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Keystone State Blues Reds

Quick update to yesterday's Handicapping the House post. RCP still has PA-12 (Murtha's old district) as a tossup, PPP has Republican Tim Burns with a 44-41 lead over Democrat Mark Critz. Burns is running on an anti-ObamaCare platform. With 44%, he hasn't sealed the deal, and one poll could just be an outlier.

But, Burns does garner 51% of independents, which might mean his biggest obstacle will be to energize conservatives, centrists, and libertarians.

(Hat tip, Angela Lash's Twitter feed.)

And believe me, they're energized.

UPDATE: From the comments at PPP's blog -- "Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report is already warning for months that the appalachian trail is going to be ground zero for Dems in Nov."

That sounds about right. I wasn't kidding yesterday when I said that the Blue Dogs were an endangered species. They're also the most useless creatures since the snail darter, so no big loss.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Not so fast. Republican pollster John McLaughlin has a much closer race -- Critz at 40, Burns at 39.