Buttigieg Campaign Rocked by Embarrassing Lie About Black Endorsements
In politics, there are certain open secrets everyone knows but few will mention. One you might only hear a very few Democrats say out loud, and even that in a whisper, is the strong dislike between two of their party's most reliable voting blocs: Blacks and gays. That means that South Bend, Ind., mayor (and totes gay presidential contender, NTTAWWT) Pete Buttigieg has a problem if he's serious about winning his party's nomination. And it doesn't at all help how he and his campaign just embarrassed themselves with a Big Lie -- a Big Mistake? -- over his support from black voters.
Before we get to that, let's look at the first part of the Democratic primary map. The big ball gets officially rolling a little less than 12 weeks from right now with the Iowa caucuses. While there are only 41 delegates at stake out of the 1,885 needed to win, Iowa is a good test of a candidate's grassroots appeal and, more importantly, their ability to organize and execute a campaign strategy. Going back to 1972, when the caucuses were first held, Iowa caucusgoers have picked the Dem nominee in contested primaries six out of nine times. And they've picked the nominee in every contested election since 2000. Winning Iowa is kind of a big deal, and Buttigieg is leading there in recent polls. The RealClearPolitics average has Buttigieg up by 2.2 points, and he's up by nine in the most recent survey, conducted by the Des Moines Register and CNN.
This, however, is where Joe Biden -- who scores very well with black voters -- might whisper, "But there are hardly any blacks in Iowa." Biden could say the same thing about New Hampshire, where Buttigieg is mired in fourth place behind (in order) Elizabeth Warren, Biden, and Bernie Sanders. But a strong showing in Iowa on February 3 might give Buttigieg a big boost in gay-friendly New Hampshire a week later on the 11th. From there the voting moves to Nevada, which is another state with a smaller-than-average percentage of black voters.