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Is the Iranian Revolution Dead? Have the Mullahs Won?

The vulnerability of the leaders to all manner of attack has recently been demonstrated in a variety of ways.  At least two military aircraft have crashed, and two trains carrying Revolutionary Guards personnel have derailed.  Nobody believes these were mere accidents. There have been several gunfights in Kurdistan and Balouchistan.  The commander of the border guards, Hossein Zolqafari, announced that "terrorists" had been driven off during the runup to February 11th.  He failed to tell his listeners that 9 of his men had been killed.

Meanwhile, the discontent among Iranian workers has intensified.  New unions  are being formed, even though all unions are illegal, and three of them have appealed to the United Nations Human Rights Commission for help. The Bus Workers Syndicate of Tehran and Humeh (in the province of Lorestan), the Workers Syndicate of Neyshekar Hafttapeh and the Free Union of Iranian Workers wrote to the UN to say: “The Islamic Republic’s security officials have announced their adherence to international protocols. Despite this fact, they have banned unions from forming in the country. Anyone active in a union will be labeled an enemy of the Islamic Republic and prosecuted.” They claimed that the minimum wage is four times less than the poverty line and added, “Millions of families are desperately trying to survive in the most inhumane conditions because their wages are not being paid on time.” They added:

A massive wave of unemployment and the danger of laying off of workers has made life unimaginably hellish for their families. The only way out of these inhumane conditions requires a fundamental restructuring in the economy and society.

They called for an end to the death penalty, the release of imprisoned labor activists, free speech, the right to strike, and an end to child labor.

Nor have the Green leaders abandoned the fight.  Mousavi and Karroubi have met twice since the 11th, most recently on Saturday, when they were joined by a senior cleric and by Ali Albar Mohtashemipour, the "godfather of Hezbollah," who, it will be recalled, personally intervened to convince Supreme Leader Khamenei to release Mousavi's top adviser. Karroubi issued a very strong statement, demanding the right of free assembly and a national referendum on the legitimacy of the Guardians Council.  Both are provocations.

Faced with such internal difficulties, the regime has increased its assistance to terrorist groups, including both the Haqqanis and Hekmatiar in Afghanistan, and the top international proxies (Hezbollah, Quds, Hamas, Jibril) have been ordered to kill hundreds of Jews in North Africa,  Europe and South America.

Finally, in a couple of days, Ahmadinejad will make a day trip to Damascus to coordinate various things with Assad.  There is the matter of American and French requests that Assad help gain the release of their hostages.  Then there is the joint Iranian-Syrian operation in Iraq, to increase the level of violence and to fund pro-Iranian political groups.  Third, is coordination of the Iranian-Turkish war against the Kurds, in which the Syrians share an interest, and finally, they will discuss some new artillery and anti-aircraft systems that the Iranians are delivering.

The bottom line?  The regime is fighting a two-front war.  At home, they fear their enemies.  Abroad, they are fearless, and are stepping up the offensive.