excuse to be more overtly hostile. That said, I can't help but notice that if Obama's intent is to bring about Israel's downfall by surrounding Israel with Muslim Brotherhood governments that would be one way to 'transform' the Middle East. That is exactly what a post colonialist would do, particularly one guided by the postcolonialism of Edward Said. According to Wikipedai: "In 1963, Said joined Columbia University as a member of the faculties of the department of English and of the department of Comparative Literature, where he taught and worked until 2003 (he became professor there in 1991); in the course of that tenure, Barack Obama was one of his pupils at Columbia College." Prof Rubin, predicted during the initial riots in Tahrir Square that either the MB or the military would end up ruling Egypt. If Obama's intent all along has been to surround Israel with Muslim Brotherhood regimes then the fall of Morsi is good news indeed. If Obama's wider objective in the Middle East is to destroy Israel then his ineffective treatment of Iran makes sense. As an American I find it hard to believe that such an anti Israel policy would lie at the center of any US administration's Middle East policy, but right now that is what it looks like to me.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Israel has but one choice, drive the Palistianians back into Jordan. Get the job done now, take a page out of Obama's playbook, never let a good crisis go to waste. Let the whole world screem but get the job done. To shut them all up drop a few bunker busters on Iran.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Did it really take you this long to put two and two together? I never wanted to believe that our people were stupid enough to elect a Muslim sympathizer who clearly hates all our allies, but every single move he has made in the ME has only strengthened the cause of radical Islam at every turn. You can't make that kind of batting average through sheer incompetence alone. At some point, it has to be intentional.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
I don't think your comment is directed at my comment because I posted after you. But I will answer what I find a challenging question. So it did take me this long to put two and two together because I never could explain to myself Obama's pro Muslim, or as later became obvious in Egypt, his pro Islamist behavior on the grounds of his being a Muslim sympathiser. What I didn't get was that anti Israel policies might be the core motivation. After all an Indonesian Muslim is less focused on Israel being the problem than a Palestinian Muslim. But as I pointed out in my other comment Edward Said, perhaps the most prominent star in the pantheon of postcolonialism, was a Palestinian who truly hated Israel. He also was a teacher of Obama's at Columbia. That is when I put two and two together and feel I now have a better understanding of why Obama has gone so far in his support of Morsi, and the NB generally. It is not just pro Islamism; it is also virulent anti Semitism.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
No, it wasn't directed at anyone in particular. It was a general utterance (or typing). Spiritually, I've never bought into the idea of Obama as closet muslim although he was certainly raised to that tradition in his formative years in Indonesia, but Indonesia wasn't heavily radicalized until much more recently and still fights that influence today. I think it more likely he's whatever spirituality it's convenient to appear to be which makes him an atheist or an agnostic.

Ideologically, he's a Marxist which makes him the enemy of Judeo-Christian values and Western civilization. To that end, he'll ally with whomever he needs to in order to destroy those ideals and values root and stalk. Israel is just one of the most tangible symbols of all he hates and wants to bring down.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
http://nyyrc.com/blog/2013/09/what-about-that-purge/

Now that Obama has purged the brass, what will the remaining brass do? Do they really want to fight this war on behalf of al Qaeda, their sworn enemies? I can’t imagine so. There was hope that maybe the Republican House will bail them out, but don’t look for support from Senators McCain or Graham. Today, Boehner announced his support. So where's that leave us? If Congress authorizes, then what? Under the First Amendment, we are allowed to wonder out loud. Does America’s military might get employed publicly on the side of al Qaeda, for the first time in history? Or, does Cairo repeat itself in Washington D.C.?
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
Updated link…
http://nyyrc.com/blog/2013/09/what-about-that-purge-2/
The story was TAKEN DOWN by a THIRD PARTY.

ANY GUESS WHO DID THAT??????
We’re in a state of tyranny. No doubt about it.
32 weeks ago
32 weeks ago Link To Comment
1 2 3 Next View All

27 Trackbacks to “Turning Point: Obama and Israel, the Next Three Years”